Revise & Resubmit at American Economic Review
Joshua Coven, Sebastian Golder, Arpit Gupta, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: Bloomberg, Minneapolis Fed, Homes.com, CoStar News, Arpitrage, The Roundup, NYU Stern Research Highlights, Slate
Revise & Resubmit at Quarterly Journal of Economics
Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Zhixiu Yu
Coverage: Chicago Fed letter
Revise & Resubmit at Journal of International Economics.
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: NPR Marketplace, La Tribune
Forthcoming at American Economic Review: Insights
Meghana Gaur, John Grigsby, Jonathon Hazell, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: Marginal Revolution, NYU Stern Research Highlights, Atlanta Fed
Journal of Monetary Economics, volume 150, March 2025, 103699
Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Kyle Herkenhoff, Abdoulaye Cisse, Alessandro Dell'Acqua, and Ahmadou A. Mbaye
Coverage: VoxDev, Brookings Africa Growth Initiative, World Bank
Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, vol. 1, num. 2, pp. 371-402, June 2023
Pawel Doligalski, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, and Nicolas Werquin
Coverage: Minneapolis Fed OIGI
ACM FC 2025: Proceedings of the International Conference on Financial Cryptography and Data Security, February 2026, pp 245–262
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: a16z Crypto Research
ACM FC 2024: Proceedings of the International Conference on Financial Cryptography and Data Security, February 2025, pp 303–313
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Tax Productivity and Development: A Quantitative Macroeconomic Analysis, March 2025 | video (draft available upon request)
Radhika Goyal, Andres Jensen, David Lagakos, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Hidden Debt Revelation and Optimal Default, December 2025 (draft available upon request)
Louphou Coulibaly and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: a16z Crypto Research
Bocar A. Ba, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Roman G. Rivera, and Alexander Whitefield
Selected Ongoing Research
Illegitimate Taxation: Evidence from 40,000 Colonial Documents
Augustin Bergeron and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abstract: This paper studies how tax legitimacy affects resistance to taxation. We study colonial Nigeria, where similar tax systems and enforcement institutions were introduced across regions with sharply different pre-existing fiscal institutions. We construct document-level measures of tax sentiment, tax complaints, and tax-related conflict from 40,852 colonial administrative documents using large language models applied to archival text. Using a spatial regression discontinuity design at the historical boundary of the Sokoto Caliphate, we find that areas where colonial taxation replaced a pre-existing centralized fiscal system rooted in established moral authority exhibit more negative tax sentiment and higher rates of tax complaints. These differences are not explained by tax rates, enforcement intensity, administrative quality, or public goods provision. The effects emerge during the colonial period and intensify over time. We further show that these differences persist today, using Afrobarometer survey measures of trust in the tax authority. The results indicate that tax legitimacy is a distinct determinant of tax resistance and an important constraint on fiscal capacity.
Public Good Provision and Local Revenue Mobilization
In the field. DigiFi grant. Location: Kanifing, The Gambia
Hamidou Jawara, Justine Knebelmann, Joseph Levine, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, and Victor Pouliquen
Credit and Conflict in Nigeria
Olalekan Bello, Simone Lenzu, Toni Oki, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Redistribution through Firms
Data collection completed. Location: Ghana
Francis Annan and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Breaking Barriers: How Policies, Norms, and Preferences Shape Women's Labor Force Participation
Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Zhixiu Yu