The COVID-19 pandemic is among the most serious global threats, and it is still a significant concern. The people of Bangladesh are undergoing one of the world's largest vaccination drive. With the recent launch and introduction of the COVID-19 vaccines, many of us are curious about the general opinion or view of the vaccine. While the vaccine has ignited new hope in the battle against COVID-19, it has also sparked militant anti-vaccine campaigns, so the need to analyze public opinion on the COVID-19 vaccine has emerged. Traditional machine learning methods were used to obtain a benchmark result for the experiment. The recurrent neural network (RNN) algorithm was used next. Several different types of recurrent neural networks were used, including simple RNNs, Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs), and LSTMs. Finally, to achieve a more optimal result, small BERT models (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) were used. Upon study and testing on several models and methods, it can be seen that BERT model was the most accurate of the bunch, which was 84%. On the other hand, Naive Bayes was able to obtain an accuracy of 81%. Naive Bayes and BERT produced similar results in F1- Score, but the performance of Naive Bayes can improve as the dataset size grows. Knowing about public opinions on the COVID-19 vaccine is critical, and action must be taken to ensure that everybody understands the value of vaccination and that everybody receives the COVID-19 vaccine. Vaccination may help to develop immunity, which lowers the likelihood of contracting the disease and its consequences. [GitHub]

Around the world, scientists are racing hard to understand how the COVID-19 epidemic is spreading and growing, thus trying to find ways to prevent it before medications are available. Many different models have been proposed so far correlating different factors. Some of them are too localized to indicate a general trend of the pandemic while some others have established transient correlations only. Hence, in this study, taking Bangladesh as a case, a 4P model has been proposed based on four probabilities (4P) which have been found to be true for all affected countries. Efficiency scores have been estimated from survey analysis not only for governing authorities on managing the situation (P(G)) but also for the compliance of the citizens ((P(P)). Since immune responses to a specific pathogen can vary from person to person, the probability of a person getting infected ((P(I)) after being exposed has also been estimated. And the vital one is the probability of test positivity ((P(T)) which is a strong indicator of how effectively the infected people are diagnosed and isolated from the rest of the group that affects the rate of growth. All the four parameters have been fitted in a non-linear exponential model that partly updates itself periodically with everyday facts. Along with the model, all the four probabilistic parameters are engaged to train a recurrent neural network using long short-term memory neural network and the followed trial confirmed a ruling functionality of the 4Ps.

The dangerously contagious virus named “COVID-19” has struck the world strong and has locked down billions of people in their homes to stop the further spread. All the researchers and scientists in various fields are continually developing a vaccine and prevention methods to aid the world from this challenging situation. However, a reliable prediction of the epidemic may help control this contiguous disease until the cure is available. The machine learning techniques are one of the frontiers in predicting this outbreak’s future trend and behavior. Our research is focused on finding a suitable machine learning algorithm that can predict the COVID-19 daily new cases with higher accuracy. This research has used the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and the long short-term memory (LSTM) to foresee the newly infected cases in Bangladesh. We have compared both the experiments’ results, and it can be forenamed that LSTM has shown more satisfactory results. Upon study and testing on several models, we have shown that LSTM works better on a scenario-based model for Bangladesh with mean absolute percentage error (MAPE)—4.51, root-mean-square error (RMSE)—6.55, and correlation coefficient—0.75. This study is expected to shed light on COVID-19 prediction models for researchers working with machine learning techniques and avoid proven failures, especially for small imprecise datasets.