WORKSHOP ON RISK ANALYSIS AND APPLICATIONS
24 and 25 of SEPTEMBER, 2025
Institute of Mathematics and, Statistics of the University of São Paulo, Brazil
PROGRAM
WORKSHOP ON RISK ANALYSIS AND APPLICATIONS
24 and 25 of SEPTEMBER, 2025
Institute of Mathematics and, Statistics of the University of São Paulo, Brazil
PROGRAM
September 24, 2025: Auditório António Gilioli, IME-USP bloco A, sala 247, Rua do Matão 1010
9:00 - 9:10 Ronaldo Hashimoto (Director of the IME-USP): Opening
9:10 - 9:55 Umberto Cherubini (Bologna University, Italy): Systems with repairment and dependence.
9:55 - 10:40 Georgios Pitselis (Piraeus University, Greece): Risk related to tail probabilities in a credibility framework.
10:40 - 11:00 Coffee Break
11:00 - 11:45 Yevgeniy Kovchegov (Oregon State University, USA): A new life of Pearson's skewness.
11:45 - 12:15 Anatoly Yambartsev (IME-USP): Revisiting Poisson processes with catastrophes: a large deviation lens.
12:15 - 12:45 Hedibert Lopes (INSPER): Bayesian dynamic INAR processes: MCMC and SMC.
12:45 - 14:15 Lunch
14:15 - 15:45 Vladimir Belitsky (IME-USP): A simple approach to Girsanov transformation and application in finance. (Short Course, first part).
15:45 - 16:00 Coffee Break
16:00 - 16:30 Pedro Ramos (Università Católica, Chile): Bayesian inference for partial imperfect repair models.
16:30 - 17:00 André Fumis, Rafael Stern and Victor Fossaluza (IME-USP): Covariance balance under Bayesian decision theory.
17:00 - 17:30 Khalil Said (INSEA – Rabat, Morocco): From drought risk mapping to parametric insurance: a machine learning-based framework. .
17:30 - 18:30 Poster Session
19:00 - 22:00 Workshop Dinner
September 25, 2025: Auditório António Gilioli, IME-USP bloco A, sala 247, Rua do Matão 1010
9:30 - 11:00 Vladimir Belitsky (IME-USP): A simple approach to Girsanov transformation and application in finance. (Short Course, second part)
11:00 - 11:30 Juan Arismendi-Zambrano (University College Dublin, Ireland): Arbitrage, relative firms, and latent asymptotics in a relative factor economy.
11:30 - 12:15 Round Table
12:15 - 12:30 Closing