Cardinaldave's Bracketology

Way to Early 2026 Bracketology

Bold indicates team is projected auto bid from their conference

Underline indicates team is a lock (I define lock as you can lose out and have an 100% chance to make the tournament via an at large)

Check out the Bracket Matrix:- it compiles data of brackets across the web, such as mine.

If there are any major bracket changing outcomes, you can expect this bracket to be updated soon afterwards.

Find some bracketology musings of mine at https://x.com/kyd3_maps

Tournament Breakdown by Conference:

ACC

Locks: Duke (1/26), North Carolina (2/14), Virginia (2/14), Louisville (2/21), Miami FL (2/28)

Eliminated from at-large contention: Boston College (12/10), Florida State (12/16), Georgia Tech (1/6), Pittsburgh (1/10), Notre Dame (2/4), Wake Forest (2/7), Syracuse (2/21)

Big Ten

Locks: Michigan (1/23), Nebraska (1/24), Michigan State (1/27), Illinois (2/1), Purdue (2/7), Wisconsin (2/28)

Eliminated from at-large contention: Maryland (1/2), Rutgers (1/2), Oregon (1/8), Northwestern (1/17), Penn State (1/18), Minnesota (2/8), Washington (2/21)

Big 12

Locks: Arizona (1/17), Houston (2/4), Iowa State (2/7), Kansas (2/7), Texas Tech (2/11), BYU (2/21)

Eliminated from at-large contention: Utah (1/11), Kansas State (2/1), Colorado (2/14), Baylor (2/24), Arizona State (2/24), Oklahoma State (2/28), West Virginia (3/3)

Big East

Locks: UConn (1/27), Saint John's (2/21)

Eliminated from at-large contention: Marquette (12/13), DePaul (12/31), Georgetown (1/17), Providence (1/19), Xavier (1/24), Butler (2/11), Creighton (2/21)

SEC

Locks: Florida (2/11), Vanderbilt (2/14), Alabama (2/14), Arkansas (2/14), Tennessee (2/18), Kentucky (2/28)

Eliminated from at-large contention: South Carolina (1/31), Mississippi State (2/7), Ole Miss (2/14), LSU (2/17), Oklahoma (2/18)

Other Conferences

Locks: Gonzaga (2/18), Saint Mary's CA (2/28)

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