Research
Working papers
Cheaper and faster: the role of Air Services Agreements on transportation
with Charlotte Emlinger, 2023, CEPII Working Paper No 2023-17.
R&D expenditures and firm survival
with Redha Fares, 2022, ERUDITE Working Paper, No 2022-04.
Why would exporters in difficulty not exit?
with Redha Fares and Claude Mathieu (last version: March 2024)
Old version: ERUDITE Working Paper, No 2020-08 (previous title: Failing and exporting firms, a paradox?)
Published Articles
Trust and Specialization in Complexity: Evidence from U.S. States
with José de Sousa, Julie Lochard and Arthur Silve, 2023, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 216, 332-353.
Does the Depth of Trade Agreements Matter for Trade in Services?
with Isabelle Rabaud and Chahir Zaki, 2023, The World Economy, 46-12, 3616–3653.
with Isabelle Rabaud and Chahir Zaki, 2022, Revue d’économie du développement, 31(2-3), 151-156.
Grey zones in global finance: the distorted geography of cross-border investments
with Anne-Laure Delatte and Vincent Vicard, 2022, Journal of International Money and Finance, 120, 102540.
The determinants of trade agreements in services vs. goods
with Matthew T. Cole, 2015, International Economics, 144-4, 66-82.
How far away is an intangible? FDI, space and services
with Ronald B. Davies, 2014, The World Economy, 37-12, 1731-1750.
Trade in services and regional trade agreements: do negotiations have to be specific?
2013, , The World Economy, 36-11, 1731-1750.
Assessment of tariff equivalents for services considering the zero flows
2013, World Trade Review, 12-03, 549-575.
The impacts of regional trade agreements in force in Europe on trade in services
2012, Economics Bulletin, 32-1, 685-697.
Comparison between FDI motivations in goods and services
2011, Economics Bulletin, 31-4, 2744-2756.
Work in progress
Deep trade agreements and trade in value-added services
with Isabelle Rabaud and Chahir Zaki, 2023.
Abstract: Nowadays services are the core of economic activities worldwide. Downstream and upstream services are a source of competitiveness for manufacturing firms using them. Moreover, manufacturing services are more and more providing packages of customer focused combinations of goods, services, supports and knowledge. In the meantime, cross-border trade in services still represents only a fifth of trade in goods and services on gross value but two fifths of trade in value added (Johnson, 2014). In the last decades trade agreements have deepened to include provision on competition policy, respect of intellectual property rights, mutual recognition and harmonisation of standards (TRIPs). Since 1995, chapters on the ease to trade in services are also more often included, which relate to behind the border regulations. Thus, we intend to investigate the impact of the depth of provision related to services on trade in value added services. Our work will be split into three steps: (i) measure the depth of provision directly related to trade in services in each trade agreement; (2) predict the signature of deep trade agreements; (3) identify the impacts of such service provision on trade performance in services. To do so, we combine the multi-region input-output data from the EORA database covering the period 1990-2017 for 189 countries with the dataset on Deep Trade agreements of the World Bank. Similarly to Fontagné and Santoni (2021), we highlight the importance of the “GVC-driven” RTAs. The GVC participation of the signatories represents an additional determinant of deep RTAs on services. As expected, deep agreements have a stronger and a continuous impact on bilateral flows compare to shallow RTAs highlighting the importance of deep trade negotiations on trade in services.
When more is less: A new assessment of the spaghetti bowl
with Chahir Zaki, 2023.
Abstract: Currently, more than 350 Regional Trade Agreements (RTA) are in force. The proliferation of RTAs raises the question of its effectiveness on bilateral trade since it complicates the trade rules that exporters and importers have to comply with. Based on a standard gravity approach, we estimate the impact of RTAs on bilateral trade controlling for the other RTAs that any country may have. Furthermore, we extend the analysis by examining how the spaghetti bowl can be affected by, on the one hand, the depth of the agreement, and on the other by the number of ratifying countries (domino effect). Our results suggest that increasing the number of partners lowers the positive effect associated with the signature of a bilateral trade agreement. This effect is even stronger when partners of a given country are not involved in a common trade agreement. In addition, the positive impact of RTAs on intra-member trade decreases overtime due to the diversion from older trade agreements in favour of more recent ones.
Excise taxes and exporters' decision with Charlotte Emlinger, 2024.
Are all border the same?, 2024.