Raphael Calel

Assistant Professor

McCourt School of Public Policy

Georgetown University


Research Interests

Environmental economics, Applied microeconomics

Working papers

Works in progress

  • Do Pollution Offsets Offset Pollution? Evidence of infra-marginal wind power subsidies in India (with Jonathan Colmer and Antoine Dechezleprêtre)
  • Profit or perish? Estimating the effects of the EU ETS on competitiveness (with Antoine Dechezleprêtre)
  • The impact of the European Union emissions trading scheme on carbon emissions (with Antoine Dechezleprêtre and David Nachtigall)
  • Trade-Induced Spillovers from Natural Disasters (with Geoffrey Barrows and Hélène Ollivier)


Peer-reviewed papers

  • Storylines: An alternative approach to representing uncertainty about climate change (with Theodore Shepherd, Emily Boyd, Sandra C. Chapman, Suraje Dessai, Ioana Dima-West, Hayley Fowler, Rachel James, Douglas Maraun, Olivia Martius, Catherine Senior, Adam Sobel, David Stainforth, Simon Tett, Kevin Trenberth, Bart van den Hurk, Nicholas Watkins, Robert Wilby, Dimitri Zenghelis), Climatic Change, 2018, 151(3-4), 555–571. [Publisher, Open access]
  • On the Physics of three Integrated Assessment Models (with David Stainforth), Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2017, 98(6), 1199-1216. [Publisher, Open access]
  • Environmental Policy and Directed Technological Change: Evidence from the European carbon market (with Antoine Dechezleprêtre), The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2016, 98(1), 173-191. [Publisher, PDF]
  • Tall tails and Fat tails: The science and economics of extreme warming (with David Stainforth and Simon Dietz), Climatic Change, 2015, 132(1), 127-141. [Publisher, Open access]
  • Who will win the green race? In search of environmental competitiveness and innovation (with Sam Fankhauser, Alex Bowen, Antoine Dechezleprêtre, David Grover, James Rydge, and Misato Sato), Global Environmental Change, 2013, 23(5), 902-913. [Publisher, PDF]
  • Carbon markets: A historical overview, WIREs Climate Change, 2013, 4(2), 107-119. [Publisher, PDF]
  • Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists’ uncertainty about climate change? (with Antony Millner, David Stainforth, and George MacKerron), Climatic Change, 2013, 116(2), 427-436. [Publisher, PDF]
  • Are first-borns more likely to attend Harvard? (with Antony Millner), Significance, 2012, 9(3), 37-39. [Publisher, PDF]
  • Improving cost-efficiency of conservation auctions with joint bidding, Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, 2012, 1(2), 128-145. [Publisher, PDF]

Op-eds, Essays, and Book reviews

  • Replication as a Credible Pre-Analysis Plan, Berkeley Initiative for Transparency in the Social Sciences, June 2014. [Publisher, Open access]
  • Fooled by Climate Change, Los Angeles Review of Books, July 2014. [Publisher, Open access]
  • The Founding Fathers v. The Climate Change Skeptics, The Public Domain Review, February 2014. [Publisher, Open access]
  • A review of "Public policy in an uncertain world" by Charles Manski, Environment and Planning C, 2014, 32(3). [Publisher, Open access]
  • Causes and Costs of Innovation: An essay on "The Idea Factory" by Jon Gertner, Los Angeles Review of Books, November 2013. [Publisher, Open access]. Abridged version appeared in Environment and Planning C, 2014, 32(2). [Publisher, Open access]
  • Permits to pollute can be bought too cheaply (with Cameron Hepburn), The Conversation, August 2013. [Publisher, Open access]
  • A review of "What money can’t buy" by Michael Sandel and "Strings attached" by Ruth Grant, Economics and Philosophy, 2013, 29(2). [Publisher, PDF]
  • Low-CO2 innovation is up, but not because of the EU ETS (with Antoine Dechezleprêtre), Carbon Market Europe, 2012, 11(6).
  • A review of "Progress for the Poor" by Lane Kenworthy, Environment and Planning C, 2012, 30(4). [Publisher, Open access]
  • A review of "Carbon Coalitions" by Jonas Meckling, Environment and Planning C, 2012, 30(4). [Publisher, Open access]
  • US healthcare reform: More changes are required (with Kathy Liu), Student British Medical Journal, September 2011. [Publisher, PDF]