Working papers:
Embedded Files
Intergenerational Mobility and Structural Change in Vietnam (submitted)
Intergenerational Mobility and Structural Change in Vietnam (submitted)
Abstract:
This paper examines intergenerational earnings mobility in Vietnam during its structural transformation. Using the Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey for cohorts born between 1978 and 1993, we document a significant linear decline in the intergenerational elasticity of earnings, indicating improving mobility. This trend is associated with decreasing inequality among children, driven primarily by a narrowing rural-urban earnings gap. Decomposition analyses reveal that changes in the human capital channel, specifically declining returns to education and to parental investment, explain approximately 60% of the reduction in earnings persistence. However, by bridging earnings analysis with Markov chain measures of educational mobility, we find that a large portion of this improvement is attributable to structural educational expansion. We argue that as these structural effects subside, the current positive trend in earnings mobility may not be sustainable in the long run.
Other (pre-PhD) published articles:
Hoang-Duc, C., Kien Hoang-Le, et al. (2026). Unveiling the path to the fourth industrial revolution: Exploring technology adoption and firm-level barriers. Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Hoang-Duc, C., Nguyen-Anh, T., Nguyen-Thu, H., et al. (2024). Give a Fish or Teach to Fish? Poverty Alleviation Effect of Government Support Policies and Self-Help Commercial Activities. The Journal of Development Studies
Hoang-Duc, C., Nguyen-Thu, H., Nguyen-Anh, T., et al. (2024). Governmental support and multidimensional poverty alleviation: efficiency assessment in rural areas of Vietnam. The Journal of Economic Inequality
Nguyen-Anh, T., Hoang-Duc, C., Nguyen-Thi-Thuy, et al. (2022). Do intangible assets stimulate firm performance? Empirical evidence from Vietnamese agriculture, forestry and fishery small-and medium-sized enterprises. Journal of Innovation & Knowledge
Nguyen-Anh, T., Hoang-Duc, C., Tiet, T., Nguyen-Van, P., & To-The, N. (2022). Composite effects of human, natural and social capitals on sustainable food-crop farming in Sub-Saharan Africa. Food Policy
Nguyen-Anh, T., Hoang-Duc, C., Le-Ngoc, A., & Nguyen-An, T. (2022). Drivers of land use efficiency among ethnic minority groups in Vietnam: a longitudinal study. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy
Book chapters:
T., Nguyen-Anh; N., To-The; C., Hoang-Duc; V., Vu-Tien (2022). Factors influencing farmers’ responses to climate change in the Central Highland, Vietnam. In T., Nguyen-An (Ed.), Value chain of Vietnamese agricultural and forestry products in the context of international integration and ecological crisis, pp. 637-660. Hanoi: Hanoi: Vietnam National University Press. ISBN 978-604-369-407-9
N., Nguyen-Cam; H., Pham-Xuan; C., Hoang-Duc (2019). Vietnam Financial Integration Level in the Region. In N., Nguyen-Cam (Ed.), Global Challenges and Financial Security in Vietnam, pp. 76–101. Hanoi: Vietnam National University Press. ISBN 978-604-9887-74-1
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