Dissertation: Economic Consequences of Stress Test Model Disclosure
I examine the economic consequences of the Federal Reserve's enhanced supervisory stress test model disclosure between 2015 and 2025. I find that regulatory disclosure redistributes wealth from depositors to shareholders, as banks face less uncertainty around stress test outcomes, and pay out capital rather than expand lending.
Recognition of Forward-Looking Estimates and Learning about the Macroeconomy: Evidence from CECL
with Oliver Binz (ESMT Berlin) and Matthew A. Phillips (Northwestern) link
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We find that ASU 2016-13 (Current Expected Credit Loss Model) adoption by banks reduces managers’ ability to learn from the market, especially macroeconomic information.
Predicting Young Firms' Profitability
with Katja Kisseleva-Scherenberger (Frankfurt School of Finance and Management) and Per Olsson (ESMT Berlin)
Using the full population of Swedish firms from 1998 to 2011, we find that firms’ accounting profitability is predictive of future performance, which combats the view that accounting numbers by young firms are not informative.
Current Expected Credit Loss Recognition and Loan Loss Provisioning: Implications for Monetary Policy Transmission
with Oliver Binz (ESMT Berlin), Yanduo Chen (SMU), and Matthew A. Phillips (Northwestern)
We study the role of CECL as an accounting accelerator in monetary policy transmission. Specifically, we find that US banks’ loan loss provisions react to monetary policy shocks more strongly after CECL.