Peer Reviewed Articles & Book Chapters

"The Limits of Nuclear Learning in the New Nuclear Era" (with Nicholas L. Miller). In Vipin Narang and Scott D. Sagan (eds), The Delicate Balance of Terror: Deterrence in a New Nuclear Age, Cornell University Press (forthcoming)

"The Limits of Regional Power: South Africa's Security Strategy, 1975-1989" (with Noel Anderson). Journal of Strategic Studies (forthcoming)

Defending the “Acquisition-Use Presumption” in Assessing the Likelihood of Nuclear Terrorism.” International Studies Quarterly, vol. 63, no. 3 (September 2019): 774-778

How to Think About Nuclear Crises” (with Julia Macdonald). Texas National Security Review, vol. 2, no. 2 (February 2019): 40-64

"Nuclear Opportunism: A Theory of How States Use Nuclear Weapons in International Politics." Journal of Strategic Studies, vol. 42, no. 1 (January 2019): 3-28

"Authoritarian Public Opinion and the Democratic Peace" (with Kai Quek). ​International Organization, vol. 71, no. 1 (Winter 2018): 227-242

"Examining Explanations for Nuclear Proliferation." International Studies Quarterly, vol. 60, no. 3 (September 2016): 520-529

"Beyond Emboldenment: How Acquiring Nuclear Weapons Can Change Foreign Policy." International Security, vol. 40, no. 1 (Summer 2015): 87-119

"Questioning the Effect of Nuclear Weapons on Conflict" (with Nicholas L. Miller). Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 59, no. 1 (February 2015): 74-92

"Can Britain Defend the Falklands?" Defence Studies, vol. 12, no. 2 (June 2012): 283-301

Select other Publications and Writings

"Correspondence: Contrasting Views on How to Code a Nuclear Crisis'' (with Julia Macdonald). Texas National Security Review, vol. 2, no. 4 (August 2019)

"How Dangerous Was Kargil? Nuclear Crises in Comparative Perspective" (with Julia Macdonald). The Washington Quarterly, vol. 42, no. 2 (Summer 2019): 135-148

"Review of James Cameron, The Double Game: The Demise of America's First Missile Defense System and the Rise of Strategic Arms Limitation (Oxford University Press)." The Historian, vol. 81, no. 1 (Spring 2019): 147-148

"Toward Deterrence: The Upside of the Trump-Kim Summit" (with Julia Macdonald). War on the Rocks, June 15, 2018

"North Korean Nuclear Capabilities and U.S. Foreign Policy.'' Physics and Society, vol. 47, no. 2 (April 2018): 30-31

"Trump, Psychology, and the Future of U.S. Alliances" (with Joshua D. Kertzer). German Marshall Fund Young Strategists Forum Paper Series, 2018

"North Korea Won't Give Up Its Nuclear Weapons. The U.S. Has Three Good Reasons to Talk Anyway." Washington Post / Monkey Cage, March 9, 2018

"Review of Todd S. Sechser and Matthew Fuhrmann, Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy (Cambridge University Press)." Political Science Quarterly, vol. 132, no. 4 (Winter 2017/18): 752-754

​"North Korea Benefits from Nuclear Weapons: Get Used to It." War on the Rocks, October 2, 2017

​"Correspondence: The Effects of Acquiring Nuclear Weapons." International Security​, vol. 41, no. 1 (Summer 2016): 186-190

​"Uncertainty, Inferences, and the Study of Nuclear Proliferation." Contribution to International Studies Quarterly online symposium, February 2016

"Okay, So What If Iran Does Get Nuclear Weapons?" Washington Post / Monkey Cage, August 20, 2015

"How to Persuade Journals to Accept Your Replication Paper." Political Science Replication Blog, September 11, 2013

"Can Britain Defend the Falklands?" Huffington Post, October 5, 2012