Working Papers
Recovering Credible Trade Elasticities from Incredible Trade Reforms
with George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg
From Diaspora Dollars to Default Risk: Remittances and Sovereign Spreads
with Minjie Deng
Recovering Credible Trade Elasticities from Incredible Trade Reforms
with George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg
From Diaspora Dollars to Default Risk: Remittances and Sovereign Spreads
with Minjie Deng
Inventories, Integration, Productivity, and Welfare
with George Alessandria and Shafaat Khan
Forthcoming at American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings, Vol. 115, 2025, pp. 611-17
Trade War and Peace: U.S.-China Trade and Tariff Risk from 2015–2050
with George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg
Accepted at the Journal of International Economics
NBER Working Paper #32150, Coverage by The Economist
[Paper] [Working Paper] [Replication Files] [Faculti Interview]
Pre-Trends and Trade Effects of Temporary Trade Barriers
with Sandro Steinbach
Accepted at Canadian Journal of Economics
[Working Paper][Slides] [Replication Files]
Trade Policy Dynamics: Evidence from 60 years of U.S.-China Trade
with George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg
Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 133 (3), 2025
[Paper] [Working Paper] [Slides] [VoxChina] [Replication Files]
Inventories, Input Costs and Productivity Gains from Trade Liberalizations
with Shafaat Khan
International Economic Review, Vol. 66(1), 2025
[Paper] [Working Paper] [Slides] [VITM YouTube]
Taking Stock of Trade Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China's Pre-WTO Accession
with George Alessandria and Shafaat Khan
Journal of International Economics, Vol. 150, 2024
[Paper] [Working Paper] [Slides] [VoxChina]
The Aggregate Effects of Global and Local Supply Chain Bottlenecks: 2020-22
with George Alessandria, Carter Mix, Shafaat Khan and Kim Ruhl
Journal of International Economics, Vol. 146, 2023
[Paper] [VoxEU] [Working Paper] [Slides]
How Trade Responds to Anticipated Tariff Changes: Evidence from NAFTA
with Shafaat Khan
Journal of International Economics, Vol. 133, 2021