Publications

Crawford A, *N Loeb, & M McCrystall (2025). A decomposition of the key drivers of current and future Northern Hemisphere cyclone-associated precipitation trends. Journal of Climate, 38(13), 3075-3092, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0453.1

Crawford AD, MR McCrystall, JV Lukovich, & JC Stroeve (2023). The Response of extratropical cyclone propagation in the Northern Hemisphere to global warming.  Journal of Climate, 36(20), 7123-7142. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0082.1

Crawford, AD, EAP Schreiber, N Sommer, MC Serreze, JC Stroeve, & DG Barber (2021). Sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere cyclone detection and tracking results to fine spatial and temporal resolution using ERA5. Monthly Weather Review, 149(8), 2581–2598. https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-20-0417.1

Hell, M, ST Gille, B Cornelle, AJ Miller, PD Bromirski, & AD Crawford (2020). Estimating Southern Ocean storm positions with seismic observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125, e2019JC015898. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JC015898

 Crawford AD & MC Serreze (2017). Projected changes in the Arctic frontal zone and summer Arctic cyclone activity in the CESM Large Ensemble. Journal of Climate, 30 (24), 9847-9869. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0296.1

Crawford AD & MC Serreze (2016). Does the Arctic frontal zone impact summer cyclone activity in the Arctic Ocean? Journal of Climate, 29, 4977-4993. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0755.s1

Crawford, A, C Soriot, & J Stroeve (2025). Pauses in autumn Arctic-wide sea ice expansion. In Press at Journal of Glaciology, 71, e21. https://:doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.106

Soriot C, A Crawford, & J Stroeve (2025). Record Early Sea Ice Loss in Southeastern Hudson Bay in Spring 2024. Geophysical Research Letters, 52, e2024GL112584.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112584

^Stroeve J, ^A Crawford, S Ferguson, I Stirling, L Archer, G York, D Babb, & R Mallett (2024). Ice-free period too long for Southern and Western Hudson Bay polar bear populations if global warming exceeds 1.6 to 2.6 °C. Communications Earth & Environment, 5, 296, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01430-7

Fox S, A Crawford, M McCrystall, J Stroeve, J Lukovich, *N Loeb, J Natanine, & M Serreze (2023). Extreme Arctic weather and community impacts in Nunavut: A case study of one winter’s storms and lessons for local climate change preparedness. Weather, Climate and Society, 15(4), 881-892. https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-23-0006.1

Crawford AD, E Rosenblum, JV Lukovich, & JC Stroeve (2023). Sources of Seasonal Sea Ice Bias for CMIP6 Models in the Hudson Bay Complex. Annals of Glaciology, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2023.42

Mallett, RDC, JC Stroeve, SB Cornish, AD Crawford, JV Lukovich, MC Serreze, AP Barrett, WN Meier, HDBS Heorton, M Tsamados (2021). Record winter winds in 2020/21 drove exceptional Arctic sea ice transport. Communications Earth & Environment, 2, 149. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00221-8

 Crawford, A, J Stroeve, A Smith, & A Jahn (2021). Arctic open-water periods are projected to lengthen dramatically by 2100. Communications Earth & Environment, 2, 109. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00183-x

Ballinger, TJ, CC Lee, SC Sheridan, AD Crawford, JE Overland, & M Wang (2019). Subseasonal atmospheric regimes and ocean background forcing of Pacific Arctic sea ice melt onset. Climate Dynamics, 35(11), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4467-x

Crawford AD, S Horvath, J Stroeve, R Balaji, & MC Serreze (2018). Modulation of sea ice melt onset and retreat in the Laptev Sea by the timing of snow retreat in the West Siberian Plain. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120(20), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD028697

Lynch AH, MC Serreze, EN Cassano, AD Crawford, & J Stroeve (2016). Linkages between Arctic summer circulation regimes and regional sea ice anomalies. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121, 7868–7880. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD025164

Serreze MC, AD Crawford, AP Barrett, J Stroeve & RA Woodgate (2016). Variability, trends and predictability of seasonal sea ice retreat and advance in the Chukchi Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127, 7308–7325. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JC011977

Stroeve J, AD Crawford, & S Stammerjohn (2016). Using timing of ice retreat to predict timing of fall freeze-up in the Arctic. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 6332–6340, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069314 

*Loeb, NA, A Crawford, B Noël, & J Stroeve (2025). Modelling the impacts of extreme precipitation events on surface mass balance in the Eastern Canadian Arctic and Greenland. The Cryosphere, 19(11), 5403-5422, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-5403-2025

Crawford A, J Lukovich, M McCrystall, J Stroeve, & D Barber (2022): Reduced Sea Ice Enhances Intensification of Winter Storms over the Arctic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 35(11), 3353-3370.https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0747.1

Lukovich J, J Stroeve, A Crawford, L Hamilton, M Tsamados, H Heorton, & F Massonet (2021). Summer extreme cyclone impacts on Arctic sea ice. Journal of Climate, 34(12), 4817-4834.https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0925.1

Koyama T, J Stroeve, J Cassano, & A Crawford (2017). Sea ice loss and Arctic cyclone activity from 1979 to 2014. Journal of Climate, 30, 4735-4754. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0542.1

Sinha D, C Rajulapati, & A Crawford (2025).  Concurrent heatwaves and droughts in Canada: Spatio-temporal changes, climate drivers, and persistence properties. Earth’s Future, 13(10), https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF006104

Rajulapati C, A Crawford, SM Papalexiou, & J Stroeve (2025). Prevailing climate drivers for concurrent high temperature and low precipitation events in Canada. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(20), https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL118662

*Loeb, N, A Crawford, A Herrington, M McCrystall, J Stroeve, & J Haneisak (2024). Projections and physical drivers of extreme precipitation in Greenland & Baffin Bay. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129, e2024JD041375. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041375

Serreze, MC, J Voveris, AP Barrett, S Fox, PD Blanken, & A Crawford (2022). Characteristics of extreme daily precipitation events over the Canadian Arctic. International Journal of Climatology, 42(16), 10353-10372. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7907

*Loeb NA, A Crawford, JC Stroeve, & J Hanesiak (2022). Extreme Precipitation in the Baffin Bay Region: An Evaluation of Atmospheric Reanalyses. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.866929

Crawford AD, KM Krumhardt, NS Lovenduski, G van Dijken, & K Arrigo. Summer high‐wind events and phytoplankton productivity in the Arctic Ocean (2020). Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125, e2020JC016565. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016565

Crawford AD, KE Alley, *AM Cooke, & MC Serreze (2020). Synoptic climatology of rain-on-snow events in Alaska. Monthly Weather Review, 148(3), 1275–1295. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0311.1

Serreze MC, AD Crawford, & AP Barrett (2015). Extreme daily precipitation events at Svalbard, an Arctic Island. International Journal of Climatology, 35(15), 4575-4588. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4308

 Bruneau JA, JK Ehn, ZZ Kuzyk, AD Crawford, & ML Leblanc (2025). Step change in sea surface temperatures brings marine heat waves to sub-Arctic James Bay, Canada. Frontiers in Marine Science, 12, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2025.1549329

Alley KA, RA Alley, AD Crawford, N Ochwat, C Wild, J Marson, T Snow, A Muto, EC Pettit, S Child, M Truffer, G Collao-Barrios, & T Scambos (2024). A record of West-Antarctic ocean changes written in ice-shelf basal channels. Journal of Glaciology, 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.20

Gray, R, E Painter, JW Sprankle, AD Crawford, JJ Morrison, M Frazier, & JA Faust (2022). Suspect screening for pesticides in precipitation using liquid chromatography high-resolution mass spectrometry. Atmospheric Environment, 291, 119389. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2022.119389

Dmitrenko, I, D Volkov, T Stadnyk, A Tefs, D Babb, S Kirillov, A Crawford, K Snydor, & D Barber (2021). Atmospherically-forced sea-level variability in western Hudson Bay, Canada. Ocean Sciences, 17(5) 1367-1384. https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-1367-2021

Serreze MC, AP Barrett, AD Crawford, & RA Woodgate (2019). Monthly variability in Bering Strait oceanic volume and heat transports and links to atmospheric circulation, ocean temperature and sea ice conditions. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124(12), 9317-9337, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JC015422  

Crawford A & M Serreze (2015). A new look at the summer Arctic frontal zone. Journal of Climate, 28 (2), 737-754. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00447.

Ballinger TJ, A Crawford, MC Serreze, S Bigalke, JE Walsh, B Brettshneider, RL Thoman, US Bhatt, E Hanna, H Motrøen Gjeten, S-J Kim, JE Overland, & M Wang, 2025: Surface Air Temperature. State of the Climate in 2024. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 106 (8), S309–S313, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0104.1.

Serreze MC, S Bigalke, R Lader, A Crawford, & TJ Ballinger, 2025: Precipitation. State of the Climate in 2024. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 106 (8), S317–S322, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0104.1.

Ballinger TJ, A Crawford, MC Serreze, S Bigalke, JE Walsh, B Brettshneider, RL Thoman, US Bhatt, E Hanna, H Motrøen Gjeten, S-J Kim, JE Overland, & M Wang (2024). Surface Air Temperature. Arctic Report Card 2024. TA Moon, ML Druckenmiller, & RL Thoman, eds. Submitted to NOAA. https://doi.org/10.25923/mjhx-3j40.

Serreze MC, S Bigalke, R Lader, A Crawford, & TJ Ballinger (2024). Precipitation. Arctic Report Card 2024. TA Moon, ML Druckenmiller, & RL Thoman, eds. Submitted to NOAA. https://doi.org/10.25923/xf7c-p592. 

Hassel D, G Levavasseur, C Pascoe, K Taylor, A Crawford, P Durack, D Ellis, C Goddard, A Horanya, B Lawrence, & M Stockhause (2025). Essential Model Documentation (EMD).DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.15439552

Kuzyk ZZ, J Ehn, C Peck, A Guzzi, M Stocking, K Gupta, S Ciastek, A Diaz, J Bruneau, P Rai, A Crawford (2024). Eeyou Coastal Habitat Comprehensive Research Program (CHCRP): University of Manitoba Oceanography Research Final Report. Submitted to Niskamoon Corporation. 133 pp.https://eeyoucoastalhabitat.ca/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/UM_final_report_31July2024.pdf

Crawford A, *N Braun, & J Stroeve (2024). CMIP6 Projections of Climate Indices for the Arctic Ship-Accessible Season. Environment & Climate Change Canada, Gatineau, QC, 38p.

Diaconescu, EP, P Kushner, J Lukovich, A Crawford, E Barrow, L Mudryk, M Braun, R Shrestha, S Gruber, S Déry, S Howell, and L Matthews (2022). An inventory of historical climate data and climate projections for the Canadian North. Government of Canada, Gatineau, QC, 693p. https://nordata.physics.utoronto.ca/en/

Kaartokallio H, CJ Mundy, D Nomura, T Toyota, A Crawford, & J Vainio, 2025: Sea ice in Arctic marginal seas. In Sea Ice, D.N. Thomas (Ed.), 835-852, https://doi.org/10.1002/9781394213764.ch22 

Crawford A, D Babb, D Jensen, J Stroeve, & D Barber (2024). “6. Ice Cover, Ice Processes, and Climate Change” in Elements of a pan-Arctic Ocean Ecology, Paul Wassmann (ed.), Orkana Akademisk, Oslo, Norway, pp. 71-93. ISBN: 978-82-8104-586-6

Crawford, A, “Broken temperature records are alarming, but it is not too late to limit global warming” (3 Sep 2024), The Conversation Canada. https://theconversation.com/broken-temperature-records-are-alarming-but-it-is-not-too-late-to-limit-global-warming-236300

Crawford, A, “Five things we learned from the latest IPCC report” (1 Nov 2021), Canadian Association of Union Teachers Bulletin. https://www.caut.ca/bulletin/2021/10/commentary-five-things-we-learned-latest-ipcc-report

Crawford, A, “5 things to look for in the new IPCC report on climate science” (4 Aug 2021), The Conversation Canada. https://theconversation.com/5-things-to-watch-for-in-the-latest-ipcc-report-on-climate-science-165430