"Centered Chance in the Everett Interpretation" (forthcoming). The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. https://doi.org/10.1086/732603
The many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics (MWI) entails the existence of unlucky branches: parts of the Everettian universe in which the relative frequencies of experimental outcomes differ from those that standard quantum mechanics would have us expect. The fact that a multiplicity of outcomes determinately (and deterministically) take place, even those that standard quantum mechanics would take to be exceedingly unlikely, has led many to challenge whether the MWI is epistemically evaluable in the way that other scientific theories tend to be. I consider a puzzle that unlucky branches pose for rational observers with respect to scientific inference, theory choice, and (dis)confirmation from experimental data.