Books
1. Abeysinghe, Tilak. and Choy, K.M., (2007) The Singapore Economy: An Econometric Perspective, (Research Monograph, Feb 2007, London: Routledge. Paperback edition issued in Oct 2008).
Edited Books
2. Abeysinghe, Tilak. and Xie, Taojun (editors), (2021) Economic Impact of Covid-19 on three Asian Tigers, Asia Competitiveness Institute, National University of Singapore (available online).
Chapters (out of 8) by Tilak Abeysinghe
3. Chapter 1, (with Xie Taojun), Introduction, pp. 1-10.
4. Chapter 2, Forward-looking methodology for intervention analysis within a VAR framework, pp.11-16.
5. Chapter 3, (with Tan Kway Guan), The economic fallout of Corona pandemic on Singapore: For how long, pp.17-32.
6. Chapter 4, (with Tan Kway Guan), The economic fallout of Corona pandemic on Hong Kong: For how long, pp.33-49.
7. Chapter 5 (with Tan Kway Guan), Resilience of the Taiwan economy during the first phase of Corona onslaught, pp. 51-62.
8. Abeysinghe, Tilak and Zhang, Xuyao (editors), (2020), Quality adjusted labour input in ASEAN and Sub-national economies of China, India and Indonesia, Asia Competitiveness Institute, National University of Singapore (available online).
Chapters (out of 6) by Tilak Abeysinghe
9. Chapter 1, Introduction, pp. 1-8.
Chapter 2 (with Aishwarya Narayan and Zhang Xuyao), Literature review and research methodology, pp. 9-13. (All 6 chapters were supervised by Tilak Abeysinghe)
Major Project
10. Disparities of subnational economies of Sri Lanka: Launching the District Development Index (DDI).
https://gamanicoreafoundation.lk/publications/
https://lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/docs/default-source/aci/acirp202219.pdf
Refereed Journal Articles
11. Shen, Y., Gu, Z. Abeysinghe, T. and Shi, X. (2025), ”Revisiting the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic performance: An international perspective," Economic Modelling, 144(C).
11. Abeysinghe, T. (2021) “Debt begets debt: The Sri Lankan welfare state and fiscal sustainability”. Asian Economic Journal, 35(4), 363-389.
12. Abeysinghe, T. (2020), “Corona Squeeze of the Sri Lankan economy: Sectoral outlook”, Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 2(2).
13. Abeysinghe, T. Ke, M. and Zhang, X. (2020), “Welfare spending and fiscal sustainability: Segmented-trend panel-regression analysis of Chinese provinces”, Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, (online).
14. Shen, Y. and Abeysinghe, T. (2020), “International transmission mechanism and world business cycles”, Economic Inquiry (Online July 2020).
15. Abeysinghe, T. and Rajaguru, G. (2020), “A Gaussian test for stationarity in a mixed frequency regression for more power”, Journal of Data Science, 18(4), 649-663.
16. Abeysinghe, T, Tan, KG, Nguyen, LPA (2019) “Master plan on ASEAN connectivity: Assessing growth impacts and interdependencies”, Int. J. Logistics Economics and Globalisation, 8(1), 67-89.
17. Tan, KG, Abeysinghe, T, Tandon A. (2019) "An Empirical investigation of intra-ASEAN air connectivity", Journal of Business Competition and Growth, 6(3), 183-205.
18. Rajaguru G., O’Neill, M. and Abeysinghe, T. (2018) “Does systematic sampling preserve Granger causality?”, Econometrics, 6(2), 1-24.
19. Abeysinghe, T. (2018) “Old-age dependency: Is it really increasing in aging populations?”, Applied Economics Letters, 26(13), 1111-1117 (online Oct 23, 2018).
20. Abeysinghe, T. and Gu J. (2016) “Estimating fundamental and affordable housing price trends: A study based on Singapore”, Applied Economics, 48 (49), 4783-4798.
21. Abeysinghe, T. (2015) “Lessons of Singapore’s development for other developing economies”, Singapore Economic Review, 60(3), (SG50 Special Issue, by invitation).
22. Tan Kong Yam. Abeysinghe, Tilak, Tan Khee Giap (2015) “Shifting drivers of growth: Policy implications for ASEAN5”, Asian Economic Papers, 14(1), 157-173.
23. Abeysinghe, T. and Jayawickrama, A. (2013) “A segmented trend model to assess fiscal sustainability: The US experience 1929-2009”, Empirical Economics, 44, 1129-1141.(published online April 6, 2012).
24. Jayawickrama, A. and Abeysinghe, T. (2013) “The experience of some OECD economies on tax smoothing”, Applied Economics, 45, 2305-2313. (published online April 5, 2012).
25. Abeysinghe, T. Gu, J. (2012) “Stress and cancer: A link through the Chinese Cultural Revolution”, BrainImmune (open access, http://www.brainimmune.com/), April.
26. Abeysinghe, T. and Gu J. (2011) “Lifetime income and housing affordability in Singapore”, Urban Studies, 48, 1875-1891 (published online Nov 18, 2010). (Listed as the publication of the month (July) at the Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, NUS, Research Website)
27. Rajaguru, G. and Abeysinghe, T. (2008) “Temporal aggregation, cointegration and causality inference”, Economics Letters, 101, 223-226.
28. Abeysinghe, T. and Jayawickrama, A. (2008) “Singapore’s recurrent budget surplus: The role of conservative growth forecasts”, Journal of Asian Economics, 19. 117-124.
29. Karunarathne, W. and Abeysinghe, T. (2005) “Does mandatory savings crowd out private savings?: The experience of Sri Lanka”, Journal of Asian Economics, 16, 830-846.
30. Abeysinghe, T. and Forbes K. (2005) “Trade linkages and output-multipliers: A structural VAR approach with a focus on Asia”, Review of International Economics, 13, 356-375. (NBER Working Paper W8600, 2001).
31. Abeysinghe, T. and Choy, K.M., (2004) “The aggregate consumption puzzle in Singapore” Journal of Asian Economics, 15, 563-578.
Abeysinghe, T. and Gulasekaran, R., (2004) “Quarterly real GDP estimates for China and ASEAN4 with a forecast evaluation”, Journal of Forecasting, 23, 431-447.
33. Abeysinghe, T. and Lu Ding (2003) “China as an economic powerhouse: Implications on its neighbors”, China Economic Review, 14, 164-185.
34. Abeysinghe, T., Balasooriya, U. and Tsui, A. (2003) “Small-sample forecasting: Regression or ARIMA models?” Journal of Quantitative Economics, New Series, 1, 103-113.
35. Yang Z. and Abeysinghe, T. (2003) “A score-test for Box-Cox functional form”, Economics Letters, 79, 105-115.
36. Yang Z. and Abeysinghe, T. (2002) “An explicit variance formula for the Box-Cox functional form estimator”, Economics Letters, 76, 259-265.
Abeysinghe, T. and Choy Keen Meng, (2002) “On the use of innovation cross correlations to study cyclical co-movements in GDP and its components”, International Economic Journal, 16, 37-45.
Abeysinghe, T. (2001) “Estimation of direct and indirect impact of oil price on growth”, Economics Letters, 73, 147-153.
39. Abeysinghe, T, (2000) “Electronics and growth cycles in Singapore”, Applied Economics, 32, 1657-1663.
40. Abeysinghe, T, (2000) “Modeling variables of different frequencies”, International Journal of Forecasting, 16, 117-119.
41. Abeysinghe, T and T K Boon, (1999) "Small sample estimation of a cointegrating vector: An empirical evaluation of six estimation techniques", Applied Economics Letters, 6, 645-648.
42. Abeysinghe, T. and Lee, H. C., (1998) “Singapore’s cost competitiveness in the region: A technical note on RULC”, Singapore Economic Review, 43, 12-23.
43. Abeysinghe, T and C Lee, (1998) “Best linear unbiased disaggregation of annual GDP to quarterly figures: The case of Malaysia”, Journal of Forecasting, 17, 527-537.
Abeysinghe, T, (1998) “Forecasting Singapore’s quarterly GDP with monthly external trade”, International Journal of Forecasting, 14, 505-513.
Abeysinghe, T and L Y Tan (1997) “Exchange rate appreciation and export competitiveness”, Applied Economics, 30, 51-55.
Abeysinghe, T, (1994) “Deterministic seasonal models and spurious regressions”, Journal of Econometrics, 61, 259-272.
Balasooriya, U and T Abeysinghe, (1994) “On selecting between Gamma and Weibull distributions: An approach based on prediction of order statistics”, Journal of Applied Statistics, 21, 17-27.
Abeysinghe, T, (1994) “Forecasting performance of seasonal dummy models relative to some alternatives”, Economics Letters, 44, 365-370.
Abeysinghe, T, (1993) “Time cost, relative income and fertility in Canada”, Journal of Population Economics, 6, 189-198.
Abeysinghe, T and K H Lee (1992) “Singapore’s strong dollar policy and purchasing power parity: A cointegration analysis”, Singapore Economic Review, 37, 70-79.
Abeysinghe, T, (1991) “Inappropriate use of seasonal dummies in regression”, Economics Letters, 36, 175-179.
Abeysinghe, T, (1991) “A seasonal analysis applied to Chinese births”, Journal of Applied Statistics, 8, 275-286.
Abeysinghe, T, (1991) “On testing Easterlin’s hypothesis using relative cohort size as a proxy for relative income: An analysis of Canadian data”, Journal of Population Economics, 4, 53-69.
Abeysinghe, T, (1986) “Rising needs and falling family size: Implications from Marx on demographic transition”, Review of Social Economy, 44, 281-293.
Abeysinghe, T, (1986) “Calibration of experiments on perennial crops using covariance analysis: The case of coconut”, Experimental Agriculture, 22, 353-361.
Working Papers
56. Revisiting the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic performance: An international perspective (with Shen Yifan).
57. Welfare spending and fiscal sustainability: Segmented-trend panel-regression analysis of OECD countries (with Tan Khee Giap and Lim Tao Oei).
58. “Modelling and predicting the risk of extreme hospital bills for the elderly in Singapore”, (with Himani Aggarwal), 2011.
59. “Does the IV estimator establish causality? Re-examining Chinese fertility-growth relationship”, (with Gu, J), NUS, Dept of Econ, SCAPE Working Paper 2009/02.
60. “Economic openness, disciplined government and ethnic peace”, (with Nava R.K.), NUS, Dept of Econ, SCAPE Working Paper 2008/03.
61. “An export function for small open economies: The case of Singapore”, (with Choy, K.M.), NUS Dept of Econ, SCAPE Working Paper 2005/01.
62. “Dynamic Regressions with Variables Observed at Different Frequencies”, (with Anthony Tay), NUS Dept of Econ, Working Paper 2000/21.
Chapters in books (excluding those listed under Edited Books)
63. Abeysinghe, T. and Wong, Y.H. (2016) “Housing prices, graduates and income inequality: The case of Singapore”, Managing globalization in Asia, festschrift in honour of Prof Candra Athukorala, edited by Hal Hill and Jay Menon, ISEAS, Singapore (Invited paper).
64. Abeysinghe, T. (2016) “Lessons of Singapore’s development for other developing economies”, Singapore’s Economic Development: Retrospection and Reflection, edited by Linda Lim, Singapore: World Scientific (Invited paper, Reprint).
65. Abeysinghe, T. and Jayawickrama, A. (2012) “Singapore’s direct investment links with Sri Lanka: Past experience and future prospects”, Renaissance of Asia: Evolving Economic Relations between South Asia and East Asia, edited by P. Rana, Singapore: World Scientific.
66. Abeysinghe, T., Himani, Lim, J. (2011) “Equity in Singapore’s healthcare financing”, Challenges for the Singapore Economy After the Global Financial Crisis, edited by P. Wilson, Singapore: World Scientific.
67. Rajaguru, G. and Abeysinghe, T. (2010) “The Distortionary Effects of Temporal Aggregation on Granger Causality. In Some Recent Developments in Statistical Theory and Applications - Selected Proceedings of the International Conference on Recent Development in Statistics, Econometrics and Forecasting. Kumar, K. and Chaturvedi, A. (eds), pp. 38-56.
68. Choy Keen Meng and Abeysinghe, T. (2009) “Inflation, exchange rate and the Singapore economy: A policy simulation” in Singapore and Asia: Impact of the Global Financial Tsunami and Other Economic Issues, edited by Sng Hui Ying and Chia Wai Mun, World Scientific, Singapore, pp. 145-158.
69. Abeysinghe, T. (2012) “Singapore: Economy (update)” The Far East and Australasia, edited by Lynn Daniel, London: Europa Publications, Routledge.
70. Abeysinghe, T. (2011) “Singapore: Economy (update)” The Far East and Australasia, edited by Lynn Daniel, London: Europa Publications, Routledge.
71. Abeysinghe, T. (2010) “Singapore: Economy (update)” The Far East and Australasia, edited by Lynn Daniel, London: Europa Publications, Routledge.
72. Abeysinghe, T. (2009) “Singapore: Economy (update)” The Far East and Australasia, edited by Lynn Daniel, London: Europa Publications, Routledge.
73. Abeysinghe, T. (2008) “Singapore: Economy” The Far East and Australasia, edited by Lynn Daniel, London: Europa Publications, Routledge.
Wilson, P. and Abeysinghe, T. (2002) “International compositeness”, Singapore in the 21st Century: Issues and Strategies, edited by Koh, AT, Lim, KL, Hui, WT, Rao, B., and Chng, MK, McGraw-Hill.
Khan, H. and Abeysinghe, T. (2002) “Tourism in Singapore: Past experiences and future outlook”, Singapore in the 21st Century: Issues and Strategies, edited by Koh, AT, Lim, KL, Hui, WT, Rao, B., and Chng, MK, McGraw-Hill.
Abeysinghe, T. (2001) “Thai meltdown and transmission of recession within ASEAN4 and NIE4”, International Financial Contagion, edited by S. Claessens and K. Forbes, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, pp. 225-240.
Abeysinghe, T, H G Ng and L Y Tan, (1994) “ESU forecast of the Singapore economy” Outlook for the Singapore Economy, edited by A Chin and K J Ngiam, Singapore: Trans Global Publishing.
Abeysinghe, T. (1994) “Estimating cointegrating vectors: A practitioner’s problem”, Computational Statistics, edited by R. Dutter and W. Grossman, Vienna Institute for Statistics.
Abeysinghe, T. (1992) “A small-scale model to forecast GDP growth of Singapore”, Computational Statistics, Vol.1, edited by Y. Dodge and J. Whittaker, pp. 297-302, Germany: Physia Verlag.
Abeysinghe, T, (1990) “Economic theories of fertility: A reappraisal”, Surveys in Modern Economics, edited by E Quah and A Chin, pp. 46-67, Singapore: McGraw-Hill Book Company.
Book Reviews and Other
Abeysinghe, T, (1994) Review of Econometrics: Alchemy or Science? Essays in Econometric Methodology, by David F. Hendry, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 9, 343-344.
2. Abeysinghe, T., (2000) “How to teach econometrics to the unmotivated?” In Reflections on Teaching: The NUS Experience edited by Centre for Development of Teaching and Learning (CDTL), Goh Brothers Enterprise, pp.102-103. (This is a short personal note.)
Newspaper and other Articles
1. Abeysinghe, T. “Covid statistics and mis-information”, Daily Financial Times and Daily News, 2021, August 18.
2. Abeysinghe, T. “Corona squeeze of the Sri Lankan economy: A sectoral outlook”, Daily Mirror, 2020, June. Marga online discussion: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-OBKi43-0iU).
3. Abeysinghe, T. and Yifan, S. “Global growth impact of Covid-19 outbreak”, Daily Financial Times, 2020 Apr. Marga online discussion, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0sya8Bi9OPg).
4. Abeysinghe T. “Boost fertility? Nudge educated women to marry, marry young”, The Straits Times, Opinion pages, 2018, Nov 30.
5. Abeysinghe, T. “How elders’ savings alter support ratio”, The Straits Times, Opinion pages, 2016, Apr 13.
6. Abeysinghe, T. “Lessons from Lee Kuan Yew”, Daily News (Sri Lanka), 2015, Apr 10.
7. Abeysinghe, T. "Being personally responsible is key in preventive care" The Straits Times, Opinion pages, 2013, Sep 16.
8. Abeysinghe, T. “Move beyond economics to boost fertility", The Straits Times, Review pages, 2013, Jan 25.
9. Abeysinghe, T. “Inflated housing prices should ease”, The Straits Times, Review pages, 2012, Oct 4.
10. Tan, KY, Abeysinghe, T, Tan KG, Toh, R, “Casting the net for new growth engines”, The Straits Times, Review pages, 2011, Dec 28.
11. Abeysinghe, T. “Fewer children when house prices head north”, The Straits Times, Review pages, 2011, Sep 1.
12. Abeysinghe, T. and Gu Jiaying, “Redefining affordability of homes” reporting the launch of Singapore housing affordability index at SCAPE, The Straits Times, Review pages, 2011, July 14.
13. Abeysinghe, T. “Both property price cycles and trends matter”, The Straits Times, Review Pages, 2010, Sep 9.
14. Abeysinghe, T. “Buying within your means”, The Straits Times, Review Pages, 2010, Aug 4.
15. Abeysinghe, T. “Rising Sing$ may not keep prices low”, The Straits Times, Review Pages, 2010, July 29.
16. Abeysinghe, T. “Will the Sri Lankan economy take off? Some lesions from Singapore” The Sunday Times, Sri Lanka, 2010, May 30.
17. Abeysinghe, T. “Post-war Sri Lanka: Will the economy take off?” Roubini Global Economics, 2010, Feb 9.
18. Abeysinghe, T. “Roaring tigers, rising dragon”, The Straits Times, Review Pages, 2010, Feb 2.
19. Abeysinghe, T. “Private vice to public virtue? Re-examine the basic economic dictum”, Roubini Global Economics, Apr 2009.
20. Abeysinghe, T. “Capitalist economy in crisis: Recovery at high cost”, Daily News, Editorial page, Sri Lanka, Feb 21, 2009.
21. Abeysinghe, T. and Jiaying Gu, “Jobs Credit Scheme: Measuring its effectiveness”, The Straits Times, Review Pages, 2009, Feb 16.
22. Abeysinghe, T. “Economics of ethnic peace: Lessons for countries like Sri Lanka”, Roubini Global Economics, Jan 2009; Re-appeared in The Lanka Academic.
23. Abeysinghe, T. “Private vices, public virtues”, The Straits Times, Economic Watch, 2008, Dec 2.
24. Abeysinghe, T. and Jiaying Gu, “That condo is moving out of reach”, The Straits Times, Review, 2008, May 3.
25. Abeysinghe, T. “Soaring property prices: Demand management policies are required”, The Straits Times, Forum, 2007, Oct 22.
26. Abeysinghe, T., “Hard to get accurate growth forecasts”, The Straits Times, Forum, 2001, April 4.
27. Abeysinghe, T. “Paradox of children as inferior goods”, The Straits Times, Forum, 2000, August 24.
28. 4Abeysinghe, T., “Construction’s recovery may be slow”, The Straits Times, Comments/Analysis, 2000, April 12.
29. Abeysinghe, T., “Recovery? It’s in the numbers”, The Straits Times, Forum, 1998, August 7.
30. Abeysinghe, T., “Variable growth cycles important in electronics sector”, The Straits Times, Comments/Analysis, 1996, October 1.
31. Abeysinghe, T., “Higher Singapore dollar may hurt service exports more”, The Straits Times, Comments/Analysis, 1994, March 9.
Research on Singapore under ESU and SCAPE Reported in News Media by Journalists
1. Abeysinghe, T. (with Himani). “Modelling and predicting the risk of extreme hospital bills in Singapore”, May 2014.
2. Abeysinghe, T. (with inputs from others), “Living affordability in Singapore by income groups”, SCAPE project, Mar 2014.
3. Abeysinghe, T. (with Gu J.). “Lifetime income and housing affordability in Singapore”, July 2011.
4. Abeysinghe, T. “Singapore’s healthcare system: Some challenges” Economic Policy Conference organized by NTU with NUS and SMU, October 2009.
5. Choy Keen Meng and Abeysinghe, T. “Inflation, exchange rate and the macroeconomy: ESU01 model simulations”, Economic Policy Conference organized by SCAPE, October 2008.
6. Abeysinghe, T. and Jiaying Gu. “Residential property market: Outlook and affordability”, Economic Policy Conference organized by SCAPE, October 2008.
7. Abeysinghe, T. “Singapore’s property market and the macroeconomy”, Singapore Economic Policy Conference organized by SCAPE, October 2007.
8. Abeysinghe, T. and Choy, K.M. “ESU01 model of the Singapore economy: Special features, policy simulations, growth prospects”, SCAPE-ESU Book launch seminar, NUS, February 2007.
9. Abeysinghe, T. and Choy, K.M. “The macroeconomic effects of Singapore’s integrated resorts: An econometric simulation”, SER Conference, Singapore, Ausgust 2005.
10. Abeysinghe, T. and Choy, K.M. “Revisiting SARS: Impact on the Singapore economy”, ESU Press release, December 11, 2003.
11. Abeysinghe, T. and Choy, K.M. “The US dollar-dip danger. How serious is the threat to Singapore?” ESU Press Conference, September 10, 2003.
12. Abeysinghe, T. and Choy, K.M. “Economic outlook for Singapore”, Paper presented at the ISEAS Regional Outlook Forum, January 8, 2002.
13. Abeysinghe, T. and Choy K.M. “Economic outlook for Singapore”, Paper presented at the EEP/ESU conference, November 26, 2001.
14. Abeysinghe, T., Serigar, R. and Choy K. M. “The global economic downturn and the Singapore economy”, ESU Press Conference, October 23, 2001.
15. Abeysinghe, T., R. Serigar, and K. M. Choy, “Where is the illusive bottom of the electronics cycle?” Paper presented at the ESU Workshop, August, 2001.
16. Abeysinghe, T. and P. Wilson, “Forecasts for the Singapore Economy”, Paper presented at the ISEAS Regional Outlook Forum January 2001.
17. Abeysinghe, T. and P. Wilson, “ESU forecasts for the Singapore economy”, Paper presented by Peter Wilson at the Economics Executive Program/Econometric Studies Unit Conference, April 2000, Singapore.
18. Abeysinghe, T. and P. Wilson, “Could high oil prices derail Asian recovery?” Paper presented at the ESU Workshop, October 2000.
19. Abeysinghe, T. and P. Wilson, “ESU forecast updates and policy simulations on CPF restoration”, Paper presented at the ESU Workshop, October 1999.
20. Abeysinghe, T. and Lee H C., "Singapore's cost competitiveness in the region before and after the crisis". Paper presented at the ESU Conference, March 4, 1999, Singapore.
21. Abeysinghe, T. "Forecasts over five years for Singapore and the region from a twelve country structural VAR model". Paper presented at the ESU Conference, March 4, 1999, Singapore.
22. Abeysinghe, T. “Regional economic outlook”, Paper presented at the ESU Workshop, August 1998, Singapore.
23. Abeysinghe, T., A. Tyabji and C. Lee, “The Singapore economy and the currency crisis: Mid-year Review”, Paper presented at the ESU Workshop, August 1997, Singapore.
24. Abeysinghe, T and Christopher Lee, "Sectoral forecasts of the Singapore economy: A new quarterly model", Paper presented at the ESU Conference, March 1997, Singapore.
25. Abeysinghe, T, “Electronics and growth cycles in Singapore”. Paper presented at the ESU Workshop, August 1996, Singapore. (Also cited in The Economist).
26. Abeysinghe, T, “Forecasting quarterly GDP with monthly external trade”. Paper presented at the ESU Conference, February 1996, Singapore.
27. Abeysinghe, T, H G Ng and S Y Phang, “Outlook for the Singapore economy”. Paper presented at the ESU Conference, February 1995, Singapore.
28. Abeysinghe, T, “Why Singapore has a wider wage gap?”. Paper presented at the ESU Workshop, August 1994, Singapore.
29. Abeysinghe, T, H G Ng, M H Ngerng and A Tyabji, “ESU mid-year review of the Singapore economy. Paper presented at the ESU Workshop, August 1994, Singapore.
30. Abeysinghe, T, H G Ng and L Y Tan, “Outlook for the Singapore economy, 1994-96. Paper presented at the ESU Conference, February 1994. Reprinted in Economic Bulletin, Singapore International Chamber of Commerce, 1994.
31. Abeysinghe, T, H.G Ng L Y Tan, “Forecasting the Singapore economy and the impact of GST”. Paper presented at the ESU Workshop, August 1993, Singapore.
32. Abeysinghe, T, H G Ng and L Y Tan, “Singapore’s economic outlook: Forecasts, some policy issues and simulation results”, Paper presented at the ESU Conference, February 1993, Singapore.
International Conference Papers
(Excluding the Econometric Studies Unit Conference papers cited above)
1. “Old age dependency: Is it really increasing in aging populations?” The 11th Economic symposium of five leading East Asian Universities, Kyoto University, Jan 16, 2017.
2. “An empirical assessment of the Master Plan on ASEAN connectivity (MPAC)” (with Tan K.G., Anuja, Nicholas), Asia Competitiveness Institute symposium, Aug 31, 2015
3. “House prices, graduates and income inequality in Singapore”, (research with Wong Y.H.) The 9th Economic symposium of five leading East Asian Universities, Yonsei University, Seoul, S. Korea, Feb 6, 2015.
4. “Modelling and predicating the risk of extreme hospital bills in Singapore”, (with Himani), Singapore Health Economics Association inaugural conference, SMU, April 17, 2014.
5. “Self-responsibility and preventive healthcare”, (research with Himani) Public Health and Occupational Medicine (PHOM) conference, Singapore, April 28, 2014.
6. “Shifting drivers of growth: Policy implications for ASEAN-5”, (joint research), AEP Meeting, Keio University, Tokyo, Sep 16-17, 2013.
7. “Shifting drivers of growth and their impact on Asian economies”, (joint research), Asia Competitiveness Institute (LKY School) Annual conference, July 30, 2012.
8. “Modelling and predicting extreme hospital bills”, (research with Himani), Workshop jointly organized by FASS Health Cluster and School Public Health: A multidisciplinary model to promoting longevity, health and successful aging, NUS, Mar 23, 2012.
9. “Drivers of growth of the Asian economies: A structural VAR analysis”, (joint research), The 6th Economic Symposium of Five Leading East Asian Universities, Keo University, Tokyo, Jan, 2012.
10. “Stress and cancer”, (with Gu, J.), Symposium on Health Econometrics and Quantitative Health Research”, National University of Singapore, Aug 8, 2011.
11. “The Cultural Revolution stress and cancer”, (with Gu J.), The 5th Economic Symposium of Five Leading East Asian Universities, Fudan University, Shanghai, Jan 21, 2011.
12. “Singapore’s direct investment in Sri Lanka”, (with Jayawickrama, A.) ISAS Conference on Pan Asian Integration, Singapore, Feb 2010.
13. "Does the IV estimator establish causality? Re-examining Chinese fertility-growth relationship", (with Gu J.), Singapore Economic Review Conference 2009 ( 6-8 Aug 2009, Swissotel, Singapore).
14. “Gaussian tests for unit roots and cointegration”, (with Rajaguru, G.), Conference in honour of Peter C B Phillips, SMU, Singapore, June 2008.
15. “Macroeconometric model simulations of the Singapore economy”, (with Choy, K.M.), NTU-UvA workshop in econometrics, Singapore, Jan 2007.
16. “An export function for small open economies: The case of Singapore”, (with Choy, K.M.), Joint Economic Symposium of Five Leading East Asian Universities, inaugural meeting at Fudan University, Shanghai, Jan 2007.
17. “A direct test of tax smoothing: The experience of some OECD economies”, (with Jayawickrama, A.), July 2006, FEMES, Beijing; NUS-Melbourne Symposium, Dec 2006, Melbourne.
18. “The ESU01 model of the Singapore economy: Special features”, (with Choy, K.M.), August 2005, SER Conference, Singapore.
19. “Temporal aggregation, causality distortions, and a sign rule”, (with Rajaguru, G.), Australian Meeting of the Econometric Society, June 2004, Melbourne.
20. “China as an economic power house” (with Lu, D.), Paper presented at Kansai Econometric Conference, Jan 2003, Kyoto, Japan.
21. “The distortioanry effects of temporal aggregation on Granger causality”, (with Gulasekaran, R.), Far Eastern Meeting of the Econometric Society, July 2001, Kobe, Japan.
22. “Thai meltdown and transmission of recession within ASERAN4 and NIE4”, Paper presented at the conference on International Financial Contagion, How it Spreads, How it Can be Stopped, February 2000, International Monetary Fund, Washington DC.
23. “Measuring the contagious effect of the Asian crisis on total production: A structural VAR approach”, Paper presented at the Far Eastern Meeting of the Econometric Society, July 1999, Singapore
24. "The contagious effect of the Asian crisis on total production". Paper presented at the Economics Executive Program (NUS), November 10, 1998, Hilton International, Singapore.
25. “Best linear unbiased interpolation of quarterly GDP: The case of Malaysia”, (with Lee C.), Paper presented at 4th Malaysian Econometric Conference, MIER, October 1996, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
26. “Exchange rate appreciation and export competitiveness: The case of Singapore”, (with Tan L.Y.), Paper presented at the International Conference on Management and Business, June 1996, Lahore University of Management Sciences, Pakistan.
27. “Exchange rate appreciation and export competitiveness”, (with Tan L.Y.), Paper presented at the Canadian Economics Association Conference, June 1995, University of Quebec, Montreal, Canada.
28. “Country presentation on Singapore’s economy”. Paper presented at the 7th Workshop on Asian Economic Outlook, October 1994, ADB Headquarters, Manila, Philippines.
29. “Estimating cointegrating vectors: A practitioner’s problem”. Paper presented at the 11th Symposium on Computational Statistics (COMPSTAT), August 1994, Vienna, Austria.
30. “Country presentation on Singapore’s economy”. Paper presented at the 6th Workshop on Asian Economic Outlook, October 1993, ADB Headquarters, Manila, Philippines.
31. “Forecasting performance of models based on different seasonal filters”. Paper presented at the Far Eastern Meeting of the Econometric Society, June 1993, Taiwan.
32. “A small-scale model to forecast GDP growth of Singapore”. Paper presented at the 10th Symposium on Computational Statistics (COMPSTAT), August 1992, Neuchatel, Switzerland.
33. “Deterministic seasonal models and spurious regressions”. Paper presented at Far Eastern Meeting of the Econometric Society, June 1991, Seoul National University, South Korea.
34. “Inappropriate use of seasonal dummies in regression”. Paper presented at the Canadian Economics Association Conference, June 1990, Victoria, Canada.