Peer-Reviewed Journal Articles
"Party Gatekeeping of Working-Class Candidates under Closed-List Proportional Representation" (with Yann P. Kerevel and Sania Akter). 2026. Electoral Studies, 99: 1-6.
"Was `The Revo' a Coup d'Etat? An Assessment of the 1979 Regime Change in Grenada." 2025. Democratization, 32 (8): 2071-2090.
"If You'll be my Bodyguard: Presidential Guard Units and Leader Capture during Coups d'état." 2025. Armed Forces & Society, 51 (1): 46-69.
"Bearing Witness: Introducing the Perceived Mass Atrocities Dataset" (with Collin Meisel, Jonathan Moyer, Oliver Kaplan, Ruth Byrnes, Kerent Benjumea, Phoebe Cribb, and Collin Van Son). 2025. Journal of Peace Research, 63 (3): 799-811.
"When Heads of Government and State (HOGS) Fly: Introducing the Country and Organizational Level Travel (COLT) Dataset Measuring Foreign Travel by HOGS" (with Jonathan D. Moyer, Collin J. Meisel, Adam Szymanski-Burgos, Andrew C. Scott, Matteo C.M. Casiraghi, Alexandra Kurkul, Marianne Hughes, Whittney Kettlun, and Kylee X. McKee). International Studies Quarterly, 69 (2): 1-12.
"Elite Strategy in Resilient Authoritarianism: Equatorial Guinea, 1979-1983" (with Ana Lucia Sa). 2024. Democratization, 31 (8): 1823-1843.
"Elite Threats and Punitive Violence in Autocratic Regimes: Evidence from Communist Eastern Europe." 2024. Comparative Politics, 56 (4): 473-493.
"Do Safety Expectations Affect the Location Strategies of Large Service Delivery INGOs?" (with Jonathan Moyer, Jen Evans, John McPhee, and Whitney Kettlun). 2024. International Interactions, 50 (1): 64-93.
"Brothers in Arms No Longer: Why Do Regime Change Coup-Entry Dictators Purge?" (with Edward Goldring). 2024. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 69 (10): 1913-1940.
"The Politburos of Communist Eastern Europe: Introducing New Individual-Level Data on Candidate and Full Members." 2023. Communist and Post-Communist Studies 56 (2): 1592-176.
"Identifying Patterns in the Structural Drivers of Intrastate Conflict" (with Jonathan Moyer, Mickey Rafa, and Yutang Xiong). 2023. British Journal of Political Science 53 (2): 749-756.
"To Purge or Not to Purge? An Individual-Level Quantitative Analysis of Elite Purges in Dictatorships" (with Edward Goldring). 2023. British Journal of Political Science 53 (2): 575-593.
"Measuring and Forecasting the Rise of China: Reality over Image" (with Jonathan Moyer and Collin Meisel). 2023. Journal of Contemporary China 32 (140): 191-206.
"Don't Turn Around, Der Kommissar's in Town: Political Officers and Coups d'Etat in Authoritarian Regimes." 2022. Journal of Peace Research 59 (5): 663-678.
"The Nomination and Electoral Competitiveness of Working Class Candidates in Germany" (with Yann P. Kerevel). 2022. German Politics 31 (3): 459-475.
"Mixed-Member Electoral Systems, Best Loser Rules, and the Descriptive Representation of Women" (with Yann P. Kerevel and Katsunori Seki). 2019. Electoral Studies 57 (1): 153-162.
Book Chapters
"Thematic Approaches to Teaching Autocracies." In Teaching Autocracy and Autocratic Politics. Ed. Edward Goldring. Cheltenham, UK: Edwin Elgar Publishing.
Policy Engagement and Other Publications
"Biden Must Immediately Call Niger's Coup a `Coup'." 2023. The Hill. 16 August.
"Fixing U.S. Policy Toward Foreign Military Coups." 2023. The Lawfare Institute's Foreign Policy Essays. 23 July.
"Sudan's Junta Chief Survived the Coup, but Can He Win the War?" 2023. Political Violence at a Glance. 17 July.
"Political Purges and their Importance for Dictators." 2022. The Loop: ECPR's Political Science Blog. 2 September.
"The Logic of Autocratic Purges." 2022. Political Violence at a Glance. 10 January.
China-US Competition: Measuring Global Influence. 2021. Washington, DC: The Atlantic Council (with Jonathan D. Moyer, Collin J. Meisel, David K. Bohl, and Mathew J. Burrows)
"How the United States can Compete with Chinese Influence in Southeast Asia." 2020. Lawfare. 27 June. (with Collin J. Meisel, Jonathan D. Moyer, David K. Bohl, and Mathew J. Burrows)
"Seeking Serenity: A New American Influence Strategy." 2020. War on the Rocks. 10 May. (with Collin J. Meisel)
"What happens to Kazakhstan's dictatorship now that its dictator has quit?" 2019. Washington Post - The Monkey Cage. 25 April.
Conflict among Comrades: Elite Purges and Political Violence in Authoritarian Regimes. 2018. Dissertation. Baton Rouge, LA: Louisiana State University.
Stalinism and Survival: The Political Motivations of Walter Ulbricht. 2013. Thesis. San Marcos, TX: Texas State University.
Works in Progress
The Origins and Consequences of Military Politicization in Autocracies (book manuscript). In preparation.
Defense Minister Appointments in Dictatorships. In preparation.
Collective Leadership Organizations and Autocratic Durability (with Jacob Nyrup, Jonas Schmid, and Stuart Bramwell). In preparation.
Military Purges and Autocratic Survival (with Edward Goldring). In preparation.
Terrorism and the Accountability of Interior Ministers in Autocracies (with Jonas Schmid). Revise and resubmit.
Regular Succession in Autocracies (with Edward Goldring and Peter Ward). In preparation.
Sequential Purging in Single-Party Regimes (with Fabio Angiolillo). In preparation.
Purges and Survival in Revolutionary Regimes. In preparation.
Military Transformation in Dictatorships. In preparation.
Development and Operations of the Royal Grenada Police Force's Secret Branch. In preparation.