Recovering Credible Trade Elasticities from Incredible Trade Reforms
with George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg
From Diaspora Dollars to Default Risk: Remittances and Sovereign Spreads
with Minjie Deng
Inventories, Integration, Productivity, and Welfare
with George Alessandria and Shafaat Khan
Forthcoming at American Economic Review Papers & Proceedings, Vol. 115, 2025, pp. 611-17
Trade War and Peace: U.S.-China Trade and Tariff Risk from 2015–2050
with George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg
Accepted at the Journal of International Economics
NBER Working Paper #32150, Coverage by The Economist
[Paper] [Working Paper] [Replication Files] [Faculti Interview]
Pre-Trends and Trade Effects of Temporary Trade Barriers
with Sandro Steinbach
Accepted at Canadian Journal of Economics
[Working Paper][Slides] [Replication Files]
Trade Policy Dynamics: Evidence from 60 years of U.S.-China Trade
with George Alessandria, Shafaat Khan, Kim Ruhl and Joseph Steinberg
Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 133 (3), 2025
[Paper] [Working Paper] [Slides] [VoxChina] [Replication Files]
Inventories, Input Costs and Productivity Gains from Trade Liberalizations
with Shafaat Khan
International Economic Review, Vol. 66(1), 2025
[Paper] [Working Paper] [Slides] [VITM YouTube]
Taking Stock of Trade Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China's Pre-WTO Accession
with George Alessandria and Shafaat Khan
Journal of International Economics, Vol. 150, 2024
[Paper] [Working Paper] [Slides] [VoxChina]
The Aggregate Effects of Global and Local Supply Chain Bottlenecks: 2020-22
with George Alessandria, Carter Mix, Shafaat Khan and Kim Ruhl
Journal of International Economics, Vol. 146, 2023
[Paper] [VoxEU] [Working Paper] [Slides]
How Trade Responds to Anticipated Tariff Changes: Evidence from NAFTA
with Shafaat Khan
Journal of International Economics, Vol. 133, 2021