Sanders Korenman
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Professor, Marxe School of Public & International Affairs, Baruch College,
City University of New York
Conference Participation
Lightning Round II: Impact of Government and Community Interventions
on Reducing Inequality
Paper: Poverty Impacts of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025
Abstract: We simulate impacts on poverty in NY State & NYC of health insurance provisions of OBBBA. We use the Health Inclusive Poverty Measure, recommended by the NAS (2023), to show impacts of federal policy changes when fully phased in, before state/local policy responses, and before behavioral responses by households. Thus, simulations illustrate policy and behavioral adjustments required to prevent poverty from increasing. Results show poverty increasing 2 to 4 percentage points, or by 450,000 to 690,000 people. Child poverty rates increase 4 to 6 percentage points, or by 166,000 to 256,000 children. Medicaid recipients, Hispanics, Asians, and noncitizen immigrants are especially hard hit; non-citizen immigrant poverty rises from 33% to 46%-50%. Nonetheless, the majority of people, and children (88%), entering poverty are US citizens.
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Biography: Sanders Korenman has been a professor in the Austin W. Marxe School of Public and International Affairs at Baruch College, CUNY since 1996. Prior to joining CUNY, he was a member of the full-time faculty at Princeton University and the Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota. He served as Senior Economist for labor, welfare, and education for President Clinton’s Council of Economic Advisers and was a member of the Board on Children, Youth, and Families of the National Academy of Sciences. In 2021-2023 he served on the Panel on Evaluation and Improvements to the Supplemental Poverty Measure of the Committee on National Statistics, National Academies of Science, Technology and Medicine. His recent research has focused on developing a valid poverty measure that incorporates health insurance benefits and needs (with Dahlila Remler, Rosemary Hyson) and using the Health Inclusive Poverty Measure for analyses of health policy changes in the Affordable Care Act and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025.
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