Stanford Graduate School of Business
My papers are organized by topic to make them easier to find. There is some duplication/cross-listing. For a chronological list of my articles look at my cv.
Kirgios, Erika, Susan Athey, Angela L. Duckworth, Dean Karlan, Michael Luca, Katherine L. Milkman, and Molly Offer-Westort. Does Q&A Boost Engagement? Health Messaging Experiments in the US and Ghana. No. w33294. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2025.
https://www.nber.org/papers/w33294
Topic(s): Health; Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Kristen Grabarz, Michael Luca, and Nils Wernerfelt. “Digital Public Health Interventions at Scale: The Impact of Social Media Advertising on Beliefs and Outcomes Related to COVID Vaccines.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120 (5) (2023).
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.220811012
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Health; Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Juan Camilo Castillo, Esha Chaudhuri, Michael Kremer, Alexandre Simoes Gomes, and Christopher M. Snyder. “Expanding Capacity for Vaccines against COVID-19 and Future Pandemics: A Review of Economic Issues.” Oxford Review of Economic Policy 38 (4) (2022): 742–770.
https://www.nber.org/papers/w30192
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Health
Zeng, Jiaming, Michael F. Gensheimer, Daniel L. Rubin, Susan Athey, and Ross D. Shachter. “Uncovering Interpretable Potential Confounders in Electronic Medical Records.” Nature Communications 13 (2022).
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28546-8
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Health
Powell, Michael, Allison Koenecke, James Brian Byrd, Akihiko Nishimura, Maximilian F. Konig, Ruoxuan Xiong, Sadiqa Mahmood, et al. “Ten Rules for Conducting Retrospective Pharmacoepidemiological Analyses: Example COVID-19 Study.” Frontiers in Pharmacology 12 (2021).
https://doi.org/10.3389/fphar.2021.700776
Topic(s): Health
Koenecke, Allison, Michael Powell, Ruoxuan Xiong, Zhu Shen, Nicole Fischer, Sakibul Huq, Adham M. Khalafallah, et al. “Alpha-1 Adrenergic Receptor Antagonists to Prevent Hyperinflammation and Death from Lower Respiratory Tract Infection.” eLife 10 (2021): e61700.
https://elifesciences.org/articles/61700
Topic(s): Health
Rose, Liam, Laura Graham, Allison Koenecke, Michael Powell, Ruoxuan Xiong, Zhu Shen, Brett Mench, et al. “The Association Between Alpha-1 Adrenergic Receptor Antagonists and In-Hospital Mortality from COVID-19.” Frontiers in Medicine 8 (2021).
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmed.2021.637647/full
Topic(s): Health
Thomsen, Reimar W., Christian Fynbo Christiansen, Uffe Heide-Jørgensen, Joshua T. Vogelstein, Bert Vogelstein, and Chetan Bettegowda. “Association of α1-Blocker Receipt With 30-Day Mortality and Risk of Intensive Care Unit Admission Among Adults Hospitalized With Influenza or Pneumonia in Denmark.” JAMA Network Open 4 (2) (2021): e2037053.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33566109/
Topic(s): Health
Castillo, Juan Camilo, Amrita Ahuja, Susan Athey, Arthur Baker, Eric Budish, Tasneem Chipty, Rachel Glennerster, et al. “Market Design to Accelerate COVID-19 Vaccine Supply.” Science 371, no. 6534 (2021): 1107–9
https://www.science.org/doi/full/10.1126/science.abg0889
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Health; Social Impact
Ahuja, Amrita, Susan Athey, Arthur Baker, Eric Budish, Juan Camilo Castillo, Rachel Glennerster, Scott Duke Kominers, et al. “Preparing for a Pandemic: Accelerating Vaccine Availability.” AEA Papers and Proceedings 111 (2021): 331–35
https://www.nber.org/papers/w28492
Topic(s): Health
Conti, Rena, Richard Frank, and Jonathan Gruber. “Generic Drug Repurposing for COVID-19 and Beyond.” Boston University, Institute for Health Innovation Policy (2020).
https://www.bu.edu/ihsip/2020/07/17/generic-drug-repurposing-for-covid-19-and-beyond/
Topic(s): Health
Athey, Susan, Kosuke Inoue, and Yusuke Tsugawa. “Targeted Treatment Assignment Using Data from Randomized Experiments with Noncompliance.” Available at SSRN 5214522.
https://ssrn.com/abstract=5214522
https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5214522
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Clarke, Damian, Daniel Pailañir, Susan Athey, and Guido Imbens “On Synthetic Difference-in-Differences and Related Estimation Methods in Stata.” The Stata Journal 24, no. 4 (2024): 557-598.
https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X24129791
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan. “Presidential Address: The Economist as Designer in the Innovation Process for Socially Impactful Digital Products.” American Economic Review 115, no. 4 (2025): 1059-1099.
https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.1257/aer.115.4.1059
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Niall Keleher, and Jann Spiess. “Machine learning who to nudge: causal vs predictive targeting in a field experiment on student financial aid renewal.” Journal of Econometrics (2025): 105945.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105945
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Vafa, Keyon, Susan Athey, and David M. Blei. “Estimating Wage Disparities Using Foundation Models.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 122, no. 22 (2025): e2427298122.
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2427298122
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions
Athey, Susan, Raj Chetty, Guido W. Imbens, and Hyunseung Kang. “The Surrogate Index: Combining Short-Term Proxies to Estimate Long-Term Treatment Effects More Rapidly and Precisely.” Review of Economic Studies, 2025.
https://academic.oup.com/restud/advance-article/doi/10.1093/restud/rdaf087/8268796
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Vafa, Keyon, Susan Athey, and David M. Blei. “Decomposing Changes in the Gender Wage Gap over Worker Careers.” (2023).
https://conference.nber.org/conf_papers/f189605.pdf
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions
Du, Tianyu, Ayush Kanodia, Herman Brunborg, Keyon Vafa, and Susan Athey. “LABOR-LLM: Language-Based Occupational Representations with Large Language Models.”arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.17972 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2406.17972
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions
Krishnamurthy, Sanath Kumar, Susan Athey, and Emma Brunskill. “Data-Driven Error Estimation: Upper Bounding Multiple Errors with No Technical Debt.” arXiv preprint, 2024.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.04636
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Vafa, Keyon, Emil Palikot, Tianyu Du, Ayush Kanodia, Susan Athey, and David Blei. “CAREER: A Foundation Model for Labor Sequence Data.” Transactions on Machine Learning Research (2024)
https://openreview.net/forum?id=4i1MXH8Sle
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions
Athey, Susan, Lisa K. Simon, Oskar N. Skans, Johan Vikström, and Yaroslav Yakymovyc. “The Heterogeneous Earnings Impact of Job Loss Across Workers, Establishments, and Markets.”arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.06684 (2023).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2307.06684
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions; Social Impact
Carranza, Aldo Gael, and Susan Athey. “Robust Offline Policy Learning with Observational Data from Multiple Sources.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2410.08537 (2024)
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Xiong, Ruoxuan, Susan Athey, Mohsen Bayati, and Guido Imbens. “Optimal Experimental Design for Staggered Rollouts.” Management Science (2023).
https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4928.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan, Peter J. Bickel, Aiyou Chen, Guido W. Imbens, and Michael Pollmann. “Semi-parametric estimation of treatment effects in randomised experiments.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology 85, no. 5 (2023): 1615-1638.
https://doi-org.stanford.idm.oclc.org/10.1093/jrsssb/qkad072
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Krishnamurthy, Sanath Kumar, and Susan Athey. “Optimal Model Selection in Contextual Bandits with Many Classes via Offline Oracles.” arXiv preprint No. 3971 (2021).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2106.06483
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Sverdrup, Erik, Han Wu, Susan Athey, and Stefan Wager. “Qini curves for multi-armed treatment rules.” Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics (2024): 1-24
https://doi.org/10.1080/10618600.2024.2418820
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Krishnamurthy, Sanath Kumar, Ruohan Zhan, Susan Athey, and Emma Brunskill. “Proportional response: Contextual bandits for simple and cumulative regret minimization.” Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 36 (2023): 30255-30266.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.02108
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Carranza, Aldo Gael, and Susan Athey. “Federated Offline Policy Learning with Heterogeneous Observational Data.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2305.12407 (2023).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2305.12407
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Du, Tianyu, Ayush Kanodia, and Susan Athey. “Torch-Choice: A PyTorch Package for Large-Scale Choice Modelling with Python.” arXiv preprint (2023).
https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.01906
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Carranza, Aldo Gael, Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy, and Susan Athey. “Flexible and efficient contextual bandits with heterogeneous treatment effect oracles.” In International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, pp. 7190-7212. PMLR, 2023.
https://proceedings.mlr.press/v206/carranza23a/carranza23a.pdf
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan, Undral Byambadalai, Vitor Hadad, Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy, Weiwen Leung, and Joseph Jay Williams. “Contextual Bandits in a Survey Experiment on Charitable Giving: Within-Experiment Outcomes versus Policy Learning.” arXiv preprint (2022).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2211.12004
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Social Impact
Vafa, Keyon, Emil Palikot, Tianyu Du, Ayush Kanodia, Susan Athey, and David M. Blei. “CAREER: Transfer Learning for Economic Prediction of Labor Sequence Data.” Working paper (2022).
https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/gsb-box/route-download/620742
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Zeng, Jiaming, Michael F. Gensheimer, Daniel L. Rubin, Susan Athey, and Ross D. Shachter. “Uncovering Interpretable Potential Confounders in Electronic Medical Records.” Nature Communications 13 (2022).
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-28546-8
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Health
Cui, Peng, and Susan Athey. “Stable Learning Establishes Some Common Ground between Causal Inference and Machine Learning.” Nature Machine Intelligence 4 (2) (2022): 110–115.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-022-00445-z
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Arkhangelsky, Dmitry, Susan Athey, David A. Hirshberg, Guido W. Imbens, and Stefan Wager. “Synthetic Difference-in-Differences.” American Economic Review 111 (12) (2021): 4088–4118.
https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20190159
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Donnelly, Robert, Francisco J. R. Ruiz, David Blei, et al. “Counterfactual Inference for Consumer Choice Across Many Product Categories.” Quantitative Marketing and Economics 19 (2021): 369–407.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11129-021-09241-2.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Athey, Susan, Peter J. Bickel, Aiyou Chen, Guido Imbens, and Michael Pollmann. “Semiparametric Estimation of Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. w29242 (2021).
https://www.nber.org/papers/w29242
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Xiong, Ruoxuan, Allison Koenecke, Michael Powell, Zhu Shen, and Joshua T. Vogelstein. “Federated Causal Inference in Heterogeneous Observational Data.” arXiv preprint (2021).
https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.11732
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Imbens, Guido. “Breiman’s Two Cultures: A Perspective from Econometrics.” Observational Studies 7 (1) (2021).
https://muse.jhu.edu/article/799753
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Krishnamurthy, Sanath Kumar, and Susan Athey. “Optimal Model Selection in Contextual Bandits with Many Classes via Offline Oracles.” arXiv preprint No. 3971 (2021).
https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.06483v1
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Zhan, Ruohan, Vitor Hadad, and David A. Hirshberg. “Off-Policy Evaluation via Adaptive Weighting with Data from Contextual Bandits.” arXiv preprint (2021).
https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.02029
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Hofman, Jake M., and Duncan J. Watts. “Integrating Explanation and Prediction in Computational Social Science.” Nature 594 (2021).
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03659-0
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Zhan, Ruohan, Zhimei Ren, and Zhengyuan Zhou. “Policy Learning with Adaptively Collected Data.” arXiv preprint (2021).
https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.02344
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan, and Guido W. Imbens. “Design-Based Analysis in Difference-in-Differences Settings with Staggered Adoption.” Journal of Econometrics 226 (1) (2022): 62–79.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.10.012
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan, Guido W. Imbens, Jonas Metzger, and Evan Munro. “Using Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks for the Design of Monte Carlo Simulations.” Journal of Econometrics 240 (2) (2024): 105076.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.09.013
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Krishnamurthy, Sanath Kumar, and Vitor Hadad. “Adapting to Misspecification in Contextual Bandits with Offline Regression Oracles.” arXiv preprint (2021).
https://arxiv.org/abs/2102.13240
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Hadad, Vitor, David A. Hirshberg, Ruohan Zhan, Stefan Wager, and Susan Athey. “Confidence Intervals for Policy Evaluation in Adaptive Experiments.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (15) (2021).
https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.02768
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan, and Stefan Wager. “Policy Learning with Observational Data.” Econometrica 89 (1) (2021): 133–161.
https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA15732
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Krishnamurthy, Sanath Kumar, Vitor Hadad, and Susan Athey. “Tractable Contextual Bandits Beyond Realizability.” In Proceedings of the 24th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics, Proceedings of Machine Learning Research 130: 1423–1431 (2021). PMLR.
https://proceedings.mlr.press/v130/kumar-krishnamurthy21a.html
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Friedberg, Rina, Julie Tibshirani, and Stefan Wager. “Local Linear Forests.” Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics (2020).
https://arxiv.org/abs/1807.11408
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Chetty, Raj, and Guido Imbens. “Combining Experimental and Observational Data to Estimate Treatment Effects on Long-Term Outcomes.” arXiv preprint (2020).
https://arxiv.org/abs/2006.09676
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Sverdrup, Erik, Ayush Kanodia, Zhengyuan Zhou, and Stefan Wager. “Policytree: Policy Learning via Doubly Robust Empirical Welfare Maximization over Trees.” Journal of Open Source Software 5 (50) (2020): 2232.
https://joss.theoj.org/papers/10.21105/joss.02232.pdf
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Kuang, Kun, Ruoxuan Xiong, Peng Cui, Susan Athey, and Bo Li. “Stable prediction with model misspecification and agnostic distribution shift.” In Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, vol. 34, no. 04, pp. 4485-4492. 2020.
https://doi.org/10.1609/aaai.v34i04.5876
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan, Francisco J. R. Ruiz, and David M. Blei. “SHOPPER: A Probabilistic Model of Consumer Choice with Substitutes and Complements.” Annals of Applied Statistics 14, no. 1 (March 2020): 1–27.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Krishnamurthy, Sanath Kumar. “Survey Bandits with Regret Guarantees.” arXiv preprint (2020).
https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.09814
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Xiong, Ruoxuan, Mohsen Bayati, and Guido Imbens. “Optimal Experimental Design for Staggered Rollouts.” arXiv preprint (2019).
https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.03764
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Johannemann, Jonathan, Vitor Hadad, and Stefan Wager. “Sufficient Representations for Categorical Variables.” arXiv preprint (2019).
https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.09874
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Wager, Stefan. “Estimating Treatment Effects with Causal Forests: An Application.” Observational Studies 5 (2019): 21–35.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Arkhangelsky, Dmitry, David A. Hirshberg, Guido W. Imbens, and Stefan Wager. “Synthetic Difference in Differences.” arXiv preprint (2019).
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1812.09970.pdf.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Bayati, Mohsen, Guido Imbens, and Zhaonan Qu. “Ensemble Methods for Causal Effects in Panel Data Settings.” American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 109 (2019): 65–70.
https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20191069
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Imbens, Guido. “Machine Learning Methods Economists Should Know About.” arXiv preprint (2019)
https://arxiv.org/abs/1903.10075.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Tibshirani, Julie, and Stefan Wager. “Generalized Random Forests.” Annals of Statistics 47 (2) (2019): 1148–1178.
https://doi.org/10.1214/18-AOS1709
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Zhou, Zhengyuan, Panayotis Mertikopoulos, Nicholas Bambos, Peter Glynn, and Yinyu Ye. “Learning in Games with Lossy Feedback.” In Proceedings of the 32nd Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS 2018), Montréal, Canada.
http://papers.nips.cc/paper/7760-learning-in-games-with-lossy-feedback.pdf
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Zhou, Zhengyuan, and Stefan Wager. “Offline Multi-Action Policy Learning: Generalization and Optimization.” arXiv preprint (2018).
https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.04778
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Kuang, Kun, Ruoxuan Xiong, Peng Cui, and Bo Li. “Stable Predictions across Unknown Environments.” In Proceedings of the 24th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD 2018). arXiv preprint (2018).
https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.06270
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Wager, Stefan. “Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Using Random Forests.” Journal of the American Statistical Association (2018): 1–15.
https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2017.1319839.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan, David Blei, Robert Donnelly, Francisco Ruiz, and Tobias Schmidt. “Estimating Heterogeneous Consumer Preferences for Restaurants and Travel Time Using Mobile Location Data.” AEA Papers and Proceedings 108 (2018): 64–67.
https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20181031
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Imbens, Guido W., and Stefan Wager. “Approximate Residual Balancing: Debiased Inference of Average Treatment Effects in High Dimensions.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B 80 (4) (2018): 597–623.
https://doi.org/10.1111/rssb.12268
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Dimakopoulou, Maria, and Guido Imbens. “Estimation Considerations in Contextual Bandits.” arXiv preprint (2018).
https://arxiv.org/abs/1711.07077
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan. “The Impact of Machine Learning on Economics.” Forthcoming in The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda.
http://www.nber.org/chapters/c14009.pdf.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Liu, Liping, Francisco Ruiz, and David Blei. “Context Selection for Embedding Models.” In Proceedings of the Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS 2017), 4819–4828. 2017.
http://papers.nips.cc/paper/7067-context-selection-for-embedding-models
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Rudolph, Maja, Francisco Ruiz, and David Blei. “Structured Embedding Models for Grouped Data.” In Proceedings of the Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS 2017), 250–260. 2017.
https://papers.nips.cc/paper/6629-structured-embedding-models-for-grouped-data.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Abadie, Alberto, Guido Imbens, and Jeffrey Wooldridge. “When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering?” arXiv preprint (2017).
https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.02926.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Bayati, Mohsen, Nikolay Doudchenko, Guido Imbens, and Khashayar Khosravi. (2017). “Matrix Completion Methods for Causal Panel Data Models.” arXiv preprint.
https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.10251.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Abadie, Alberto, Guido W. Imbens, and Jeffrey M. Wooldridge. “Sampling-Based vs. Design-Based Uncertainty in Regression Analysis (Previously Titled: Finite Population Causal Standard Errors).” Econometrica (forthcoming). arXiv preprint (2017).
https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.01778v1.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Imbens, Guido. “The State of Applied Econometrics: Causality and Policy Evaluation.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 31 (2) (2017): 3–32.
https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.31.2.3
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Imbens, Guido, Thai Pham, and Stefan Wager. “Estimating Average Treatment Effects: Supplementary Analyses and Remaining Challenges.” American Economic Review 107 (5) (2017): 278–281.
https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.p20171042
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Imbens, Guido. “The Econometrics of Randomized Experiments.” In Handbook of Economic Field Experiments, 1 (2017): 73–140.
https://www.elsevier.com/books/handbook-of-field-experiments/duflo/978-0-444-63324-8.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Eckles, Dean, and Guido W. Imbens. “Exact P-Values for Network Interference.” Journal of the American Statistical Association (2017).
https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2016.1241178.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan. “Beyond Prediction: Using Big Data for Policy Problems.” Science 355 (2017): 483–485.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aal4321
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Chetty, Raj, Guido W. Imbens, and Hyunseung Kang. “Estimating Treatment Effects Using Multiple Surrogates: The Role of the Surrogate Score and the Surrogate Index.” arXiv preprint (2016).
http://arxiv.org/abs/1603.09326
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Imbens, Guido W. “Recursive Partitioning for Heterogeneous Causal Effects.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113 (27) (2016): 7353–7360.
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1510489113
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Athey, Susan. “Machine Learning and Causal Inference for Policy Evaluation.” In Proceedings of the 21st ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD ’15), 5–6. Association for Computing Machinery, New York, NY, USA, (2015).
https://doi.org/10.1145/2783258.2785466
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Imbens, Guido W. “A Measure of Robustness to Misspecification.” The American Economic Review 105 (5) (2015): 476–480.
https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.p20151020
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Kirgios, Erika, Susan Athey, Angela L. Duckworth, Dean Karlan, Michael Luca, Katherine L. Milkman, and Molly Offer-Westort. Does Q&A Boost Engagement? Health Messaging Experiments in the US and Ghana. No. w33294. National Bureau of Economic Research, 2025.
https://www.nber.org/papers/w33294
Topic(s): Health; Social Impact
Athey, Susan. “Presidential Address: The Economist as Designer in the Innovation Process for Socially Impactful Digital Products.” American Economic Review 115, no. 4 (2025): 1059-1099.
https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdf/10.1257/aer.115.4.1059
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Social Impact
Athey, Susan. “Choosing the ‘Right’ Default Donation Amounts for Each Donor to Balance Multiple Fundraising Objectives.” Golub Capital Social Impact Lab. Stanford Graduate School of Business, November 2024.
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Niall Keleher, and Jann Spiess. “Machine learning who to nudge: causal vs predictive targeting in a field experiment on student financial aid renewal.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.08672 (2023).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2310.08672
Topic(s): Social Impact
Inoue, Kosuke, Susan Athey, Katherine Baicker, and Yusuke Tsugawa. “Heterogeneous effects of Medicaid coverage on cardiovascular risk factors: secondary analysis of randomized controlled trial.” bmj 386 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2024-079377
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Undral Byambadalai, Matias Cersosimo, Kristine Koutout, and Shanjukta Nath. “The Heterogeneous Impact of Changes in Default Gift Amounts on Fundraising.” SSRN preprint (2024).
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4785704.
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, and Emil Palikot. “The Value of Non-Traditional Credentials in the Labor Market.”arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.00247 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2405.00247
Topic(s): Labor Market Transitions; Social Impact
Offer-Westort, Molly, Leah R. Rosenzweig, and Susan Athey. “Battling the coronavirus ‘infodemic’ among social media users in Kenya and Nigeria.” Nature Human Behaviour 8, no. 5 (2024): 823-834.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-023-01810-7
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Shawn Allen Cole, Shanjukta Nath, and S. Jessica Zhu. “Targeting, Personalization, and Engagement in an Agricultural Advisory Service.” SSRN preprint (2023).
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4536641.
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Lisa K. Simon, Oskar N. Skans, Johan Vikström, and Yaroslav Yakymovyc. “The Heterogeneous Earnings Impact of Job Loss Across Workers, Establishments, and Markets.”arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.06684 (2023).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2307.06684
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions; Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Matias Cersosimo, Dean Karlan, Kristine Koutout, and Henrike Steimer. “Impact Matters for Giving at Checkout.” SSRN preprint (2024).
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4711399.
Topic(s): Social Impact
Agrawal, Keshav, Susan Athey, Ayush Kanodia, and Emil Palikot. “Digital interventions and habit formation in educational technology.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.10850 (2023).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2310.10850
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Katy Bergstrom, Vitor Hadad, Julian C. Jamison, Berk Özler, Luca Parisotto, and Julius Dohbit Sama. “Can personalized digital counseling improve consumer search for modern contraceptive methods?” Science Advances 9, no. 40 (2023): eadg4420.
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adg4420
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Matias Cersosimo, Kristine Koutout, and Zelin Li. “Emotion-versus reasoning-based drivers of misinformation sharing: A field experiment using text message courses in Kenya.” (2023).
https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4489759
Topic(s): Social Impact
Inoue, Kosuke, Susan Athey, and Yusuke Tsugawa. “Machine-Learning-Based High-Benefit Approach versus Conventional High-Risk Approach in Blood Pressure Management.” International Journal of Epidemiology (2023).
https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyad037
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Dean Karlan, Emil Palikot, and Yuan Yuan. “Smiles in Profiles: Improving Fairness and Efficiency Using Estimates of User Preferences in Online Marketplaces.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. w30633 (2022).
https://www.nber.org/papers/w30633
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Social Impact
Offer-Westort, Molly, Leah R. Rosenzweig, and Susan Athey. “Battling the Coronavirus Infodemic Among Social Media Users in Africa.” Working paper (2023).
https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/gsb-box/route-download/620740.
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Kristen Grabarz, Michael Luca, and Nils Wernerfelt. “Digital Public Health Interventions at Scale: The Impact of Social Media Advertising on Beliefs and Outcomes Related to COVID Vaccines.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120 (5) (2023).
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.220811012
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Health; Social Impact
Agrawal, Keshav, Susan Athey, Ayush Kanodia, and Emil Palikot. “Personalized Recommendations in EdTech: Evidence from a Randomized Controlled Trial.” arXiv preprint (2022).
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2208.13940
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, and Emil Palikot. “Effective and Scalable Programs to Facilitate Labor Market Transitions for Women in Technology.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2211.09968 (2022).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2211.09968
Topic(s): Labor Market Transitions; Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Undral Byambadalai, Vitor Hadad, Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy, Weiwen Leung, and Joseph Jay Williams. “Contextual Bandits in a Survey Experiment on Charitable Giving: Within-Experiment Outcomes versus Policy Learning.” arXiv preprint (2022).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2211.12004
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Social Impact
Bergstrom, Katy, Vitor Hadad, Julian C. Jamison, Berk Özler, Luca Parisotto, and Julius Dohbit Sama. “Shared Decision-Making: Can Improved Counseling Increase Willingness to Pay for Modern Contraceptives?” Working Paper. World Bank (2021).
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/36304
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Billy Ferguson, Matthew Gentzkow, and Tobias Schmidt. “Estimating Experienced Racial Segregation in US Cities Using Large-Scale GPS Data.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (46) (2021): e2026160118.
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2026160118.
Topic(s): Social Impact
Castillo, Juan Camilo, Amrita Ahuja, Susan Athey, Arthur Baker, Eric Budish, Tasneem Chipty, Rachel Glennerster, et al. “Market Design to Accelerate COVID-19 Vaccine Supply.” Science 371, no. 6534 (2021): 1107–9
https://www.science.org/doi/full/10.1126/science.abg0889
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Health; Social Impact
Egger, Dennis, Edward Miguel, Shana S. Warren, Ashish Shenoy, Elliott Collins, Dean Karlan, Doug Parkerson, et al. “Falling Living Standards during the COVID-19 Crisis: Quantitative Evidence from Nine Developing Countries.” Science Advances 7 (6) (2021): eabe0997.
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abe0997.
Topic(s): Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Dean Karlan, Emil Palikot, and Yuan Yuan. “Smiles in Profiles: Improving Fairness and Efficiency Using Estimates of User Preferences in Online Marketplaces.” National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. w30633 (2022).
https://www.nber.org/papers/w30633
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Kristen Grabarz, Michael Luca, and Nils Wernerfelt. “Digital Public Health Interventions at Scale: The Impact of Social Media Advertising on Beliefs and Outcomes Related to COVID Vaccines.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120 (5) (2023).
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.220811012
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Health; Social Impact
Athey, Susan, Juan Camilo Castillo, Esha Chaudhuri, Michael Kremer, Alexandre Simoes Gomes, and Christopher M. Snyder. “Expanding Capacity for Vaccines against COVID-19 and Future Pandemics: A Review of Economic Issues.” Oxford Review of Economic Policy 38 (4) (2022): 742–770.
https://www.nber.org/papers/w30192
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Health
Castillo, Juan Camilo, Amrita Ahuja, Susan Athey, Arthur Baker, Eric Budish, Tasneem Chipty, Rachel Glennerster, et al. “Market Design to Accelerate COVID-19 Vaccine Supply.” Science 371, no. 6534 (2021): 1107–9
https://www.science.org/doi/full/10.1126/science.abg0889
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Health; Social Impact
Babaioff, Moshe, Michael D. Grubb, and Ittai Abraham. “Peaches, Lemons, and Cookies: Designing Auction Markets with Dispersed Information.” Games and Economic Behavior 124 (2020): 454–477.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2020.09.004
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics)
Athey, Susan, Emilio Calvano, and Joshua S. Gans. “The Impact of Consumer Multi-Homing on Advertising Markets and Media Competition.” Rotman School of Management Working Paper No. 2180851 (2016).
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2180851.
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics)
Catalini, Christian, and Catherine E. Tucker. “The Digital Privacy Paradox: Small Money, Small Costs, Small Talk.” Working Paper (2017).
https://www.nber.org/papers/w23488.
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics)
Athey, Susan. “Information, Privacy and the Internet: An Economic Perspective.” CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (2014).
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics)
Coey, Dominic, and Jonathan Levin. “Set-Asides and Subsidies in Auctions.” American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 5 (1) (2013): 1–27.
https://doi.org/10.1257/mic.5.1.1
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Mobius, Markus, and Jeno Pal. “The Impact of Aggregators on Internet News Consumption.” Working Paper (2017).
https://www.nber.org/papers/w28746.
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Athey, Susan, Juan Camilo Castillo, and Bharat Chandar. “Service Quality on Online Platforms: Empirical Evidence about Driving Quality at Uber.” Forthcoming in Management Science.
https://doi.org/10.3386/w33087.
Topic(s): Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Athey, Susan, Mark Chicu, Malika Krishna, and Ioana Marinescu. “The Year in Review: Economics at the Antitrust Division, 2022–2023.” Review of Industrial Organization 63 (2024): 525–544.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11151-023-09931-z.
Topic(s): Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Athey, Susan, and Fiona Scott Morton. “Platform Annexation.” Antitrust Law Journal 84 (3) (2022): 677–703.
https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/gsb-box/route-download/620540.
Topic(s): Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Athey, Susan, Russell Pittman, and Fan Zhang. “The Year in Review: Economics at the Antitrust Division 2021–2022.” Review of Industrial Organization 61 (2022): 439–447.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11151-022-09884-9.
Topic(s): Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Donnelly, Robert, Francisco J. R. Ruiz, David Blei, et al. “Counterfactual Inference for Consumer Choice Across Many Product Categories.” Quantitative Marketing and Economics 19 (2021): 369–407.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11129-021-09241-2.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Vogelstein, Joshua T., Michael Powell, Allison Koenecke, Ruoxuan Xiong, Nicole Fischer, et al. “Alpha-1 Adrenergic Receptor Antagonists for Preventing Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and Death from Cytokine Storm Syndrome.” arXiv preprint (2020).
https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.10117.
Topic(s): Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Athey, Susan, Francisco J. R. Ruiz, and David M. Blei. “SHOPPER: A Probabilistic Model of Consumer Choice with Substitutes and Complements.” Annals of Applied Statistics 14, no. 1 (March 2020): 1–27.
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Ferguson, Billy, Matthew Gentzkow, and Tobias Schmidt. “Experienced Segregation.” Working Paper (2019).
http://web.stanford.edu/~gentzkow/research/experienced-segregation.pdf
Topic(s): Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Athey, Susan, David Blei, Robert Donnelly, Francisco Ruiz, and Tobias Schmidt. “Estimating Heterogeneous Consumer Preferences for Restaurants and Travel Time Using Mobile Location Data.” AEA Papers and Proceedings 108 (2018): 64–67.
https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20181031
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Athey, Susan. “Beyond Prediction: Using Big Data for Policy Problems.” Science 355 (2017): 483–485.
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aal4321
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Parashkevov, Iva, Vishnu Sarukkai, and Jing Xia. “Bitcoin Pricing, Adoption, and Usage: Theory and Evidence.” Working Paper (2016).
Topic(s): Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Coey, Dominic, and Jonathan Levin. “Set-Asides and Subsidies in Auctions.” American Economic Journal: Microeconomics 5 (1) (2013): 1–27.
https://doi.org/10.1257/mic.5.1.1
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Mobius, Markus, and Jeno Pal. “The Impact of Aggregators on Internet News Consumption.” Working Paper (2017).
https://www.nber.org/papers/w28746.
Topic(s): Auctions, Market Design, and Online Advertising (Theory, Empirical, and Econometrics); Industrial Organization and the Econometrics of IO
Calvano, Emilio, and Saumitra Jha. “A Theory of Community Formation and Social Hierarchy.” Working Paper (2016).
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2823777.
Topic(s): Dynamic and Repeated Games and Mechanisms; Economics of Organizations
Ellison, Glenn. “Dynamics of Open Source Movements.” Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 23 (2) (2014): 294–316.
https://doi.org/10.1111/jems.12053.
Topic(s): Dynamic and Repeated Games and Mechanisms; Economics of Organizations
Segal, Ilya. “An Efficient Dynamic Mechanism.” Econometrica 81 (6) (2013): 2463–2485.
https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA6995.
Topic(s): Dynamic and Repeated Games and Mechanisms
Gans, Joshua, and Kevin A. Bryan. “The Allocation of Decision Authority to Human and Artificial Intelligence.” NBER Working Paper no. 26673 (2020).
https://doi.org/10.3386/w26673
Topic(s): Economics of Organizations
Luca, Michael. “Economists (and Economics) in Tech Companies.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 33 (1) (2019): 209–230.
https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.33.1.209.
Topic(s): Economics of Organizations
Calvano, Emilio, and Saumitra Jha. “A Theory of Community Formation and Social Hierarchy.” Working Paper (2016).
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2823777.
Topic(s): Dynamic and Repeated Games and Mechanisms; Economics of Organizations
Stern, Scott. “The Nature and Incidence of Software Piracy: Evidence from Windows.” In Economic Analysis of the Digital Economy, edited by Avi Goldfarb, Shane Greenstein, and Catherine Tucker, 443–477. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2015.
http://www.nber.org/chapters/c13002.pdf
Topic(s): Economics of Organizations
Ellison, Glenn. “Dynamics of Open Source Movements.” Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 23 (2) (2014): 294–316.
https://doi.org/10.1111/jems.12053.
Topic(s): Dynamic and Repeated Games and Mechanisms; Economics of Organizations
Levin, Jonathan. “The Value of Information in Monotone Decision Problems.” Research in Economics (2017).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rie.2017.01.001.
Topic(s): Monotone Comparative Statics and Applications
Athey, Susan, Alex Gross, Ioana Marinescu, and Jennifer Shanefelter. “The Year in Review: Economics at the Antitrust Division 2023–2024.” Review of Industrial Organization (2024): 1-21.
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11151-024-09998-2
Topic(s): Empirical Industrial Organization
Vafa, Keyon, Emil Palikot, Tianyu Du, Ayush Kanodia, Susan Athey, and David M. Blei. “CAREER: Economic prediction of labor sequence data under distribution shift.” In NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Distribution Shifts: Connecting Methods and Applications. 2022.
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2202.08370
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning
Vafa, Keyon, Susan Athey, and David M. Blei. “Estimating Wage Disparities Using Foundation Models.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 122, no. 22 (2025): e2427298122.
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2427298122
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions
Vafa, Keyon, Susan Athey, and David M. Blei. “Decomposing Changes in the Gender Wage Gap over Worker Careers.” (2023).
https://conference.nber.org/conf_papers/f189605.pdf
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions
Athey, Susan, and Emil Palikot. “The Value of Non-Traditional Credentials in the Labor Market.”arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.00247 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2405.00247
Topic(s): Labor Market Transitions; Social Impact
Du, Tianyu, Ayush Kanodia, Herman Brunborg, Keyon Vafa, and Susan Athey. “LABOR-LLM: Language-Based Occupational Representations with Large Language Models.”arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.17972 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2406.17972
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions
Vafa, Keyon, Emil Palikot, Tianyu Du, Ayush Kanodia, Susan Athey, and David Blei. “CAREER: A Foundation Model for Labor Sequence Data.” Transactions on Machine Learning Research (2024)
https://openreview.net/forum?id=4i1MXH8Sle
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions
Athey, Susan, Lisa K. Simon, Oskar N. Skans, Johan Vikström, and Yaroslav Yakymovyc. “The Heterogeneous Earnings Impact of Job Loss Across Workers, Establishments, and Markets.”arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.06684 (2023).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2307.06684
Topic(s): Econometric Theory and Machine Learning; Labor Market Transitions; Social Impact
Athey, Susan, and Emil Palikot. “Effective and Scalable Programs to Facilitate Labor Market Transitions for Women in Technology.” arXiv preprint arXiv:2211.09968 (2022).
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2211.09968
Topic(s): Labor Market Transitions; Social Impact