Research Papers
Publications
Wage-Price Spirals: What is the Historical Evidence? (with Jorge Alvarez, John Bluedorn, Niels-Jakob Hansen, Youyou Huang, and Evgenia Pugacheva)
Economica, forthcoming [IMF WP]
IMF blog: Wage-Price Spiral Risks Still Contained, Latest Data Suggests
Media coverage: Bloomberg; El Pais; New York Times; The Economist
Who doesn’t want to be vaccinated? Determinants of vaccine hesitancy during COVID-19 (with Era Dabla-Norris, Hibah Khan, and Frederico Lima)
Forecasting the Yield Curve for the Euro Region (with Benjamin Tabak, Guilherme Gomes, and Daniel Cajueiro)
Economics Letters, 2012 [link]
Working Papers
Minimum Wage, Business Dynamism, and the Life Cycle of Firms (with André Victor Luduvice and Tomás Martinez)
Working Paper, 2024 [IDB WP]
Public Support for Climate Change Mitigation Policies: A Cross Country Survey (with Era Dabla-Norris, Salma Khalid and Giacomo Magistretti)
Working Paper, 2023 [IMF WP]
Sovereign Debt Restructuring and Reduction in Debt-to-GDP Ratio (with Sakai Ando, Tamon Asonuma, and Prachi Mishra)
Working Paper, 2023 [SSRN]
Profit Puzzles and the Fall of Public-Firm Profit Rates (with Carter Davis and James Traina)
Managers and Productivity in Retail (with Robert Metcalfe and Chad Syverson)
NBER Working Paper, 2023 [link]
Presentation: NBER Summer Institute 2022 [slides]
Coverage: Marginal Revolution, Becker Friedman Institute Research Brief
Agglomeration, Innovation, and Spatial Reallocation: the Aggregate Effects of R&D Tax Credits
Size Dependent Policies, Informality, and Misallocation (with Era Dabla-Norris, Laura Jaramillo, and Frederico Lima)
Policy Research
Public Perceptions of Climate Mitigation Policies: Evidence from Cross-Country Surveys (with Era Dabla-Norris, Thomas Helbling, Salma Khalid, Hibah Khan, Giacomo Magistretti, and Krishna Srinivasan)
IMF Staff Discussion Note, 2023 [link]
Launch Event: Public Perceptions of Climate Mitigation Policies: Evidence from Cross-Country Surveys (imf.org)
IMF blog: Support for Climate Action Hinges on Public Understanding of Policy
Media coverage: Bloomberg, Sydney Morning Herald, Manila Times
Accelerating Innovation and Digitalization in Asia to Boost Productivity (with Era Dabla-Norris, Tidiane Kinda, Kaustubh Chahande, Hua Chai, Yadian Chen, Alessia De Stefani, Yosuke Kido, and Fan Qi)
IMF Departmental Paper No 2023/001 [link]
IMF blog: Asia's Productivity Needs a Boost That Digitalization Can Provide
Geo-economic Fragmentation and Commodity Markets (with Jorge Alvarez, Mehdi Benatiya Andaloussi, Chiara Maggi, Martin Stuermer, and Petia Topalova)
IMF Working Paper, 2023 [link]
Digitalization and Social Protection: Macro and Micro Lessons for Vietnam (with Amr Hosny)
IMF Working Paper, 2022 [link]
Household Vulnerability to Income Shocks in Emerging and Developing Asia: the Case of Cambodia, Nepal, and Vietnam (with Alessia De Stefani and Athene Laws)
IMF Working Paper, 2022 [link]
IMF Policy Reports
Expanding Frontiers: Fiscal Policies for Innovation and Technology Diffusion. Fiscal Monitor, April 2024 [link]
Slowdown in Global Medium-term Growth: What Will it Take to Turn the Tide? World Economic Outlook, April 2024 [link]
Fragmentation and Commodity Markets: Vulnerabilities and Risks. World Economic Outlook, October 2023. [link]
Coming Down to Earth: How to Tackle Soaring Public Debt. World Economic Outlook, April 2023. [link]
IMF blog: How to Tackle Soaring Public Debt
Wage Dynamics Post-Covid-19 and Wage-Price Spiral Risks. World Economic Outlook, October 2022. [link]
Media & Press
Wage-Price Spirals: The Historical Evidence. VoxEU Column [link]