Peer-Reviewed Articles
"Bearing Witness: Introducing the Perceived Mass Atrocities Dataset" (with Collin Meisel, Jonathan Moyer, Oliver Kaplan, Ruth Byrnes, Kerent Benjumea, Phoebe Cribb, and Collin Van Son). 2024. Journal of Peace Research. OnlineFirst.
"Elite Strategy in Resilient Authoritarianism: Equatorial Guinea, 1979-1983" (with Ana Lucia Sa). 2024. Democratization. OnlineFirst.
"Elite Threats and Punitive Violence in Autocratic Regimes: Evidence from Communist Eastern Europe." 2024. Comparative Politics. OnlineFirst.
"Do Safety Expectations Affect the Location Strategies of Large Service Delivery INGOs?" (with Jonathan Moyer, Jen Evans, John McPhee, and Whitney Kettlun). 2024. International Interactions, 50 (1): 64-93.
"Brothers in Arms No Longer: Why Do Regime Change Coup-Entry Dictators Purge?" (with Edward Goldring). 2023. Journal of Conflict Resolution, OnlineFirst.
"If You'll be my Bodyguard: Presidential Guard Units and Leader Capture during Coups d'état." 2023. Armed Forces & Society, OnlineFirst.
"The Politburos of Communist Eastern Europe: Introducing New Individual-Level Data on Candidate and Full Members." 2023. Communist and Post-Communist Studies 56 (2): 1592-176.
"Identifying Patterns in the Structural Drivers of Intrastate Conflict" (with Jonathan Moyer, Mickey Rafa, and Yutang Xiong). 2023. British Journal of Political Science 53 (2): 749-756.
"To Purge or Not to Purge? An Individual-Level Quantitative Analysis of Elite Purges in Dictatorships" (with Edward Goldring). 2023. British Journal of Political Science 53 (2): 575-593.
"Measuring and Forecasting the Rise of China: Reality over Image" (with Jonathan Moyer and Collin Meisel). 2022. Journal of Contemporary China 32 (140): 191-206.
"Don't Turn Around, Der Kommissar's in Town: Political Officers and Coups d'Etat in Authoritarian Regimes." 2022. Journal of Peace Research 59 (5): 663-678.
"The Electoral Competitiveness of Working Class Candidates in Germany" (with Yann P. Kerevel). 2021. German Politics 31 (3): 459-475.
"Mixed-Member Electoral Systems, Best Loser Rules, and the Descriptive Representation of Women" (with Yann P. Kerevel and Katsunori Seki). 2019. Electoral Studies 57 (1): 153-162.
Policy Engagement and Other Publications
"Biden Must Immediately Call Niger's Coup a `Coup'." 2023. The Hill. 16 August.
"Fixing U.S. Policy Toward Foreign Military Coups." The Lawfare Institute's Foreign Policy Essays. 23 July.
"Sudan's Junta Chief Survived the Coup, but Can He Win the War?" Political Violence at a Glance. 17 July.
"Political Purges and their Importance for Dictators." 2022. The Loop: ECPR's Political Science Blog. 2 September.
"The Logic of Autocratic Purges." 2022. Political Violence at a Glance. 10 January.
China-US Competition: Measuring Global Influence. 2021. Washington, DC: The Atlantic Council (with Jonathan D. Moyer, Collin J. Meisel, David K. Bohl, and Mathew J. Burrows)
"How the United States can Compete with Chinese Influence in Southeast Asia." 2020. Lawfare. 27 June. (with Collin J. Meisel, Jonathan D. Moyer, David K. Bohl, and Mathew J. Burrows)
"Seeking Serenity: A New American Influence Strategy." 2020. War on the Rocks. 10 May. (with Collin J. Meisel)
"What happens to Kazakhstan's dictatorship now that its dictator has quit?" 2019. Washington Post - The Monkey Cage. 25 April.
Conflict among Comrades: Elite Purges and Political Violence in Authoritarian Regimes. 2018. Dissertation. Baton Rouge, LA: Louisiana State University.
Stalinism and Survival: The Political Motivations of Walter Ulbricht. 2013. Thesis. San Marcos, TX: Texas State University.
Works in Progress
Assessing the Origins of the Grenada Revolution
Civil-Military Tensions in the Defense Ministry (with Anne Meng)
Data on the Foreign Travel of Heads of State and Government (with Jonathan Moyer et al.)
Descriptive Identity and Party List Ranking in Democracies (with Yann Kerevel)
Regular Succession in Autocracies (with Edward Goldring and Peter Ward)
Sequential Purging in Single-Party Regimes (with Fabio Angiolillo)