Highlight papers:
Thiery, W., Lange, S., Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C.-F., Gudmundsson, L., Seneviratne, S.I., Frieler, K., Emanuel, K., Geiger, T., Bresch, D.N., Zhao, F., Willner, S.N., Büchner, M., Volkholz, J., Andrijevic, M., Bauer, N., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., François, L., Grillakis, M., Gosling, S.N., Hanasaki, N., Hickler, T., Huber, V., Ito, A., Jägermeyr, J., Khabarov, N., Koutroulis, A., Liu, W., Lutz, W., Mengel, M., Müller, C., Ostberg, S., Reyer, C.P.O., Stacke, T., Wada, Y., 2021, Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes, Science, 374(6564), 158-160. pdf
The results of the paper can be interactively queried on the website https://myclimatefuture.info/.
The accompanying report by the NGO Save the Children is available here.
The story was covered in over 400 news stories worldwide, among others, by The Washington Post, The Guardian, BBC World, The Economist, The Independent, The Times,
Der Spiegel, Le Figaro, De Morgen and De Standaard. Several websites offer nice interactive displays of the results, including CarbonBrief, De Tijd, De Standaard, and ISIpedia.
Research Highlights covering our study appeared in Nature, Nature Climate Change, and The Lancet Planetary Health
A piece written for (and reviewed by) children appeared in Frontiers for Young Minds
Two talks explaining this study are this TedX talk (16 min) and this Arne Richter Award lecture (38 min).
Grant, L., Vanderkelen, I., Gudmundsson, L., Fischer, E., Seneviratne, S.I., Thiery, W., Global emergence of unprecedented lifetime exposure to climate extremes, Nature, 641, 374–379. pdf
The accompanying report by the NGO Save the Children is available here.
The story was covered in over 100 news stories worldwide.
Research Highlights covering our study appeared as Nature News and Views; Nature Editorial; Nature News
A talk explaining this study is avaiable here (13 min).
Burton*, C., Lampe*, S., Kelley, D.I., Thiery, W., Hantson, S., Christidis, N., Gudmundsson, L., Forrest, M., Burke, E., Chang, J., Huang, H., Ito, A., Kou-Giesbrecht, S., Lasslop, G., Li, W., Nieradzik, L., Li, F., Chen, Y., Randerson, J., Reyer, C.P.O., Mengel, M., Global burned area increasingly explained by climate change, Nature Climate Change, 14, 1186-1192. (*: authors equally contributed) [Nature Climate Change cover page]. pdf
Sterl, S., Fadly, D., Liersch, S., Koch, H., Thiery, W., Linking solar and wind power in eastern Africa with operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, Nature Energy, 6, 407-418. pdf
Grant, L., Vanderkelen, I., Gudmundsson, L., Tan, Z., Perroud, M., Stepanenko, V.M., Debolskiy, A.V., Droppers, B., Janssen, A.B.G., Woolway, R.I., Choulga, M., Balsamo, G., Kirillin, G., Schewe, J., Zhao, F., Vega del Valle, I., Golub, M., Pierson, D., Marcé, R., Seneviratne, S.I., Thiery, W., Attribution of global lake systems change to anthropogenic forcing, Nature Geoscience, 14, 849-854. pdf [Research highlight in Nature]
International peer-reviewed publications
2025
- Grant, L., Vanderkelen, I., Gudmundsson, L., Fischer, E., Seneviratne, S.I., Thiery, W., Global emergence of unprecedented lifetime exposure to climate extremes, Nature, 641, 374–379. pdf [Nature News and Views; Nature Editorial; Nature News]
- Quilcaille, Y., Gudmundsson, L., Schumacher, D., Gasser, T., Heede, R., Heri, C., Lejeune, Q., Nath, S., Thiery, W., Schleussner, C.-F., Seneviratne, S.I., Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors, Nature, 645, 392-398. pdf [Nature News and Views; Nature podcast; Nature cover page]
- Yao, Y., Ducharne, A, Cook, B.I., De Hertog, S.J., Schanke Aas, K., Arboleda-Obando, P.F., Buzan, J., Colin, J., Costantini, M., Decharme, B., Lawrence, D.M., Lawrence, P., Leung, L.R., Lo, M.-H., Devaraju, N., Wieder, W.R., Wu, R.-J., Zhou, T., Jägermeyr, J., McDermid, S., Pokhrel, Y., Elling, M., Hanasaki, N., Munoz, P., Nazarenko, L.S., Otta, K., Satoh, Y., Yokohata, T., Jin, L., Wang, X., Mishra, V., Ghosh, S., Thiery, W., Impacts of irrigation expansion on moist-heat stress based on IRRMIP results, Nature Communications, 16, 1045. pdf
- Pelz, S., Ganti, G., Lamboll, R., Rogelj, J., Pachauri, S., Riahi, K., Grant, L., Thiery, W., Gidden, M.J., Delayed carbon debt drawdown fails younger generations, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122(13), e2409316122. pdf
- Qiu, Y., Chen, J., Chen, D., Thiery, W., Mercado-Bettín, D., Xiong, L., Xia, J., Woolway, R.I., Enhanced heating effect of lakes under global warming, Nature Communications, 16, 3954. pdf
- De Hertog, S.J., Orlov, A. Havermann, F., Guo, S., Manola, I., Pongratz, J., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F., Menke, I., Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., Lawrence, P., Hurtt, G.C., Chini, L., Vanderkelen, I., Davin, E.L., Reerink, T., Seneviratne, S.I., Verbeeck, H., Thiery, W., Limited effect of future land-use changes on human heat stress and labour capacity, Earth’s Future, 13, e2024EF005021. pdf
- Messori, G., Muheki, M., Batibeniz, F., Bevacqua, E., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Thiery, W., Global mapping of concurrent hazards and impacts associated with climate extremes under climate change, Earth’s Future, 13, e2025EF006325. pdf
- Guo, S., Havermann, F., De Hertog, S.J., Luo, F., Manola, I., Raddatz, T., Li, H., Thiery, W., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F., Wårlind, D., Nieradzik, L., Pongratz, J., carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land-cover and land management changes, Earth System Dynamics, 16, 631–666. pdf
- Meunier, F., Bauters, M., Boeckx, P., Ciais, P., De Hertog, S.J., Thiery, W., Yao, Y., Verbeeck, H., Projected shrinking of tropical vegetation biomass potential with future hydroclimatic shifts, Environmental Research Letters, 20, 084043. pdf
- Ebi, K.L., Haines, A., Andrade, R.F.S., Åström, C., Barreto, M.L., Bonell, A., Brink, N., Caminade, C., Carlson, C.J., Carter, R., Chua, P., Cissé, G., Colón-González, F.J., Dasgupta, S., Galvao, L.A., Garrido Zornoza, M., Gasparrini, A., Gordon-Strachan, G., Hajat, S., Harper, S., Harrington, L.J., Hashizume, M., Hess, J., Hilly, J., Ingole, V., Jacobson, L.V., Kapwata, T., Keeler, C., Kidd, S.A., Kimani-Murage, E.W., Kumar, R.K., Kovats, S., Li, S., Lowe, R., Mitchell, D., Murray, K., New, M., Ogunniyi, O.E., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Pescarini, J., Pineda Restrepo, B.L., Pinho, S.T.R., Prescott, V., Redvers, N., Ryan, S.J., Santer, B.D., Schleussner, C.-F., Semenza, J.C., Taylor, M., Temple, L., Thiam, S., Thiery, W., Tompkins, A.M., Undorf, S., Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M., Wan, K., Warren, R., Webster, C., Woodward, A., Wright, C.Y., Stuart-Smith, R.F., The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: transdisciplinary practical guidance, Climatic Change, 178, 143. pdf
- Müller Schmied, H., Gosling, S.N., Garnsworthy, M., Müller, L., Telteu, C.-E., Ahmed, A.K., Andersen, L.S., Boulange, J., Burek, P., Chang, J., Chen, H., Grillakis, M., Guillaumot, L., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Kumar, R., Leng, G., Liu, J., Liu, X., Menke, I., Mishra, V., Pokhrel, Y., Rakovec, O., Samaniego, L., Satoh, Y., Shah, H.L., Smilovic, M., Stacke, T., Sutanudjaja, E., Thiery, W., Tsilimigkras, A., Wada, Y., Wanders, N., Yokohata, T., Graphical representation of global water models, Geoscientific Model Development, 18, 2409–2425. pdf [EGU highlight article]
- Jones, E.R., van Beek, R., Cárdenas Belleza, G., Burek, P., Dugdale, S.J., Flörke, M., Fridman, D., Gosling, S.N., Kumar, R., Mercado-Bettin, D., Müller Schmied, H., Tan, Z., Thiery, W., Tilahun, A.B., Wanders, N., van Vliet, M.T.H., A multi-model assessment of global freshwater temperature and thermoelectric power supply under climate change, Environmental Research: Water, 1, 025002. pdf
- Kumar,A., Gosling, S.N., Johnson, M.F., Jones, M.D., Nkwasa, A., Koutroulis, A., Müller Schmied, H., Li, H.-Y., Kim, H., Hanasaki, N., Kumar, R., Thiery, W., Pokhrel, Y., Cascading Droughts: Exploring Global Propagation of Meteorological to Hydrological Droughts (1971–2001), Science of the Total Environment, 979, 179486. pdf
- Vercruysse, B., Birkholz, J.M., Thirukokaranam Chandrasekar, K.K., Muheki, D., Thiery, W., Verbeeck, H., Hufkens, K., Jacobsen, K., Jacobsen, C., Verbruggen, C., Human-in-the-loop tabular data extraction methods for historical climate data rescue, International Journal on Document Analysis and Recognition, available online. pdf
2024
- Burton*, C., Lampe*, S., Kelley, D.I., Thiery, W., Hantson, S., Christidis, N., Gudmundsson, L., Forrest, M., Burke, E., Chang, J., Huang, H., Ito, A., Kou-Giesbrecht, S., Lasslop, G., Li, W., Nieradzik, L., Li, F., Chen, Y., Randerson, J., Reyer, C.P.O., Mengel, M., Global burned area increasingly explained by climate change, Nature Climate Change, 14, 1186-1192. (*: authors equally contributed) [Nature Climate Change cover page]. pdf
- Erazo, D., Grant, L., Ghisbain, G., Marini, G., Colón-González, F.J., Wint, W., Rizzoli, A., Van Bortel, R., Vogels, C.B.F., Grubaugh, N.D., Mengel, M., Frieler, K., Thiery, W., Dellicour, S., Contribution of climate change to the expansion of West Nile virus in Europe, Nature Communications, 15, 1196. pdf
- Pietroiusti, R., Vanderkelen, I., Otto, F.E.L., Barnes, C., Temple, L., Akurut, M., Bally, P., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Thiery, W., Possible role of anthropogenic climate change in the record-breaking 2020 Lake Victoria levels and floods, Earth System Dynamics, 15, 225–264 [EGU highlight article]. pdf
- Muheki, D., Deijns, A.A.J., Bevacqua, E., Messori, G., Zscheischler, J., Thiery, W., The perfect storm? Concurrent climate extremes in East Africa, Earth System Dynamics, 15, 429-466 [ESD highlight article]. pdf
- De Hertog, S., Lopez-Fabara, C.E., van der Ent, R., Keune, J., Miralles, D.G., Portmann, R., Schemm, S., Havermann, F., Guo, S., Luo, F., Manola, I., Lejeune, Q., Pongratz, J., Schleussner, C.-F., Seneviratne, S.I., Thiery, W., Effects of idealized land cover and land management changes on the atmospheric water cycle, Earth System Dynamics, 15, 265-291. pdf
- Chawanda, C.J., van Griensven, A., Thiery, W., Nkwasa, A., Combined impacts of climate and land-use change on future water resources in Africa, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, 117–138. pdf
- Deijns, A.A.J., Michéa, D., Déprez, A., Dewitte, O., Thiery, W., Kervyn, F., Malet, J.-P., A semi-supervised multi-temporal landslide and flash flood event detection methodology for unexplored regions using massive satellite image time series, ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, 215, 400-418. pdf
- Taranu, S.I., Lawrence, D.M., Wada, Y., Tang, T., Kluzek, E., Rabin, S., Yao, Y., De Hertog, S.J., Vanderkelen, I., Thiery, W., Bridging the gap: a new module for human water use in the Community Earth System Model version 2.2.1, Geoscientific Model Development, 17, 7365–7399. pdf
- Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., Alexander, L., King, A., Kew, S., Philip, S., Barnes, C., Maraun, D., Stuart-Smith, R., Jezequel, A., Bevacqua, E., Burgess, S., Fischer, E., Hegerl, G., Kimutai, J., Koren, G., Lawal, K.A., Min, S.-K., New, M., Odoulami, R., Patricola, C., Pinto, I., Ribes, A., Shaw, T., Thiery, W., Trewin, B., Vautard, R., Wehner, M., Zscheischler, J., Frontiers in attributing climate extremes and associated impacts, Frontiers in Climate, 6, 1455023. pdf
- Orlov, A., De Hertog, S., Havermann, F., Guo, S., Manola, I., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F., Thiery, W., Pongratz, J., Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., Aunan, K., Armstrong, B., Royé, D., Cvijanovic, I., Lavigne, E., Achilleos, S., Bell, M., Masselot, P., Sera, F., Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M., Gasparrini, A., Multi-Country Multi-City (MCC) Collaborative Research Network, Mistry, M.N., Multi-Country Multi-City (MCC) Collaborative Research Network, Impacts of land-use and land-cover changes on temperature-related mortality, Environmental Epidemiology, 8(6), e377. pdf
- Frieler, K., Volkholz, J., Lange, S., Schewe, J., Mengel, M., del Rocío Rivas López, M., Otto, C., Reyer, C.P.O., Karger, D.N., Malle, J.T., Treu, S., Menz, C., Blanchard, J.L., Harrison, C.S., Petrik, C.M., Eddy, T.D., Ortega-Cisneros, K., Novaglio, C., Rousseau, Y., Watson, R.A., Stock, C., Liu, X., Heneghan, R., Tittensor, D., Maury, O., Büchner, M., Vogt, T., Wang, T., Sun, F., Sauer, I.J., Koch, J., Vanderkelen, I., Jägermeyr, J., Müller, C., Klar, J., Vega del Valle, I.D., Lasslop, G., Chadburn, S., Burke, E., Gallego-Sala, A., Smith, N. Chang, J., Hantson, S., Burton, C., Gädeke, A., Li, F., Gosling, S.N., Müller Schmied, H., Hattermann, F., Wang, J., Yao, F., Hickler, T., Marcé, R., Pierson, D., Thiery, W., Mercado-Bettín, D., Forrest, M., Bechtold, M., Scenario setup and forcing data for impact model evaluation and impact attribution within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP3a), Geoscientific Model Development, 17, 1–51, 2024. pdf
- Elkouk, A., Pokhrel, Y., Livneh, B., Payton, E., Luo, L., Cheng, Y., Dagon, K., Swenson, S., Wood, A.W., Lawrence, D.M., Thiery, W., Toward Understanding Parametric Controls on Runoff Sensitivity to Climate in the Community Land Model: A Case Study Over the Colorado River Headwaters, Water Resources Research, 60, e2024WR037718. pdf
- Larsen, M.A.D, Bournhonesque, J., Thiery, W., Halsnæs, K., Hattermann, F.F., Hoff, H., Salack, S., Liersch, S., Projecting mean and extreme solar PV and wind energy potentials for Africa, Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability, 6, 015001. pdf
2023
- Ghisbain, G., Thiery, W., Massonnet, F., Erazo, D., Rasmont, P., Michez, D., Dellicour, S., Projected decline in European bumblebee populations in the twenty-first century, Nature, 628, 337-341. pdf
- Carlino, A., Wildemeersch, M., Chawanda, C.J., Giuliani, M., Sterl, S., Thiery, W., van Griensven, A., Castelletti, A., Declining cost of renewables and climate change curb the need for African hydropower expansion, Science, 381 (6658), 645 (eadf5848). pdf
- McDermid, S., Nocco, M., Lawston-Parker, P., Keune, J., Pokhrel, Y., Jain, M., Jägermeyr, J., Brocca, L., Massari, C., Jones, A., Vahmani, P., Thiery, W., Yao, Y., Bell, A., Chen, L., Dorigo, W., Hanasaki, N., Jasechko, S., Lo, M.-H., Mahmood, R., Mishra, V., Mueller, N.D., Niyogi, D., Rabin, S.S., Sloat, L., Wada, Y., Zappa, L., Chen, F., Cook, B.I., Kim, H., Lombardozzi, D., Polcher, J., Ryu, D., Santanello, J., Satoh, Y., Seneviratne, S.I., Singh, D., Yokohata, T., The impacts of irrigation in the Earth system: recent research advances and needs, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 4, 435-453. pdf
- Gnann, S.J., Reinecke, R., Stein, L., Wada, Y., Thiery, W., Müller Schmied, H., Satoh, Y., Pokhrel, Y., Ostberg, S., Koutroulis, A., Hanasaki, N., Grillakis, M., Gosling, S.N., Burek, P., Bierkens, M.F.P., Wagener, T., Functional relationships reveal differences in the water cycle representation of global water models, Nature Water, 1, 1079–1090. pdf
- De Hertog, S.J., Havermann, F., Vanderkelen, I., Guo, S., Luo, F., Manola, I., Coumou, D., Davin, E.L., Duveiller, G., Lejeune, Q., Pongratz, J., Schleussner, C.-F., Seneviratne, S.I., Thiery, W., The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth System Models, Earth System Dynamics, 14, 629-667. pdf
- Grant, L., Gudmundsson, L., Davin, E., Lawrence, D., Vuichard, N., Robertson, E., Séférian, R., Ribes, A., Hirsch, A., Thiery, W., Biogeophysical effects of land-use and land-cover change not detectable in warmest month, Journal of Climate, 36(6), 1845-1861. pdf
- Admasu, L.M., Grant, L., Thiery, W., Exploring Global Climate Model Downscaling Based on Tile Level Output, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 62(2), 171-190. pdf
- Sterckx, K., Delandmeter, P., Lambrechts, J., Deleersnijder, E., Verburg, P., Thiery, W., The impact of seasonal variability and climate change on lake Tanganyika’s hydrodynamics, Environmental Fluid Mechanics, 23, 103-123. pdf
- Bauer, N., Keller, D.P., Garbe, J., Karstens, K., Piontek, F., von Bloh, W., Thiery, W., Zeitz, M., Mengel, M., Strefler, J., Thonicke, K., Winkelmann, R., Exploring risks and benefits of overshooting a 1.5°C carbon budget over space and time. Environmental Research Letters, 18(5), 054015. pdf
- Al-Yaari, A., Zhao, Y., Cheruy, F., Thiery, W., Heatwave Characteristics in the Recent Climate and at Different Global Warming Levels: A Multimodel Analysis at the Global Scale, Earth’s Future, 11, e2022EF003301. pdf
- van Lipzig, N.P.M., Van de Walle, J., Belusic, D., Berthou, S., Coppola, E., Demuzere, M., Fink, A.H., Finney, D.L., Glazer, R., Ludwig, P., Marsham, J.H., Nikulin, G., Pinto, J.G., Rowell, D.P., Wu, M., Thiery, W., Representation of precipitation and top-of-atmosphere radiation in a multi-model convection-permitting ensemble for the Lake Victoria Basin (East-Africa), Climate Dynamics, available online. pdf
- Orlov, A., De Hertog, S., Havermann, F., Guo, S., Luo, F., Manola, I., Thiery, W., Lejeune, Q., Pongratz, J., Humpenöder, F., Windisch, M., Nath, S., Popp, A., Schleussner, C.-F., Changes in land cover and management affect heat stress and labour capacity, Earth’s Future, 11, e2022EF002909. pdf
- Nath, S., Gudmundsson, L., Schwaab, J., Duveiller, G., De Hertog, S.J., Guo, S., Havermann, F., Luo, F., Manola, I., Pongratz, J., Seneviratne, S.I., Schleussner, C.-F., Thiery, W., Lejeune, Q., TIMBER v0.1: a conceptual framework for emulating temperature responses to tree cover change, Geoscientific Model Development, 16, 4283-4313. pdf
- von Schuckmann, K., Minère, A., Gues, F., Cuesta-Valero, F.J., Kirchengast, G., Adusumilli, S., Straneo, F., Allan, R., Barker, P.M., Beltrami, H., Boyer, T., Cheng, L., Church, J., Desbruyeres, D., Dolman, H., Domingues, C.M., García-García, A., Giglio, D., Gilson, J.E., Gorfer, M., Haimberger, L., Hendricks, S., Hosoda, S., Johnson, G.C., Killick, R., King, B., Kolodziejczyk, N., Korosov, A., Krinner, G., Kuusela, M., Langer, M., Lavergne, T., Lawrence, I., Li, Y., Lyman, J., Marzeion, B., Mayer, M., MacDougall, A., McDougall, T., Monselesan, D.P., Nitzbon, J., Otosaka, I., Peng, J., Purkey, S., Roemmich, D., Sato, K., Sato, K., Savita, A., Schweiger, A., Shepherd, A., Seneviratne, S.I., Simons, L., Slater, D.A., Slater, T., Smith, N., Steiner, A., Suga, T., Szekely, T., Thiery, W., Timmermans, M.-L., Vanderkelen, I., Wjiffels, S.E., Wu, T., Zemp, M., Heat stored in the Earth system 1960-2020: Where does the energy go?, Earth System Sciences Data, 15, 1675–1709. pdf
- Cuesta-Valero, F.J., Beltrami, H., García-García, A., Krinner, G., Langer, M., MacDougall, A.H., Nitzbon, J., Peng, J., von Schuckmann, K., Seneviratne, S.I., Thiery, W., Vanderkelen, I., Wu, T., Continental heat storage: Contributions from ground, inland waters, and permafrost thawing, Earth system dynamics, 14, 609-627. pdf
- Orlov, A., Aunan, K., Mistry, M.N., Lejeune, Q., Pongratz, J., Thiery, W., Gasparrini, A., Reed, E.U., Schleussner, C.-F., Neglected implications of land-use and land-cover changes on the climate-health nexus, Environmental Research Letters, 18, 061005. pdf
- Essa, Y.H., Hirschi, M., Thiery, W., El-Kenawy, A.M., Yang, C., Drought characteristics in Mediterranean under climate change scenarios, NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6, 133. pdf
- Donk, P., Sterl, S., Thiery, W., Willems, P., A policy framework for power system planning towards optimized integration of renewables under potential climate change - The small island developing state perspective, Energy Policy, 177, 113526. pdf
- Park, C.Y., Takahashi, K., Li, F., Takakura, J., Fujimori, S., Hasegawa, T., Ito, A., Lee, D.K., Thiery, W., Impact of climate and socioeconomic changes on fire carbon emissions in the future: Sustainable economic development might decrease future emissions, Global Environmental Change, 80, 102667. pdf
2022
- Klitting, R., Kafetzopoulou, L.E., Thiery, W., Dudas, G., Gryseels, S., Kotamarthi, A., Vrancken, B., Gangavarapu, K., Momoh, M., Sandi, J.D., Goba, A., Alhasan, F., Grant, D.S., Okogbenin, S., Ogbaini-Emovo, E., Garry, R.F., Smither, A.R., Zeller, M., Pauthner, M.G., McGraw, M., Hughes, L.D., Duraffour, S., Günther, S., Suchard, M.A., Lemey, P., Andersen, K.G., Dellicour, S., Predicting the evolution of Lassa Virus endemic area and population at risk over the next decades, Nature Communications, 13, 5596. pdf
- Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., Schleussner, C.-F., Orlov, A., Windisch, M.-G., Menke, I., Pongratz, J., Havermann, F., Thiery, W., Luo, F., Jeetze, P.V., Dietrich, J.P., Lotze-Campen, H., Weindl, I., Lejeune, Q., Overcoming global inequality is critical for land-based mitigation in line with the Paris Agreement, Nature Communications, 13, 7453. pdf
- Vanderkelen, I., Gharari, S., Mizukami, N., Clark, M.P., Lawrence, D.M., Swenson, S., Pokhrel, Y., Hanasaki, N., van Griensven, A., Thiery, W., Evaluating a reservoir parametrization in the vector-based global routing model mizuRoute (v2.0.1) for Earth system model coupling, Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 4163-4192. pdf
- Sterl, S., Devillers, A., Chawanda, C.J., van Griensven, A., Thiery, W., Russo, D., A spatiotemporal atlas of hydropower in Africa for energy modelling purposes, Open Research Europe, 1, 29. pdf
- Sterl, S., Hussain, B., Miketa, A., Li, Y., Merven, B., Ben Ticha, M. B., Eltahir Elabbas, M. A., Thiery, W., Russo, D., An all-Africa dataset of energy model “supply regions” for solar PV and wind power, Scientific Data, 9, 664. pdf
- Yao, Y., Vanderkelen, I., Lombardozzi, D., Swenson, S., Lawrence, D., Jägermeyr, J., Grant, L., Thiery, W., Implementation and evaluation of irrigation techniques in the Community Land Model, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14, e2022MS003074. pdf
- Deijns, A.A.J., Dewitte, O., Thiery, W., d’Oreye, N., Malet, J.-P., Kervyn, F., Timing landslide and flash flood events from SAR satellite: a new method illustrated in 1 African cloud-covered tropical environments, Natural hazards and Earth system science, 22, 3679-3700. pdf
- Gormley-Gallagher, A.M., Sterl, S., Hirsch, A.L., Seneviratne, S.I., Davin, E.L., Thiery, W., Agricultural management effects on mean and extreme temperature trends, Earth System Dynamics, 13, 419–438. pdf
- Nyenah, E., Sterl, S., Thiery, W., Pieces of a Puzzle: Solar-wind power synergies on seasonal and diurnal timescales tend to be excellent worldwide, Environmental Research Communications, 4, 055011. pdf
- Van de Walle, J., Brousse, O., Arnalsteen, L., Brimicombe, C., Byarugaba, D., Demuzere, M., Jjemba, E., Lwasa, S., Misiani, H., Nsangi, G., Soetewey, F., Sseviiri, H., Thiery, W., Vanhaeren, R., Zaitchik, B.F., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Lack of vegetation exacerbates exposure to dangerous heat in dense settlements in a tropical African city, Environmental Research Letters, 17, 024004. pdf
- Nakulopa, F., Vanderkelen, I., Van de Walle, J., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Tabari, H., Jacobs, L., Tweheho, O., Dewitte, O., Thiery, W., Evaluation of high-resolution precipitation products over the Rwenzori Mountains (Uganda), Journal of Hydrometeorology, 23(5), 747-768. pdf
- Al-Yaari, A., Ducharne, A., Thiery, W., Cheruy, F., Lawrence, D.M., The Role of Irrigation Expansion on historical climate change: insights from CMIP6, Earth’s Future, 10, e2022EF002859. pdf
- Golub, M., Thiery, W., Marcé, R., Pierson, D., Vanderkelen, I., Mercado-Bettin, D., Woolway, R.I., Grant, L., Jennings, E., Kraemer, B.M., Schewe, J., Zhao, F., Frieler, K., Mengel, M., Bogomolov, V.Y., Bouffard, D., Côté, M., Couture, R.-M., Debolskiy, A.V., Droppers, B., Gal, G., Guo, M., Janssen, A.B.G., Kirillin, G., Ladwig, R., Magee, M., Moore, T., Perroud, M., Piccolroaz, S., Raaman Vinnaa, L., Schmid, M., Shatwell, T., Stepanenko, V.M., Tan, Z., Woodward, B., Yao, H., Adrian, R., Allan, M., Anneville, O., Arvola, L., Atkins, K., Boegman, L., Carey, C., Christianson, K., de Eyto, E., DeGasperi, C., Grechushnikova, M., Hejzlar, J., Joehnk, K., Jones, I.D., Laas, A., Mackay, E.B., Mammarella, I., Markensten, H., McBride, C., Özkundakci, D., Potes, M., Rinke, K., Robertson, D., Rusak, J.A., Salgado, R., van der Linden, L., Verburg, P., Wain, D., Ward, N.K., Wollrab, S., Zdorovennova, G., A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide: the ISIMIP Lake Sector, Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 4597–4623. pdf
- Busschaert, L., de Roos, S., Thiery, W., Raes, D., De Lannoy, G.J.M., Net irrigation requirement under different climate scenarios using AquaCrop over Europe, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26, 3731-3752. pdf
- Jansen, J., Woolway, R.I., Kraemer, B.M., Albergel, C., Bastviken, D., Weyhenmeyer, G.A., Marcé, R., Sharma, S., Sobek, S., Tranvik, L., Perroud, M., Golub, M. Moore, T.N., Vinna, L.R., La Fuente, S., Grant, L., Pierson, D.C., Thiery, W., Jennings, E., Global increase in methane production under future warming of lake bottom waters, Global Change Biology, 28, 5427-5440. pdf
- Yang, C., Cagnazzo, C., Artale, V., Nardelli, B.B., Buontempo, C., Busatto, J., Caporaso, L., Cesarini, C., Cionni, I., Coll, J., Crezee, B., Cristofanelli, B., de Toma, V., Hesham Essa, Y., Eyring, V., Fierli, F., Grant, L., Hassler, B., Hirschi, M., Huybrechts, P., le Merle, E., Leonelli, F.E., Lin, X., Madonna, F., Mason, E., Massonnet, F., Marcos, M., Marullo, S., Muller, B., Obregon, A., Organelli, E., Palacz, A., Pascual, A., Pisano, A., Putero, D., Rana, A., Sanchez Roman, A., Seneviratne, S.I., Serva, F., Storto, A., Thiery, W., Throne, P., Van Tricht, L., Verhaegen, Y., Volpe, G., Santoleri, R., Independent Quality Assessment of Essential Climate Variables: Lessons learnt from the Copernicus Climate Change Service, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(9), E2032-E2049. pdf
- Plisnier, P.-D., Kayanda, R., MacIntyre, S., Obier, K., Okello, W., Vodacek, A., Cocquyté, C., Abegaz, H., Achieng, A., Akonkwa, B., Albrecht, C., Balagizi, C., Barasa, J., Bashonga, R.A., Bishobibiri, A.B., Bootsma, H., Borges, A.V., Chavula, G., Dadi, T., De Keyzer, E., Doran, P.J., Gabagambi, N., Gatare, R., Gemmell, A., Getahun, A., Haambiya, L., Higgins, S.N., Hyangya, B., Irvinea, K., Isumbisho, M., Jonasse, C., Katongo, C., Katsev, S., Keyombe, J., Kimirei, I., Kisekelwa, T., Kishe, M., Koding, S.O.A., Kolding, J., Kraemer, B.M., Limbu, P., Lomodei, E., Mahongo, S., Malala, J., Mbabazi, S., Masilya Mulungula, P., McCandless, M., Medard, M., Migeni Ajode, Z., Mrosso, H.D., Mudakikwa, E.R., Mulimbwa, N., Mushagalusa, D., Muvundja, F., Nankabirwa, A., Nahimana, D., Ngatunga, D.P., Ngochera, M., Nicholson, S., Nshombo, M., Ntakimazi, G., Nyamweya, C., Ikwaput Nyeko, J., Olago, D., Olbamo, T., O'Reilly, C., Pasche, N., Phiri, H., Raasakka, N., Salyani, A., Sibomana, C., Silsbe, G., Smith, S., Sterner, R.W., Thiery, W., Tuyisenge, J., Van der Knaap, M., Van Steenberge, M., van Zwieten, P.A.M., Verheyen, E., Wakjira, M., Walakira, J., Ndeo Wembo, O., Lawrence, T., Need for harmonized long-term multi-lake monitoring of African Great Lakes, Journal of Great Lakes Research, 49(6), 101988. pdf
2021
- Thiery, W., Lange, S., Rogelj, J., Schleussner, C.-F., Gudmundsson, L., Seneviratne, S.I., Frieler, K., Emanuel, K., Geiger, T., Bresch, D.N., Zhao, F., Willner, S.N., Büchner, M., Volkholz, J., Andrijevic, M., Bauer, N., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., François, L., Grillakis, M., Gosling, S.N., Hanasaki, N., Hickler, T., Huber, V., Ito, A., Jägermeyr, J., Khabarov, N., Koutroulis, A., Liu, W., Lutz, W., Mengel, M., Müller, C., Ostberg, S., Reyer, C.P.O., Stacke, T., Wada, Y., Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes, Science, 374(6564), 158-160. pdf [Research highlight in Nature, Nature Climate Change, and The Lancet Planetary Health]
- Sterl, S., Fadly, D., Liersch, S., Koch, H., Thiery, W., Linking solar and wind power in eastern Africa with operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, Nature Energy, 6, 407-418. pdf
- Grant, L., Vanderkelen, I., Gudmundsson, L., Tan, Z., Perroud, M., Stepanenko, V.M., Debolskiy, A.V., Droppers, B., Janssen, A.B.G., Woolway, R.I., Choulga, M., Balsamo, G., Kirillin, G., Schewe, J., Zhao, F., Vega del Valle, I., Golub, M., Pierson, D., Marcé, R., Seneviratne, S.I., Thiery, W., Attribution of global lake systems change to anthropogenic forcing, Nature Geoscience, 14, 849-854. pdf [Research highlight in Nature]
- Gudmundsson, L., Boulange, J., Do, H. X., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M. G., Koutroulis, A. G., Leonard, M., Liu, J., Müller Schmied, H., Papadimitriou, L., Pokhrel, Y., Seneviratne, S. I., Satoh, Y., Thiery, W., Westra, S., Zhang, X., Zhao, F., Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change, Science, 371, 1159-1162. pdf
- Jane, S., Hansen, G.J.A., Kraemer, B.M., Leavitt, P.R., North, R.L., Pilla, R.M., Williamson, C.E., Woolway, R.I., Arvola, L., Chandra, S., DeGasperi, C., Diemer, L., Dunalska, J., Erina, O., Flaim, G., Grossart, H.-P., Hambright, K.D., Hein, C., Hejzlar, J., Janus, L., Jenny, J.-P., Jones, J., Knoll, L.B., Leoni, B., MacKay, E., Matsuzaki, S.-I., McBride, C., Müller-Navarra, D.C., Paterson, A.M., Pierson, D., Rogora, M., Rusak, J., Sadro, S., Saulnier-Talbot, E., Schmid, M., Sommaruga, R., Thiery, W., Weyhenmeyer, G., Yokota, K., Rose, K.C., Global de-oxygenation of lakes by atmospheric warming, Nature, 594, 66-70. pdf
- Pokhrel, Y., Felfelani, F., Satoh, Y., Boulange, J., Burek, P., Gädeke, A., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Gudmundsson, L., Hanasaki, N., Kim, H., Koutroulis, A., Liu, J., Papadimitriou, L., Schewe, J., Müller Schmied, H., Stacke, T., Telteu, C. E., Thiery, W., Veldkamp, T., Zhao, F., Wada, Y., Global Terrestrial Water Storage and Drought Severity under Climate Change, Nature Climate Change, 11, 226-233. pdf
- Kraemer, B.M., Pilla, R.M., Woolway, R.I., Anneville, O., Ban, S., Colom-Montero, W., Devlin, S.P., Dokulil, M.T., Gaiser, E.E., Hambright, K.D., Hessen, D.O., Higgins, S.N., Jöhnk, K.D., Keller, W., Knoll, L.B., Leavitt, P.R., Lepori, F., Luger, M.S., Maberly, S.C., Müller-Navarra, D.C., Paterson, A.M., Pierson,, D.C., Richardson, D.C., Rogora, M., Rusak, J.A., Sadro, S., Salmaso, N., Schmid, M., Silow, E.A., Sommaruga, R., Stelzer, J.A.A., Straile, D., Thiery, W., Verburg P., Weyhenmeyer, G.A., Adrian, R., Climate change drives widespread shifts in lake thermal habitat, Nature Climate Change. pdf
- Woolway, R.I., Debolskiy, A., Golub, M., Mercado-Bettin, D., Perroud, M., Stepanenko, V., Tan, Z., Grant, L., Ladwig, R., Mesman, J., Moore, T., Shatwell, T., Vanderkelen, I., Marce, R., Pierson, D.C., Thiery, W., Jennings, E., Phenological shifts in lake stratification under climate change, Nature Communications, 12, 2318. pdf
- Vanderkelen, I., van Lipzig, N. P. M., Sacks, W. J., Lawrence, D. M., Clark, M. P., Mizukami, N., Pokhrel, Y., Thiery, W., Simulating the impact of global reservoir expansion on the present-day climate, Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD034485. pdf
- Van de Walle, J., Thiery, W., Brogli, R., Martius, O., Zscheischler, J., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Future intensification of precipitation and wind gust associated thunderstorms over Lake Victoria, Weather and Climate Extremes, 34, 100391. pdf
- Van de Walle, J., Brousse, O., Arnaslteen, L., Byarugaba, D., Ddumba, D.S., Demuzere, M., Lwasa, S., Nsangi, G., Sseviiri, H., Thiery, W., Vanhaeren, R., Wouters, H., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Can local fieldwork help to represent intra-urban variability of canopy parameters relevant for tropical African climate studies?, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 146, 457-474. pdf
- Donk, P., Sterl, S., Thiery, W., Willems, P., REVUB-Light: A parsimonious model to assess power system balancing and flexibility for optimal intermittent renewable energy integration – A study of Suriname, Renewable Energy, 173, 57-75. pdf
- Tabari, H., Hosseinzadehtalaei, P., Thiery, W., Willems, P., Amplified drought and flood risk under future socioeconomic and climatic change, Earth’s Future, 9, e2021EF002295. pdf
- Orlov, A., Daloz, A.S., Sillmann, J., Thiery, W., Douzal, C., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F., Global economic responses to heat stress impacts on worker productivity in crop production, Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, available online. pdf
- Gädeke, A., Langer, M., Boike, J., Burke, E.L., Chang, J., Head, M., Reyer, C.P.O., Schaphoff, S., Thiery, W., Thonicke, K., Climate change reduces future winter tundra travel across the Pan-Arctic even under low-end global warming scenarios, Environmental Research Letters, 16(2), 024049. pdf
- Boulange, J., Hanasaki, N., Satoh, Y., Yokohata, T., Shiogama, H., Burek, P., Thiery, W., Gerten, D., Müller Schmied, H., Wada, Y., Gosling, S.N., Pokhrel, Y., Wanders, N., Validity of estimating flood and drought characteristics under equilibrium climates from transient simulations, Environmental Research Letters, 16, 104028 . pdf
- Telteu, C.-E., Müller Schmied, H., Thiery, W., Leng, G., Burek, P., Liu, X., Boulange, J.E.S., Andersen, L.S., Grillakis, M., Gosling, S.N., Satoh, Y., Rakovec, O., Stacke, T., Chang, J., Wanders, N., Shah, H.L., Trautmann, T., Mao, G., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Samaniego, L., Wada, Y., Mishra, V., Liu, J., Döll, P., Zhao, F., Gädeke, A., Rabin, S., Herz, F., Understanding each other’s models: an introduction and a standard representation of 16 global water models to support improvement, intercomparison, and communication, Geoscientific Model Development, 14, 3843-3878. pdf
- Reinecke, R., Müller Schmied, H., Trautmann, T., Burek, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S.N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Seaby, L., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Yusuke, S., Döll, P., Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: A global-scale multi-model ensemble study, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25, 787-810. pdf
- Sørland, S. L., Brogli, R., Pothapakula, P. K., Russo, E., Van de Walle, J., Ahrens, B., Anders, I., Bucchignani, E., Davin, E. L., Demory, M.-E., Dosio, A., Feldmann, H., Früh, B., Geyer, B., Keuler, K., Lee, D., Li, D., van Lipzig, N. P. M., Min, S.-K., Panitz, H.-J., Rockel, B., Schär, C., Steger, C., Thiery, W., COSMO-CLM regional climate simulations in the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) framework: a review, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 5125–5154. pdf
- Doubek, J.P., Anneville, O., Dur, G., Lewandowska, A.M., Patil, V.P., Rusak, J.A., Salmaso, N., Seltmann, C.T., Straile, D., Urrutia-Cordero, P., Venail, P., Adrian, R., Alfonso, M.B., DeGasperi, C.L., de Eyto, E., Feuchtmayr, H., Gaiser, E.E., Girdner, S.F., Graham, J.L., Grossart, H.-P., Hejzlar, J., Jacquet, S., Kirillin, G., Llames, M.E., Matsuzaki, S.S., Nodine, E.R., Piccolo, M.C., Pierson, D.C., Rimmer, A., Rudstam, L.G., Sadro, S., Swain, H.M., Thackeray, S.J., Thiery, W., Verburg, P., Zohary, T., Stockwell, J.D., The extent and variability of storm-induced temperature changes in lakes measured with long-term and high-frequency data, Limnology and Oceanography, 66, 1979-1992. pdf
- Pilla, R.M., Mette, E.M., Williamson, C.E., Adamovich, B.V., Adrian, R., Anneville, O., Balseiro5, E., Ban, S, Chandra, S., Colom-Montero, W., Devlin, S.P., Dix, M.A., Dokulil, M.T., Feldsine, N.A., Feuchtmayr, H., Fogarty, N.K., Gaiser, E.E., Girdner, S.F., González , M.J., Hambright, K.D., Hamilton, D.P., Havens, K., Hessen, D.O., Hetzenauer, H., Higgins, S.N., Huttula, T.H., Huuskonen, H., Isles, P.D.F., Joehnk, K.D., Keller, W.B., Klug, J., Knoll, L.B., Korhonen, J., Korovchinsky, N.M., Köster, O., Kraemer, B.M., Leavitt, P.R., Leoni, B., Lepori, F., Lepskaya, E.V., Lottig, N.R., Luger, M.S., Maberly, S.C., MacIntyre, S., McBride, C., McIntyre, P., Melles, S.J., Modenutti, B., Müller-Navarra, D.C., Pacholski, L., Paterson, A.M., Pierson, D.C., Pislegina, H.V., Plisnier, P.-D., Richardson, D.C., Rimmer, A., Rogora, M., Rogozin, D.Y., Rusak, J.A., Rusanovskaya, O.O., Sadro, S., Salmaso, N., Saros, J.E., Sarvala, J., Saulnier-Talbot, E., Schindler, D.E., Shimaraeva, S.V., Silow, E.A., Sitoki, L.M., Sommaruga, R., Straile, D., Strock, K.E., Swain, H., Tallant, J.M., Thiery, W., Timofeyev, M.A., Tolomeev, A.P., Tominaga, K., Vanni, M.J., Verburg, P., Vinebrooke, R.D., Wanzenböck, J., Weathers, K., Weyhenmeyer, G.A., Zadereev, E.S., Zhukova, T.V., Global data set of long-term summertime vertical temperature profiles in 153 lakes, Scientific Data, 8, 200. pdf
- Mudakikwa, E., Thiery, W., Latli, A., Leporcq, B., Rugema, E., Descy, J.-P., Phytoplankton pigments analysis as a tool for monitoring a tropical great lake, Lake Kivu (East Africa), Inland Waters, 11(2), 223-233 . pdf
2020
- Thiery, W., Visser, A.J., Fischer, E.M., Hauser, M., Hirsch, A.L., Lawrence, D.M., Lejeune, Q., Davin, E.L., Seneviratne, S., Warming of hot extremes alleviated by expanding irrigation, Nature Communications, 11, 290. pdf
- Sterl, S., Vanderkelen, I., Chawanda, C.J., Russo, D., Brecha, R.J., van Griensven, A., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Thiery, W., Smart renewable electricity portfolios in West Africa, Nature Sustainability, 3, 710-719 . pdf
- Zscheischler, J., Martius, O., Westra, S., Bevacqua, E., Raymond, C., Horton, R., van den Hurk, B., AghaKouchak, A., Jézéquel, A., Mahecha, M.D., Maraun, D., Ramos, A.M., Ridder, N., Thiery, W., Vignotto, E., A typology of compound weather and climate events, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 1(7), 333-347 . pdf
- Zommers, Z., Marbaix, P., Fischlin, A., Ibrahim, Z.Z., Grant, S., Magnan, A., Pörtner, H.-O., Howden, M., Calvin, K., Warner, K., Thiery, W., Sebesvari, Z., Davin, E.L., Evans, J.P., Rosenzweig, C., O'Neill, B.C., Patwardhan, A., Warren, R., van Aalst, M.K., Hulbert, M., Burning embers: towards more transparent and robust climate-change risk assessments, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 1(10), 516-529. pdf
- Vanderkelen, I., van Lipzig, N. P. M., Lawrence, D. M., Droppers, B., Golub, M., Gosling, S. N., Janssen, A. B. G., Marcé, R., Müller Schmied, H., Perroud, M., Pierson, D., Pokhrel, Y., Satoh, Y, Schewe, J., Seneviratne, S. I., Stepanenko, V. M., Woolway, R. I., Thiery, W., Global heat uptake by inland waters, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL087867. pdf
- Sterl, S., Donk, P., Willems, P., Thiery, W., Turbines of the Caribbean: Decarbonising Suriname's electricity mix through hydro-supported integration of wind power, Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, 134, 110352. pdf
- Vanderkelen, I., Zscheischler, J., Gudmundsson, L., Keuler, K., Rineau, F., Beenaerts, N., Vangronsveld, J., Thiery, W., A novel method for assessing climate change impacts in ecotron experiments, International Journal of Biometeorology, 64(10), 1709-1727. pdf
- Van de Walle, J., Thiery, W., Brousse, O., Souverijns, N., Demuzere, M., van Lipzig, N.P.M., A convection-permitting model for the Lake Victoria Basin: Evaluation and insight into the mesoscale versus synoptic atmospheric dynamics, Climate Dynamics, 54, 1779-1799. pdf
- Brousse, O., Wouters, H., Demuzere, M., Thiery, W., Van de Walle, J., van Lipzig, N.P.M., The local climate impact of an African city during clear‐sky conditions—Implications of the recent urbanization in Kampala (Uganda), International Journal of Climatology, 40, 4586-4608. pdf
- Brousse, O., Georganos, S., Demuzere, M., Dujardin, S., Lennert, M., Linard, C., Snow, R.W., Thiery, W., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Can we use Local Climate Zones for mapping malaria prevalence across sub-Saharan African cities?, Environmental Research Letters, 124051. pdf
- Chawanda, C.J., George, C., Thiery, W., van Griensven, A., Tech, J., Arnold, J., Srinivasan, R., User-friendly workflows for catchment modelling: Towards reproducible SWAT+ model studies, Environmental Modelling and Software, 134, 104812. pdf
- Chawanda, C.J., Arnold, J., Thiery, W., van Griensven, A., Mass balance calibration and reservoir representations for large-scale hydrological impact studies using SWAT+, Climatic Change, 163, 1307-1327. pdf
- Boysen, L.R., Brovkin, V., Pongratz, J., Lawrence, D., Lawrence, P., Vuichard, N., Peylin, P., Liddicoat, S., Hajima, T., Zhang, Y., Rocher, M., Delire, C., Séférian, R., Arora, V.K., Nieradzik, L., Anthoni, P., Thiery, W., Laguë, M., Lawrence, D., Lo, M.-H., Global climate response to idealized deforestation in CMIP6 models, Biogeosciences, 17, 5615-5638. pdf
- Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Geiger, T., Zhao, F., Vega, I., Veldkamp, T., Reyer, C.P.O., Warszawski, L., Huber, V., Jägermeyr, J., Schewe, J., Bresch, D.N., Büchner, M., Chang, J., Ciais, J., Dury, M., Emanuel, K., Folberth, C., Gerten, D., Gosling, S.N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Henrot, A.-J., Hickler, T., Honda, Y., Ito, A., Khabarov, N., Koutroulis, A., Liu, W., Müller, C., Nishina, K., Ostberg, S., Müller Schmied, H., Seneviratne, S.I., Stacke, T., Steinkamp, J., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Willner, S., Yang, H., Yoshikawa, M., Yue, C., Frieler, K., Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales, Earth’s future, 11, e2020EF001616. pdf
- Ito, A., Reyer, C., Gaedeke, A., Ciais, P., Chang, J., Chen, M., Francois, L., Forrest, M., Hickler, T., Ostberg, S., Hao, S. Thiery, W., Tian, H., Pronounced and unavoidable impacts of low-end global warming on northern high-latitude land ecosystems, Environmental Research Letters, 15, 044006. pdf
- Satoh, Y., Shiogama, H., Hanasaki, N., Pokhrel, Y., Boulange, J.E.S, Burek, P., Gosling, S.N., Grillakis, M., Koutroulis, A., Thiery, W., Yokohata, T., A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: a source of disagreement in future drought assessments , 16, 104001. pdf
- Liersch, S., Drews, M., Pilz, T., Salack, S., Sietz, D., Aich, V., Larsen, M. A. D., Gädeke, A., Halsnæs, K., Thiery, W., Huang, S., Lobanova, A., Koch, H., Hattermann, F., One simulation, different conclusions – the baseline period makes the difference!, Environmental Research Letters, 15, 104014 . pdf
- Guseva, S., Bleninger, T., Jöhnk, K., Polli, B.A., Tan, Z., Thiery, W., Zhuang, Q., Rusak, J., Yao, H., Lorke, A., Stepanenko, V., Multimodel simulation of vertical gas transfer in a temperate lake, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 697-715. pdf
- Pilla, R.M., Williamson, C.E., Adamovich, B.V., Adrian, R., Anneville, O., Chandra, S., Colom-Montero, W., Devlin, S.P., Dix, M.A., Dokulil, M.T., Gaiser, E.E., Girdner, S.F., Hambright, K.D., Hamilton, D.P., Havens, K., Hessen, D.O., Higgins, S.N., Huttula, T.H., Huuskonen, H., Isles, P.D.F., Joehnk, K.D., Jones, I.D., Keller, W.B., Knoll, L.B., Korhonen, J., Kraemer, B.M., Leavitt, P.R., Lepori, F., Luger, M.S., Maberly, S.C., Melack, J.M., Melles, S.J., Müller-Navarra, D.C., Pierson, D.C., Pislegina, H.V., Plisnier, P.-D., Richardson, D.C., Rimmer, A., Rogora, M., Rusak, J.A., Sadro, S., Salmaso, N., Saros, J.E., Saulnier-Talbot, E., Schindler, D.E., Schmid, M., Shimaraeva, S.V., Silow, E.A., Sitoki, L.M., Sommaruga, R., Straile, D., Strock, K.E., Thiery, W., Timofeyev, M.A., Verburg, P., Vinebrooke, R.D., Weyhenmeyer, G.A., Zadereev, E., Deep waters are warming less consistently than surface waters in a global analysis of 102 lakes, Scientific Reports, 10, 20514. pdf
- Stockwell, J.D., Doubek, J.P., Adrian, R., Anneville, O., Carey, C.C., Carvalho, L., De Senerpont Domis, L.N., Dur, G., Frassl, M.A., Grossart, H.-P., Ibelings, B.W., Lajeunesse, M.J., Lewandowska, A.M. Llames, M.E., Matsuzaki, S-I.S., Nodine, E.R., Nõges, P., Pati, V.P., Pomati, F., Rinke, K., Rudstam, L.G., Rusak, J.A., Salmaso, N., Seltmann, C.T., Straile, D., Thackeray, S.J., Thiery, W., Urrutia-Cordero, P., Venail, P., Verburg, P., Woolway, R.I., Zohary, T., Andersen, M.R., Bhattacharya, R., Hejzlar, J., Janatian, N., Kpodonu, A.T.N.K., Williamson, T.J., Wilson, H.L., Storm Impacts on Phytoplankton Community Dynamics in Lakes, Global Change Biology, 26, 2756-2784. pdf
- Kranenburg, W., Tiessen, M., Veenstra, J., De Graaff, R., Uittenbogaard, R., Bouffard, D., Sakindi, G., Umutoni, A., Van de Walle, J., Thiery, W., van Lipzig, N.P.M., 3D-modelling of Lake Kivu: horizontal and vertical flow and temperature structure under spatially variable atmospheric forcing, Journal of Great Lakes Research, 46, 947-960. pdf
2019
- Rineau, F., Malina, R., Beenaerts, N., Arnauts, N., Bardgett, R., Berg, M., Boerema, A., Bruckers, L., Clerinx, J., Davin, E., De Boeck, H., De Dobbelaer, T., Dondini, M., De Laender, F., Ellers, J., Franken, O., Gilbert, L., Gudmundsson, L., Janssens, I., Johnson, D., Lizin, S., Longdoz, B., Meire, P., Meremans, D., Milbau, A., Moretti, M., Nijs, I., Nobel, A., Pop, S., Puetz, T., Reyns, W., Roy, J., Schuetz, J., Seneviratne, S., Smith, P., Solmi, F., Staes, J., Thiery, W., Vanderkelen, I., Van Landuyt, W., Verbruggen, E., Witters, N., Zscheischler, J., Vangronsveld, J., Improving the predictive power and interdisciplinarity of climate change experiments, Nature Climate Change, 9, 809-816. pdf
- Hauser, M., Thiery, W., Seneviratne, S.I., Potential of global land water recycling to mitigate local temperature extremes, Earth System Dynamics, 10, 157-169. pdf
- Shatwell, T., Thiery, W., Kirillin, G., Future projections of temperature and mixing regime of European temperate lakes, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23, 1533-1551. pdf
- Broeckx, J., Maertens, M., Isabirye, M., Vanmaercke, M., Namazzi, B., Deckers, J., Tamale, J., Jacobs, L., Thiery, W., Kervyn, M., Vranken, L., Poesen, J., Landslide susceptibility and mobilization rates in the Mount Elgon region, Uganda, Landslides, 16, 571-584 . pdf
- Rugema, E., Darchambeau, F., Sarmento, H., Stoyneva-Gaertner, M., Leitao, M., Thiery, W., Latli, A., Descy, J.-P., Long-term change of phytoplankton in Lake Kivu: The rise of the greens, Freshwater Biology, 64, 1940-1955 . pdf
2018
- Vanderkelen, I., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Thiery, W., Modelling the water balance of Lake Victoria (East Africa) - Part 1: Observational analysis, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 5509-5525 (HESS highlight article). pdf
- Vanderkelen, I., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Thiery, W., Modelling the water balance of Lake Victoria (East Africa) - Part 2: Future projections, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 5527-5549 (HESS highlight article). pdf
- Sterl, S., Liersch, S., Koch, H., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Thiery, W., A new approach for assessing synergies of solar and wind power: implications for West Africa, Environmental Research Letters, 13(9), 094009. pdf
- Thiery, W., Davin, E.L., Seneviratne, S.I., Land Use, Land Cover and Land Management Change: Definitions, Scenarios, and te Role in the Climate System, Oxford Bibliographies in Environmental Science, Ed. Ellen Wohl, New York: Oxford University Press. pdf
- Hirsch, A.L., Prestele, R., Davin, E.L., Seneviratne, S.I., Thiery, W., Verburg, P., Biophysical impacts of conservation agriculture on local climates, Global Change Biology, 24, 4758-4774. pdf
- Meier, R., Davin, E.L., Lejeune, Q., Hauser, M., Li, Y., Martens, B., Schultz, N.M., Sterling, S., Thiery, W., Evaluating and improving the Comunity Land Model's sensitivity to Land Cover, Biogeosciences, 15, 4731-4757. pdf
- Rooney, G., van Lipzig, N. P. M., Thiery, W., Estimating the effect of rainfall on the surface temperature of a tropical lake, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22, 6357-6369. pdf
- Schleussner, C.-F., Deryng, D., Müller, C., Elliott, J., Folberth, C., Liu, W., Wang, X., Pugh, T., Thiery, W., Seneviratne, S., Rogelj, J., Crop productivity changes at 1.5°C and 2°C under climate response uncertainty, Environmental Research Letters, 13(6), 064007. pdf
- Wartenburger, R., et al. (incl. Thiery, W.), Evapotranspiration simulations in ISIMIP2a - Evaluation of spatio-temporal characteristics with a comprehensive ensemble of independent datasets, Environmental Research Letters, 13(7), 075001. pdf
- Delandmeter, P., Lambrechts, J., Legat, V., Vallaeys, V., Naithani, J., Thiery, W., Remacle, J.-F., Deleersnijder, E., A fully consistent and conservative vertically adaptive coordinate system for SLIM 3D v0.4 with an application to the thermocline oscillations of Lake Tanganyika, Geoscientific Model Development, 11, 1161-1179. pdf
- Jacobs, L., Dewitte, O., Poesen, J., Sekajugo, J., Nobile, A., Rossi, M., Thiery, W., Kervyn, M., Field-based landslide susceptibility assessment in a data-scarce environment: the populated areas of the Rwenzori Mountains, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 18, 105-124. pdf
- Monsieurs, E., Kirschbaum, D., Tan, J., Maki Mateso, J.-C., Jacobs, L., Plisnier, P.-D., Thiery, W., Garuka Bibentyo, T., Ganza Bamulezi, G., Ilombe, G., Bagalwa, L., Kankurize, C., Michellier, C., Stanley, T., Kervyn, F., Kervyn, M., Demoulin, A., Dewitte, O., Evaluating TMPA Rainfall over the Sparsely Gauged East African Rift, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19(9), 1507-1528. pdf
- Monsieurs, E., Jacobs, L., Michellier, C., Basimike Tchangaboba, J., Ganza Bamulezi, G., Kervyn, F., Maki Mateso, J.C., Mugaruka Bibentyo, T., Nahimana, L., Ndayisenga, A., Nkurunziza, P., Thiery, W., Demoulin, A., Kervyn, M., Dewitte, O., Landslide inventory for hazard assessment in a data-poor context: a regional-scale approach in a tropical African environment, Landslides. pdf
2017
- Thiery, W., Davin, E.L., Lawrence, D.M., Hirsch, A.L., Hauser, M., Seneviratne, S.I., Present-day irrigation mitigates heat extremes, J. Geophys. Res. Atm., 122, 1403-1422. pdf
- Thiery, W., Gudmundsson, L., Bedka, K., Semazzi, F.H.M., Lhermitte, S., Willems, P., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Seneviratne, S.I., Early warnings of hazardous thunderstorms over Lake Victoria, Env. Res. Letters, 12, 074012. pdf
- Hirsch, A.L., Wilhelm, M., Davin, E.L., Thiery, W., Seneviratne, S.I., Can climate-effective land management reduce regional warming?, J. Geophys. Res. Atm., 122, 2269-2288. pdf
- Weyhenmeyer, G.A., Mackay, M., Stockwell, J.D., Thiery, W., Grossart, H.-P., Augusto-Silva, P.B., Baulch, H., de Eyto, E., Hejzlar, J., Kangur, K., Kirillin, G., Pierson, D.C., Rusak, J.A., Sadro, S., Woolway, I., Citizen Science shows systematic changes in the temperature difference between air and inland waters with global warming, Scientific reports, 7, 43890. pdf
2016
- Thiery, W., Davin, E.L., Seneviratne, S.I., Bedka, K., Lhermitte, S., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Hazardous thunderstorm intensification over Lake Victoria, Nature Communications, 7, 12786. pdf
- Souverijns, N., Thiery, W., Demuzere, M., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Drivers of future changes in East African precipitation, Environmental Research Letters, 11, 114011. pdf
- Docquier, D., Thiery, W., Lhermitte, S., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Multi-year wind dynamics around Lake Tanganyika, Climate Dynamics, 47(9), 3191-3202. pdf
- Hawinkel, P., Thiery, W., Lhermitte, S., Swinnen, E., Verbist, B., Van Orshoven, J., Muys, B., Vegetation response to precipitation variability in East Africa controlled by biogeographical factors, Journal of Geophysical research - Biogeosciences, 121, 2422-2444. pdf
- Jacobs, L., Maes, J., Mertens, K., Sekajugo, J., Thiery, W., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Poesen, J., Kervyn, M., Dewitte, O., Reconstruction of a flash flood event through a multi-hazard approach: focus on the Rwenzori Mountains, Uganda, Natural Hazards, 84(2), 851-876. pdf
- Jacobs, L., Dewitte, O., Poesen, J., Delvaux, D., Thiery, W., Kervyn, M., The Rwenzori Mountains, a landslide-prone region?, Landslides, 13(3), 519-536. pdf
2015
- Thiery, W., Davin, E.L., Panitz, H.-J., Demuzere, M., Lhermitte, S., van Lipzig, N.P.M., The impact of the African Great Lakes on the regional climate, J. Climate, 28(10), 4061-4085. pdf
- Gorodetskaya, I.V., Kneifel, S., Maahn, M., Van Tricht, K., Thiery, W., Schween, J.H., Crewell, S., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Cloud and precipitation properties from ground-based remote sensing instruments in East Antarctica, The Cryosphere 9, 285-304. pdf
2014
- Thiery, W., Martynov, A., Darchambeau, F., Descy, J.-P., Plisnier, P.-D., Sushama, L., van Lipzig, N.P.M., Understanding the performance of the FLake model over two African Great Lakes, Geosci. Model Dev. 7, 317-337. pdf
- Thiery, W., Stepanenko, V.M., Darchambeau, F., Fang, X., Jöhnk, K.D., Li, Z., Martynov, A., Mironov, D., Perroud, M., Subin, Z.M., van Lipzig, N.P.M., LakeMIP Kivu: evaluating the representation of a large, deep tropical lake by a set of one-dimensional lake models, Tellus A 66, 21390. pdf
- Akkermans, T., Thiery, W., van Lipzig, N.P.M., The regional climate impact of a realistic future deforestation scenario in the Congo Basin, J. Climate 27(7), 2714-2734. pdf
2012
- Thiery, W., Gorodetskaya, I.V., Bintanja, R. , van Lipzig, N.P.M., van den Broeke, M.R., Reijmer, C., Kuipers Munneke, P., Surface and snowdrift sublimation at Princess Elisabeth station, East Antarctica. The Cryosphere 6(2), 841-857. pdf
Book chapters, reports and newsletters
2025
- Thiery, W., Amazonian deforestation makes the wet season wetter, and the dry season dryer, Nature (News and Views), 639 (8053), 40-42. pdf.
- Barnes, C., Keeping, T., Madakumbura, G., Abatzoglou, J., Williams, P., Aghakouchak, A., Pinto, I., Thompson, V., Vautard, R., Lampe, S., Thiery, W., Pietroiusti, R., Otto, F., Vahlberg, M., Singh, R., Lambrou, N., Blakely, E., Zhu, Y., Li, J., Benmarhnia, T., Longcore, T., Marlier, M., Raju, E., Baumgart, N., Arrighi, J., Climate change increased the likelihood of wildfire disaster in highly exposed Los Angeles area, World Weather Attribution Report, London, UK. January 2025.
- Thiery, W., Climate change understanding as a basis for sustainability education, The Routledge Handbook of Global Sustainability Education and Thinking for the 21st Century. pdf.
2024
- Schade, W., Khanna, A.A., Mader, S., Streif, M., Abkai, T., de Stasio, C., Fermi, F., Bielanska, D., Deidda, C., Thiery, W., Maatsch, S., Support study on the climate adaptation and cross-border investment needs to realise the TEN-T network, Report on behalf of the European Commission, Karlsruhe, Milano, Brussels, Bremen. July 2024.
- Baeyens, A., Thiery, W., Oberthür, S., Vrij om onze toekomstige vrijheden te beschermen, Vrije Geesten (Co-written by Koen Stein).
2023
- Thiery, W., What Will Your Future Look Like Under Climate Change?, Frontiers for Young Minds (Co-written by Susan Debad). link.
- Ellsworth, D., Verbeeck, H., Soudzolovskaia, N., Baeten, L., Hubau, W., Van Coillie, F., Verheyen, K., et al., Our natural capital: research needs and priorities for the future. White paper, Natural Capital Research Platform, Ghent University, Belgium. link. [role: contributing scientist]
2022
- Sterl, S., Thiery, W., The feasibility of solar PV to replace the Koukoutamba hydropower plant in Guinea – a quantitative study, VUB-report, 24 p. link.
- Save The Children, Generation Hope: 2.4 billion reasons to end the global climate and inequality crisis. link. [role: science co-lead]
2021
- Seneviratne, S. I., X. Zhang, M. Adnan, W. Badi, C. Dereczynski, A. Di Luca, S. Ghosh, I. Iskandar, J. Kossin, S. Lewis, F. Otto, I. Pinto, M. Satoh, S. M. Vicente-Serrano, M. Wehner, B. Zhou, 2021, Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O.Yelekçi, R. Yu and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. In Press. [role: Contributing Author]
- Save The Children, Born into the Climate Crisis: Why we must act now to secure children’s rights. link. [role: science lead]
- Vicca, S., Thiery, W., Grote risico’s: weersextremen en kantelpunten, in: Van klimaatverandering naar systeemverandering, Sara Vicca en Ann Crabbé (eds.), UPA, 13-19.
2020
- Yao, Y., Thiery, W., Sterl, S., Winter is Leaving – Reduced occurrence of extremely cold days in Belgium and implications for power system planning, VUB-report, 33 p.
- Grant, L., Thiery, W., Single Product Report on Lakes – ERA5 lake mixed-layer temperature and lake ice depth of the Climate Data Store, Copernicus Climate Change Service report, 31 p.
- Grant, L., Thiery, W., Single Product Report on Lakes – ERA5-Land lake mixed-layer temperature and lake ice depth of the Climate Data Store, Copernicus Climate Change Service report, 31 p.
- Padrón, R.S., Hirschi, M., Davin, E., Crezee, B., Seneviratne, S.I., Hesham, Y., Müller, B., Reimuth, A., Grant, L., Thiery, W., Thematic Assessment Report on Task 7.4: Land-climate coupling, Copernicus Climate Change Service report, 36 p.
- Hassler, B., Lauer, A., Reimuth, A., Müller, B., Davin, E., Hirschi, M., Coll, J., Grant, L., Thiery, W., Vanderkelen, I., Thematic Assessment Report on Task 7.3: Earth Energy Balance, Copernicus Climate Change Service report, 36 p.
2019
- Hurlbert, M., J. Krishnaswamy, E. Davin, F.X. Johnson, C.F. Mena, J. Morton, S. Myeong, D. Viner, K. Warner, A. Wreford, S. Zakieldeen, Z. Zommers, 2019: Risk Management and Decision making in Relation to Sustainable Development. In: Climate Change and Land: an IPCC special report on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in terrestrial ecosystems [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, E. Calvo Buendia, V. Masson-Delmotte, H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, P. Zhai, R. Slade, S. Connors, R. van Diemen, M. Ferrat, E. Haughey, S. Luz, S. Neogi, M. Pathak, J. Petzold, J. Portugal Pereira, P. Vyas, E. Huntley, K. Kissick, M. Belkacemi, J. Malley, (eds.)]. [role: Contributing Author]
- Thiery, W., Korte inleiding tot klimaatverandering, in: Het kleine klimaatboek, C. Cornelis (ed.), Gompel&Svacina, 13-19.
2015
- Thiery, W., Davin, E., Panitz, H.-J., Demuzere, M., Lhermitte, S., van Lipzig, N.P.M., How the African Great Lakes modify the regional climate, CLM-Community newsletter 4, 5-7. pdf
- Descy, J.-P., André, L., Delvaux, C., Monin, L., Bouillon, S., Morana, C., Borges, A.V., Drachambeau, F., Roland, F., Van de vyver, E., Verleyen, E., Steigüber, C., Vyverman, W., Cornet, Y., Poncelet, N., Tomazic, I., van Lipzig, N., Thiery, W., Guillard, J., Docquier, D., Souverijns, N., Ishumbisho, P., Yongabo, P., Nyinawamwiza, L., East African Great Lake Ecosystem Sensitivity to changes (EAGLES), Belgian Science Policy Final report, 151 p. pdf
2013
- Van Hecke, E., Vanderhallen, D., Slegers, L., Delva, R., Dervaux, I., Hasendonckx, F., Hofkens, H., Maricou, H., Miguet, H., Steegen, A., Vandenhoute, L., Verstraelen, A., Van Brempt, J., Devos, L., Cabus, P., Deckers, S., Devis, A., Dondeyne, S., Thiery, W., van Lipzig, N., Van Schandevyl, P., Verstraeten, G., Zenit 5/6 Infoboek ASO-Wetenschappen. Uitgeverij Pelckmans, Kapellen, Belgium.