Working Papers

Do State R&D Tax Credits Create Jobs?, Invited to resubmit, Review of Economics and Statistics, August 2019.

R&D Tax Credit Data

Do Innovative Firms Offshore Less?, Latest version November 2019.

Business-Level Expectations and Uncertainty, with Nicholas Bloom, Steven Davis, Lucia Foster, Scott Ohlmacher, and Itay Saporta-Eksten.

Published Papers

Turbulence, Firm Decentralization and Growth in Bad Times, with Philippe Aghion, Nicholas Bloom, Raffaella Sadun, and John Van Reenen, AEJ: Applied Economics, 13(1):133-69, January 2021.

Have R&D Spillovers Declined in the 21st Century, with Nicholas Bloom and John Van Reenen, Fiscal Studies, February 2020.

Is Australia One Recession Away from a Disability Blowout? Lessons from Other Organisation for Economic Co‐operation and Development Countries, with Richard V. Burkhauser and Mary C. Daly. Australian Economic Review 2013.

Federal Reserve System Publications

Why has wage growth stayed strong? with Mary Daly and Bart Hobijn. FRBSF Economic Letter 2012.

US fiscal policy: Headwind or tailwind? with Daniel Wilson. FRBSF Economic Letter 2012.

Fiscal headwinds: Is the other shoe about to drop? with Daniel Wilson. FRBSF Economic Letter 2013.

The future of social security disability insurance, with Mary C. Daly and Jonathan A. Schwabish. FRBSF Economic Letter 2013.