WP4 SOCIO-ECOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK (NIVA lead, MSUG, NTNU)
Objectives: i) To position the project science within a stakeholder, regulatory and management framework. Ii) to deliver relevant new knowledge of ecosystem service sensitivities to climate change.
Description: The design of scientific approach and the success in delivering targeted, new scientific knowledge is optimised through the participation of stakeholders throughout the entire research period (Phillipson et al., 2011; Österle et al, 2011; Aswani et al., 2018). We hypothesize that co-production of scientific approach and dissemination will promote the effectiveness and impact of the project. WP4 will co-produce and exploit a tailored E2E framework through which new project knowledge is efficiently synthesized and communicated to deliver targeted, relevant and necessary understanding for improved management and regulation of prioritized Arctic Ocean ecosystem services. WP4 will inherit information on the historical and contemporary system state from WP1, driver sensitivity from WP2 and trends, variability and projections in ecosystem services from WP3. It will deliver information on regionality, seasonality, regulation and cultural value of Arctic ecosystem services to WP2 and WP3 to focus experimental strategies and model simulation analyses.
T4.1 Co-production of a socioecological framework (NIVA/1.5, MSUG/0.5, NTNU/0.5, PML/0.5). We will detail the requisite information pathways among scientific disciplines and decision makers, incorporating input from stakeholders (e.g. fisheries managers, climate change organisations, ESM modellers, international observing networks (e.g. GOA-ON, GON), CAFF, AMAP, Arctic Council, Indigenous peoples).
T4.2 Populate the framework from T4.1 (NIVA/1.5, MSUG/0.5, NTNU/0.5, PML/0.5). We will integrate new project knowledge on cascading inputs and feedbacks to Arctic environmental state and projections, ecosystem responses to system perturbations, and deliver risk analysis for stakeholder priority services.
T4.3 Scientific assessment/dissemination (NIVA/1.5, MSUG/0.5, NTNU/0.5, BB/0.5). Stakeholders and scientists will assess the BEST-Siberianapproach and disseminate new knowledge and utility.
Deliverables: D4.1 Internal project report on framework. D4.2 Scientific paper on the potential services at risk, present regulation and pathways to develop new management approaches. D4.3 Scientific paper on proposed approach to developing socioecological research in a rapidly changing environment
Milestones: M4.1 Stakeholder workshop held. M4.2 Co-produced framework report delivered. M4.3 Framework populated. M4.4 Synthesis manuscript of stakeholder-priority service sensitivities to PfT and climate change.