“Air Pollution, Worker Productivity, and Adaptation: Evidence from Payroll Data of Canadian Tree Planters” (with Dana Andersen)
(Job Market Paper)
This paper studies the role of air pollution in worker productivity among tree planters in Canada. To do so, we acquired confidential payroll data from one of Canada's largest tree-planting companies, which includes information on worker output (trees planted), hours worked, and the location data of planting activity. We link worker data with hourly ambient air pollution data (PM2.5 concentrations) and employ a fixed effects model that accounts for unobserved worker, contract, and region by year unobserved heterogeneity, as well as worker experience, planting piece-rate, and weather (temperature, precipitation, and wind speed). We find that pollution reduces worker productivity: a 10-unit increase in daily PM2.5 reduces productivity by around 3.35% or $5.72 in daily earnings. We explore whether the effect of pollution is dependent on worker productivity, job difficulty, or the presence of incentives. The results suggest that the effect of pollution is more acute for more difficult jobs, but the effect does not depend on worker productivity or the presence of incentives. Because workers have some degree of flexibility in days worked, we explore whether workers recognize and adapt to air pollution by working on days with less pollution, and find evidence of worker adaptation in terms of shifting work schedules. Finally, we corroborate the main results using an alternative measure of air pollution based on satellite data, and various other robustness checks.
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“Impact of Minimum Wage Policy on Labour Productivity: Evidence from Canadian Tree Planters” (with Dana Andersen)
This paper investigates the impact of minimum wages on worker productivity using evidence from Canadian tree planters. The primary analysis detects an overall productivity-improving effect, showing that every 1% increase in the minimum wage level can raise the productivity of all tree planters by an average of 0.48%. Heterogeneous effect analysis shows that this impact varies based on planter experience and skill: it remains positive but diminishes as planters gain experience; and while the effect is negative for the least productive planters, it is positive for more skilled workers. Additionally, we assess the effect of minimum wage on labor supply, as well as conduct contract-level analysis by aggregating planter-level data to the contract level. Lastly, various productivity measures are employed to test the robustness of our main findings.
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“Impacts of COVID-19 Containment Policies on Air Pollution and Exposure Disparities” (with Tsegaye Ginbo, Patrick Lloyd-Smith and Wiktor Adamowicz)
Policy responses to COVID-19 varied in intensity across jurisdictions – providing a form of “natural experiment” on how restrictions in economic activity affect air quality. We study the effects of the stringency of COVID-19 containment policies on air pollution and exposure disparities among social groups in Canada. We use daily air pollution data and the COVID-19 policy stringency index from Oxford University’s COVID-19 Government Response Tracker. Our empirical analyses combine various forms of difference-in-differences and instrumental variables approaches. We also estimate the monetary value of a change in policy stringency using the Air Quality Benefits Assessment tool developed by Health Canada and the measure of the value of mortality and morbidity risk reduction. We find that more stringent COVID-19 policies in 2020 reduced seven air pollutant levels (PM2.5, NO2, SO2, CO, PM10, NOX, and NO), but increased O3. A higher exposure of Indigenous groups to CO and low-income groups to PM2.5, NO2, NOX, and NO remained despite the overall reduction in air pollution due to the pandemic policies. Furthermore, a 10% increase in policy stringency would have resulted in air quality improvements valued at approximately $7 billion for 2022. The findings suggest that policies restricting human activities can improve environmental quality, and valuation of these measures can be used to inform policy, but the elimination of air pollution exposure gaps may require more targeted interventions to tackle the underlying factors for such disparities.
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“Temperature and Worker Productivity: Evidence from Canadian Tree Planters”
Understanding the link between outdoor temperature and labour productivity is vital to determining the extent to which climate change will impact individual welfare and the aggregate economy. This paper uses the payroll data of Canadian tree planters matched with the weather data to estimate the productivity effect of temperature on the 2,241 tree planters located in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia and Ontario during 2016-2020. Overall, a productivity enhancing effect of temperature is found on the tree planters, specfically an inverted U-shaped is identified with the optimal temperature being 20-21.5°C, the positive effect on productivity starts to diminish as the temperature either increases or decreases from that level.