Research
PUBLISHED PAPERS
Gaining a Seat at the Table: Enhancing the Attractiveness of Online Lending for Institutional Investors (with Ram Gopal, Moris Strub, and Zonghao Yang), Information Systems Research, Forthcoming.
Coverage by The European Financial Review and Fintech Global
Generative Learning for Financial Time Series with Irregular and Scale-Invariant Patterns (with Minghua Chen and Hongbin Huang), Proceedings of 12th International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR), (2024).
2024 Gradient AI Research Award
Spotlight Paper (top 5%)
Commodity Momentum : A Tale of Countries and Sectors (with John Fan), Journal of Commodity Markets, 100315 (2023).
Option Pricing via Breakeven Volatility (with Blair Hull and Anlong Li), Financial Analysts Journal, 79.1 (2023), 99-119.
Performance Evaluation, Factor Models, and Portfolio Strategies: Evidence from Chinese Mutual Funds (with Yeguang Chi and Yu Liu), Journal of Portfolio Management, 48.8 (2022), 159-176.
Risk and Potential: An Asset Allocation Framework with Applications to Robo-Advising (with Xiang-Yu Cui, Duan Li, and Moris Strub), Journal of Operations Research Society of China, 10.3 (2022), 529-558.
Memorial Issue for Professor Duan Li
Deep Learning Credit Risk Modeling (with Gerardo Manzo), Journal of Fixed Income, 31.2 (2021), 101-127.
Correlated Idiosyncratic Volatility Shocks (with Alex Wang), Journal of Risk, 23.5 (2021), 25-54.
Volatility and Returns: Evidence from China (with Yeguang Chi, Sibo Yan, and Binbin Deng), International Review of Finance, 21.4 (2021), 1441-1463.
CFA Institute Asia-Pacific Research Exchange Editor's Selection
Follow the Smart Money: Factor Forecasting in China (with Qinhua Chen and Yeguang Chi), Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 62.1 (2020), 101368.
Downside Volatility-Managed Portfolios (with Binbin Deng and Sibo Yan), Journal of Portfolio Management, 46.7 (2020): 13-29.
Lead Article
Machine Learning for Recession Prediction and Dynamic Asset Allocation (with Alex James and Yaser Abu-Mostafa), Journal of Financial Data Science, 1.3 (2019): 41-56.
Top Five Most Viewed Papers in 2019 across 11 Portfolio Management Research (PMR) Journals (370+ papers)
Return Predictability and Market-Timing: A One-Month Model (with Blair Hull and Petra Bakosova), Journal Of Investment Management, 17.3 (2019): 47-64.
On Commodity Price Limits (with Rajkumar Janardanan and K. Geert Rouwenhorst), Journal of Futures Markets, 39.8 (2019): 946-961.
A Practitioner's Defense of Return Predictability (with Blair Hull), Journal of Portfolio Management, 43.3 (2017): 60-76.
R/Finance 2016 Best Paper Award
Featured in the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA) Level II Exam
Coverage by Forbes, Chicago Booth Review, Wharton Magazine, and Fair Observer
Value Investing Through the Lens of Campbell-Shiller (with Jack P. Mo), Journal of Portfolio Management, 41.3 (2015): 59-69.
Featured in Institutional Investor
BOOK CHAPTERS
Mutual fund investing in the Chinese A-share market (with Yeguang Chi), In Handbook of Banking and Finance in Emerging Markets, (2022), 32-50.
COVID-19 Effects on Intraday Stock Market Behavior (with Jiayang Nie and Sibo Yan), In Financial Transformations Beyond the COVID-19 Health Crisis, (2022), 229-252.
WORKING PAPERS
The Flipside of Financial Innovation: Why Contracts Fail (with Rajkumar Janardanan and K. Geert Rouwenhorst), 2024
ESG and Derivatives (with Rajkumar Janardanan and K. Geert Rouwenhorst), 2024
Cross-Sectional Evidence in Consumption Mismeasurement, 2013
DISCUSSIONS
Hedging Climate Change Risk: A Real-time Market Response Approach
By Yang Cao, Miao Liu, and Rachel Zhang
2024 Hong Kong Conference for Fintech, AI, and Big Data in Business, May 2024
Confident Risk Premiums and Investments using Machine Learning Uncertainties
By Rohit Allena
2023 Hong Kong Conference for Fintech, AI, and Big Data in Business, June 2023
A Tale of Two Premiums Revisited
By Loïc Maréchal
J.P. Morgan Center for Commodities International Symposium, August 2022
Hidden Alpha
By Manuel Ammann, Alexander Cochardt, Lauren Cohen, and Stephan Heller
2022 Hong Kong Conference for Fintech, AI, and Big Data in Business, May 2022
Demystifying Commodity Futures in China
By John Hua Fan and Tingxi Zhang
J.P. Morgan Center for Commodities International Symposium, August 2019
Practitioner Insights, Technology in Finance
Financial Management Association Applied Finance Conference, May 2019
Monetary Policy and Reaching for Income
By Kent Daniel, Lorenzo Garlappi, and Kairong Xiao
Rodney L. White Center Conference on Financial Decisions and Asset Markets, March 2019
Oil Price Exposure, Earnings Announcements, and Stock Return Predictability
By Jordan Moore and Mihail Velikov
J.P. Morgan Center for Commodities International Symposium, August 2018
Profitability Anomaly and Aggregate Volatility Risk
By Alexander Barinov
Northern Finance Association, September 2017
Information Shares in Stationary Time Series and Global Volatility Discovery
By Rainer Baule, Bart Frijns, and Milena E. Tieves
Auckland Finance Meeting, December 2016
Information Environment, Systematic Volatility and Stock Return Synchronicity
By Jing Wang, Steven X. Wei, and Wayne Yu
29th Australasian Finance and Banking Conference, December 2016
The Dog Has Barked for a Long Time: Dividend Growth is Predictable
By Andrew Detzel and Jack Strauss
World Finance Conference, July 2016
Asset Price Effects of Peer Benchmarking: Evidence From a Natural Experiment
By Sushant Acharya and Alvaro Pedraza
Midwest Finance Association Annual Meeting, March 2016
Savings-CAPM: A Possible Solution to the Consumption-CAPM Equity Premium Puzzle (EPP)
By Josilmar Cia
Midwest Finance Association Annual Meeting, March 2015
When Factors Don't Span Their Basis Portfolios
By Konark Saxena
27th Australasian Finance & Banking Conference, December 2014
Do Structural Breaks in Asset Pricing Models Explain Asset Pricing Anomalies?
By Russell Robins and Geoffrey Smith
Midwest Finance Association Annual Meeting, March 2014