Publications


  • How Trade Responds to Anticipated Tariff Changes: Evidence from NAFTA

with Shafaat Khan

Journal of International Economics, Vol. 133, 2021

[Paper] [Working Paper] [Slides]

  • The Aggregate Effects of Global and Local Supply Chain Bottlenecks: 2020-22

with George Alessandria, Carter Mix, Shafaat Khan and Kim Ruhl

Conditionally accepted at Journal of International Economics

[Working Paper] [Slides]

Working Papers


  • Inventories, Input Costs and Productivity Gains from Trade Liberalizations

with Shafaat Khan

Revise and resubmit at International Economic Review

[Working Paper] [Slides] [VITM YouTube]

  • Taking Stock of Trade Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China's Pre-WTO Accession

Revise and resubmit at Journal of International Economics

with George Alessandria and Shafaat Khan

[Working Paper] [Slides] [VoxChina]

  • Trade Policy Dynamics: Evidence from 60 years of U.S.-China Trade

Revise and resubmit at Journal of Political Economy

with George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg

[Working Paper] [Slides] [VoxChina]

  • Pre-Trends and Trade Effects of Temporary Trade Barriers (under review)

with Sandro Steinbach

[Working Paper]

Work in Progress


  • Supply Chain Recessions, with Alessandria, Mix, Khan and Ruhl

  • Dynamic Trade Elasticities, with Alessandria, Khan, Ruhl and Steinberg

  • The Trade Effects of Temporary Trade Barriers using Synthetic Controls and Machine Learning , with Steinbach

  • Aggregate Gains from Trade Liberalizations: Inventory Management Efficiency, with Alessandria and Khan

  • Pricing to Clients and the Pass-Through of Shocks, with Merga