My research combines econometrics, mathematical modelling, finance, accounting, and machine learning to study how economic systems respond to changes in policy, technology, and demographic dynamics. I develop empirical and quantitative frameworks to investigate questions related to immigration, regional inequality, labour markets, corporate behaviour, taxation, sustainability, and financial stability.
My work is interdisciplinary but unified by a consistent focus:
to understand how economic and institutional environments shape decision-making and long-run socio-economic outcomes.
I publish across Economics (CNRS 1 and 2 journals), Accounting, and Data Science, and collaborate with researchers from economics, finance, operations research, and applied mathematics.
Research Areas
I study how migration flows affect minority outcomes, local credit markets, economic mobility, and long-run regional divergence in the United States and Europe.
Current emphasis:
Immigrant inflows and minority access to bank loans
Population shocks and regional inequality
Populism, political responses, and local economic performance
My work examines the determinants of labour market participation, wage inequality, human capital accumulation, and how health dynamics interact with socio-economic mobility. I often combine survey data, administrative datasets, and modern machine-learning approaches.
I investigate how firms respond to regulatory pressures, ESG and sustainability incentives, corporate taxation, and financial constraints.
Topics include:
Corporate social responsibility and tax avoidance mechanisms
Sustainability, AI adoption, and accounting practices
Credit ratings, natural disasters, and insurance markets
Market-based accounting and firm behaviour under uncertainty
My quantitative work develops and applies methods from:
high-dimensional econometrics
structural modelling
optimisation and dynamic systems
machine learning for economic prediction
mathematical tools for economic and financial modelling
I also design algorithms, software tools, and predictive systems used in data-intensive economic research.
I work on optimisation, predictive modelling, and performance analysis in professional sports, combining economic incentives with mathematical modelling.
The Effect of Exposure to Refugees on Crime Activity: Evidence from the Greek Islands
(with Megalokonomou, R.)
European Economic Review, accepted. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
The Demographic Transition and Stagnation in Countries Vulnerable to Climate Change
(with Dao, T.)
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, accepted. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
Transmissible Diseases, Vaccination and Inequality
(with Camacho, C.)
Journal of Public Economic Theory, forthcoming. (ABS 2, FNEGE 3)
More Foreign Aid, Less Financial Development (with Altunbas, Y., & Thornton, J.)
Economia Internazionale / International Economics, 76(4), 495–528, 2023.
Birthplace Diversity and Growth: A Panel Data Analysis on the U.S. States
(with Docquier, F., Turati, R., & Valette, J.)
Journal of Economic Geography, 20(2), 321–354, 2020. (ABS 4, FNEGE 2)
International Migration and the Propagation of HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa
(with Docquier, F., & Mansi, T.)
Journal of Health Economics, 35, 20–33, 2014. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
Operational Research in the Time of COVID-19: The ‘Science for Better’ or Worse in the Absence of Hard Data
(with Nikolopoulos, K., & Tsinopoulos, Ch.)
Journal of the Operational Research Society, forthcoming. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
Predictive and Prescriptive Analytics for Strategic Financial Decisions
(with Nikolopoulos, K., & Mendiola, G.)
The Journal of Prediction Markets, forthcoming.
Forecasting the Effective Reproduction Number During a Pandemic: COVID-19 Rt Forecasts, Governmental Decisions, and Economic Implications
(with Nikolopoulos, K.)
IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 35(1), 65–81, 2024. (ABS 2)
Forecasting and Planning During a Pandemic: COVID-19 Growth Rates, Supply Chain Disruptions, and Governmental Decisions
(with Nikolopoulos, K., Punia, S., Tsinopoulos, Ch., & Schafers, A.)
European Journal of Operational Research, 290, 99–115, 2021. (ABS 4, FNEGE 1 — EURO Award)
Further Evidence on Inflation Targeting and Income Distribution
(with Thornton, J.)
Southern Economic Journal, forthcoming. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
Do Female CEOs Handle Crises Better? Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic
(with Thornton, J.)
Economics and Business Letters, 13, 158–171, 2024.
Stochastic Petropolitics: The Dynamics of Institutions in Resource-Dependent Economies
(with Prieur, F., Boucekkine, R., & Zou, B.)
European Economic Review, 131, 103610, 2021. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
Do Fiscal Rules Reduce Government Borrowing Costs in Developing Countries?
(with Thornton, J.)
International Journal of Finance and Economics, 24, 1–12, 2019. (ABS 3, FNEGE 3)
Fiscal Rules and Government Borrowing Costs: International Evidence
(with Thornton, J.)
Economic Inquiry, 56, 446–459, 2018. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
The Impact of Fiscal Rules on Sovereign Risk Premia: International Evidence
(with Thornton, J.)
Finance Research Letters, 20, 63–67, 2017. (ABS 2, FNEGE 3)
Inflation Targeting and the Cyclicality of Monetary Policy
(with Thornton, J.)
Finance Research Letters, 20, 296–302, 2017. (ABS 2, FNEGE 3)
Does Inflation Targeting Reduce Sovereign Risk?
(with Thornton, J.)
Finance Research Letters, 18, 202–206, 2016. (ABS 2, FNEGE 3)
Interpersonal Population Diversity and Banking Misconduct
(with Thornton, J.)
Journal of Accounting Literature, forthcoming. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
Culture Identity and Fintech Acquisitions
(with Reghezza, A.)
British Accounting Review, forthcoming. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
How Should We Estimate Value-Relevance Models? Insights from European Data
(with Onali, E., & Ginesti, G.)
British Accounting Review, 49, 460–473, 2017. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
Protecting the Mental Health of Future Adults: Determinants of Adolescent Bullying Victimization
(with Chrysanthou, G. M.)
Social Science & Medicine, 253, 112942, 2020. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
Does Talent Migration Increase Inequality? A Quantitative Assessment in the Football Labour Market
(solo author)
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 85, 150–166, 2017. (ABS 3, FNEGE 2)
Child Malnutrition: On the Design of Foreign Food Aid Policies
(solo author)
Macroeconomic Dynamics, 21, 1935–1956, 2017. (ABS 2, FNEGE 3)
Social Economic Impact of AIDS: Accounting for Intergenerational Transmission, Productivity, and Fertility
(solo author)
Economic Modelling, 29, 369–381, 2012. (ABS 2, FNEGE 3)