Publications

49 Articles, Book chapters,... (* peer-reviewed)

2024

* T. Spoorenberg, E. Ø. Carlsen, M. Flatø, M. Stonawski, and V. Skirbekk, "The global adolescent fertility decline is counteracted by increasing teen births in sub-Saharan Africa", Studies in Family Planning forthcoming.

Bassarsky, L., D. Gu, and T. Spoorenberg, "Demographic outlook for the small island developing States: Implications of population trends for building resilience and prosperity across SIDS", UN DESA Policy Brief No. 159.

2022

* Johnson, P., T. Spoorenberg, S. Hertog and P. Gerland, Method Protocol for the Evaluation of Census Population Data by Age and Sex. New York: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, UN DESA/POP/2022/TP/No.5.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Data collection for population policies", in J.A. Goldstone & J.F. May (ed.), International Handbook of Population Policies, Springer, Cham, pp. 367–382.

2020

Spoorenberg, T., Data and Methods for the Production of National Population Estimates: An Overview and Analysis of Available Metadata. New York: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, Technical Paper No. 2020/01.

* Lerch, M. and T. Spoorenberg, "Emergence of birth limitation as a new stage in the fertility transition in sub-Saharan Africa", Demographic Research 42(30): 827–858.

2019

* Spoorenberg, T., "Mortality, fertility, and population growth in historical Tibet", Population-E 74(4): 541–552.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Mortalité, fécondité et croissance démographique au Tibet avant 1950", Population-F 74(4): 587–598.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Forty years of fertility changes in the Sahel", Demographic Research 41(46): 1289–1314.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Sixty years of change in Tibetan fertility: An assessment", Population Studies 73(2): 277–285.

2018 

* Spoorenberg, T., "Fertility preferences in Central Asia", in S. Gietel-Basten, J. Casterline, M. Choe (ed.), Family Demography in Asia: A Comparative Analysis of Fertility Preferences, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, pp. 88‒108.

* Khaing Khaing Soe, Nyi Nyi and Spoorenberg, T., "Fertility preferences in Myanmar", in S. Gietel-Basten, J. Casterline, M. Choe (eds.), Family Demography in Asia: A Comparative Analysis of Fertility Preferences, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, pp. 209‒223.

* Spoorenberg, T. and H. Issaka Maga, "Fertility compression in Niger: A study of fertility development by parity (1977‒2011)", Demographic Research 39(24): 685‒700.

* Gu, D., P. Gerland, K. Andreev, N. Li, T. Spoorenberg, G. Heilig and F. Pelletier, "Change in old age mortality since 1950”, in Z. Zhao & A. Hayes (ed.) The Routledge Handbook of Asian Demography, London & New York, Routledge, pp. 190–208.

2017

* Spoorenberg, T., "The onset of fertility transition in Central Asia", Population-E 72(3): 473‒504.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Le début de la transition de la fécondité en Asie centrale", Population-F 72(3): 491‒524.

* Spoorenberg, T., "After fertility's nadir? Ethnic differentials in parity-specific behaviors in Kyrgyzstan", Journal of Biosocial Science 49(S1) (Low Fertility in Developing Countries: Causes and Implications): S62‒S73.

2016

* Dorjee, T. and T. Spoorenberg, "Fertility transition in Bhutan: An assessment", Population-E 71(4): 659‒672.

* Dorjee, T. and T. Spoorenberg, "Evaluation de la transition de la fécondité au Bhoutan", Population-F 71(4): 703‒716.

* Spoorenberg, T., "On the masculinization of population: The contribution of demographic development ‒ A look at sex ratios in Sweden over 250 years", Demographic Research 34(37): 1053‒1062.

2015

 Spoorenberg, T., "Premier recensement en Birmanie depuis plus de 30 ans : une révision drastique des chiffres de population officiels", Population & Sociétés No. 527 Nov. 2015.

 Spoorenberg, T., "Myanmar's first census in more than 30 years: A radical revision of the official population count", Population & Societies No. 527 Nov. 2015.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Reconstructing historical fertility change in Mongolia: Impressive fertility rise before continued fertility decline", Demographic Research 33(29): 841‒870.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Explaining recent fertility increase in Central Asia", Asian Population Studies 11(2): 115‒133.

* Skirbekk, V., M. Stonawski, S. Fukuda, T. Spoorenberg, C. Hackett, R. Muttarak, "Is Buddhism the low fertility religion of Asia?", Demographic Research 32(1): 1‒28.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Provisional results of the 2014 census of Myanmar: The surprise that wasn't", Asian Population Studies 11(1): 4‒6.

2014

* Spoorenberg, T., "Fertility levels and trends in North Korea", Population-E 69(3): 433‒445.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Niveaux et tendances de la fécondité en Corée du Nord", Population-F 69(3): 477‒489.

* Gerland, P., A. Raftery, H. Ševčíková, N. Li, D. Gu, T. Spoorenberg, L. Alkema, B.K. Fosdick, J. Chunn, N. Lalic, G. Bay, T. Buettner, G.K. Heilig, J. Wilmoth, “World population stabilization unlikely this century”, Science 346(6206): 234‒237.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Reconciling discrepancies between registration-based and survey-based fertility estimates in Mongolia", Population Studies 38(3): 375‒382.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Reverse survival method of fertility estimation: An evaluation", Demographic Research 31(9): 217‒246.

* Spoorenberg, T., “Fertility trends by religion in Mongolia”, in T. Johnson, B. Grim, V. Skirbekk & G. Zurlo (ed.), Yearbook of International Religious Demography, Brill, commissioned chapter.

2013

* Gu, D., P. Gerland, K. Andreev, N. Li, T. Spoorenberg and G. Heilig, “Old age mortality in Eastern and South-Eastern Asia”, Demographic Research 29(38): 999‒1038.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Demographic changes in Myanmar since 1983: An examination of official data", Population and Development Review 39(2): 309‒324.

* Spoorenberg, T., "An evaluation of the recent fertility changes in Afghanistan: A parity-specific analysis", Journal of Population Research 30(2): 133‒149.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Why fertility is higher in Reproductive Health Surveys?", Mongolian Population Journal, 22.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Fertility changes in Central Asia since 1980", Asian Population Studies 9(1): 50‒77.

2012

* Spoorenberg, T., "Proximate determinants of fertility in Mongolia: An update using the 2008 Reproductive Health Survey", Mongolian Population Journal, 21, pp. 59‒65. 

* Spoorenberg, T. and D. Schwekendiek, "Demographic changes in North Korea: 1993‒2008", Population and Development Review 38(1): 133‒158.

* Spoorenberg, T. and P. Dommaraju, "Regional fertility transition in India: An analysis using synthetic parity progression ratios", International Journal of Population Research, Vol. 2012 (2012), Article ID 358409, 20 pages.

* Mungunsarnai, G. and T. Spoorenberg, "Did the social and economic transition cause a health crisis in Mongolia? Evidence from age- and sex-specific mortality trends (1965-2009)", in J. Dierkes (ed.) Change in Democratic Mongolia, Leiden, Brill.

2011

* Spoorenberg, T. and F. Pelletier, "Under-five mortality estimates for Sudan and South Sudan", Sudanese Journal of Public Health, 6(4), pp. 135‒142. Access text here.

2010

* Spoorenberg, T., "Fertility transition in India between 1977 and 2004. Analysis using parity progression ratios", Population-E 65(2): 315‒332.

* Spoorenberg, T., "La transition de la fécondité en Inde entre 1977 et 2004. Analyse des probabilités d'agrandissement", Population-F 65(2): 341‒360.

2009

* Spoorenberg, T. and B. Enkhtsetseg, "Future low fertility prospects in Mongolia? An evaluation of the factors that support having a child", Journal of Population Research 26(3): 227‒247.

* Spoorenberg, T., "The impact of the political and economic transition on fertility and family formation in Mongolia: A synthetic parity progression ratios analysis", Asian Population Studies 5(2): 127‒151.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Changes in the proximate determinants of fertility decline in post-socialist Mongolia", Journal of Biosocial Science 41(5): 607‒624.

2008

* Spoorenberg, T., "The demographic window, development, and population policy implications in Mongolia", Asian Population Studies 4(2): 215‒232.

* Spoorenberg, T., "What can we learn from indirect estimations on mortality in Mongolia, 1969‒1989?", Demographic Research 18(10): 285‒310.

2007

* Spoorenberg, T., "Quality of age reporting: Extension and application of the modified Whipple's index", Population-E 62(4): 729‒742.

* Spoorenberg, T., "La qualité des déclarations par âge : extension et application de l'indice de Whipple modifié", Population-F 62(4): 847‒859.

* Spoorenberg, T., “The demographic memory of 20th century Mongolian history”, Mongolian Population Journal, 17, pp. 73‒84.

* Spoorenberg, T., "Age and sex composition of the population of Mongolia. An evaluation of population censuses of Mongolia, 1956-2000", Mongolian Population Journal, 16, pp. 118‒134.

2006

* Schumacher, R., T. Spoorenberg et Y. Forney, "Déstandardisation, différenciation régionale et changements générationnels. Départ du foyer parental et modes de vie en Suisse au XXe siècle", European Journal of Demography 22(2): 153‒176.

2005

* Spoorenberg, T., "30 years of Demography India. Content analysis of the back volumes", Demography India, 34(2), pp. 151‒165. 

* Spoorenberg, T., "Systèmes familiaux et reproduction en Asie : regard sur la Chine et le Japon préindustriels", Cahiers québécois de démographie 34(1): 77‒115.

2004

* Spoorenberg, T., "Malthus et l’Asie : relecture et mise en perspective du système démographique préindustriel japonais", Cahiers québécois de démographie 33(2): 309‒338.

Corporate Authorship

• United Nations (2024), Population Prospects of Countries in Special Situations: Tracking Demographic Change among the Least Developed Countries, Landlocked Developing Countries and Small Island Developing States. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

->> Case study of Niger reprinted in Documents in Population and Development Review under "Demographic Prospects of Niger through 2050: A UN Case Study".

• United Nations (2022), World Population Prospects 2022: Summary of Results. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, UN DESA/POP/2022/TR/NO. 3.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2022), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2022. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations (2021), Global Population Growth and Sustainable Development. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, UN DESA/POP/2021/TR/NO. 2.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2021), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2021. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2020), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2020. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations (2019), "Potential impact of later childbearing on future population", Population Facts No. 2019/5 December 2019. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

• United Nations (2019), World Population Prospects 2019: Methodology of the United Nations population estimates and projections. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/425.

• United Nations (2019), World Population Prospects 2019: Highlights. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/423.

• United Nations (2019), World Population Prospect 2019: Release Note about Major Differences in Total Population Estimates for mid-2019 between 2017 and 2019 Revisions. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

• United Nations (2019), World Population Prospects 2019: Summary of Methodological Updates Introduced in the 2019 Revision. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2019), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2019. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations (2018), "The speed of urbanization around the world", Population Facts No. 2018/1 December 2018. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

• United Nations (2018), The World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision, Methodology. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ESA/P/WP/252.

• United Nations (2018), The World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision, Key Facts. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2018), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2018. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations (2017), "The impact of population momentum on future population growth", Population Facts No. 2017/4 October 2017. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

• United Nations (2017), "The end of high fertility is near", Population Facts No. 2017/3 October 2017. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

• United Nations (2017), World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ESA/P/WP/248.

• United Nations (2017), World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/399.

• United Nations (2017), World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, Volume 2: Demographic Profiles. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/400.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2017), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2017. New York: UNICEF.

• * United Nations (2015), The World's Women 2015: Trends and Statistics. New York: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Statistics Division (author of Chapter 1. Population and Families, pp. 1-25). available online: http://unstats.un.org/unsd/gender/worldswomen.html

• United Nations (2015), World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ESA/P/WP.241.

• United Nations (2015), World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/379.

• United Nations (2015), World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision, Volume 2: Demographic Profiles. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/380.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2015), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2015. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations (2013), "Explaining differences in the projected populations between the 2012 and 2010 Revisions of World Population Prospects: The role of fertility in Africa", Population Facts No. 2013/10 December 2013. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. 

• United Nations (2013), World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ESA/P/WP.227.

• United Nations (2013), World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/336.

• United Nations (2013), World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Volume 2: Demographic Profiles. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/345.

• United Nations (2013), World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision, Special Aggregates, CD-ROM Edition. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2013), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2013. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations (2012), World Urbanization Prospects: The 2011 Revision: Highlights. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ESA/P/WP/224. 

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2012), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2012. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations (2011), World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ESA/P/WP.220.

• United Nations (2011), World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume 1: Comprehensive Tables. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/313.

• United Nations (2011), World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Volume 2: Demographic Profiles. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ST/ESA/SER.A/317.

• United Nations (2011), World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision, Special Aggregates, CD-ROM Edition. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2011), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2011. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations (2010), World Urbanization Prospects: The 2009 Revision, Highlights. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ESA/P/WP/215.

• United Nations (2010), World Urbanization Prospects: The 2009 Revision, CD-ROM Edition - Data in digital form, New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, POP/DB/WUP/Rev.2009.

• United Nations Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (UN IGME) (2010), Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report 2010. New York: UNICEF.

• United Nations (2009), World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, Highlights. New York: Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, ESA/P/WP.210. 

• * People’s Representative Khural (Assembly), Office of the Governor, and Foundation for research and development, Umnugovi Aimag (2008), Umnugovi Aimag Social, Economic, and Environment Baseline Study-2008. Dalanzadgad: Government of Umnugovi (author of Section 4.2.1 Population, pp. 193-233 and (with B. Naranchimeg) Section 4.2.2 Education, pp. 234-282).

Book review

• Spoorenberg, T. (2006), Note de lecture de "W.G. Axinn & L.D. Pearce, 2006. Mixed Method Data Collection Strategies. Cambridge University Press, coll. 'New Perspectives on Anthropological and Social Demography'.", Cahiers québécois de démographie, 35(1), pp. 169-174.

Conference Proceedings

• T. Spoorenberg and M. Lerch (2021), "Future levels of fertility in sub-Saharan Africa: Parity-based projections", in XXIX IUSSP International Population Conference, Hyderabad, India, 5‒10 Dec. (virtual).

• Lerch, M. and T. Spoorenberg (2017), "Fertility transition in sub-Saharan Africa: A view using parity progression ratios", in XXVIII IUSSP International Population Conference, Cape Town, 29 Oct.‒4 Nov., 19 p.

• Schumacher, R. and T. Spoorenberg (2013), "Structural changes and demographic responses: Marriage and fertility by rank in Central Asia", in D. Tabutin et B. Masquelier (dir.) Ralentissements et ruptures dans les transitions démographiques, Actes de la Chaire Quételet 2010, Louvain-la-Neuve, Presses Universitaires de Louvain, pp. 173–194.

• Spoorenberg, T. (2013), "Fertility increase in Central Asia: Why, how?", in XXVII IUSSP International Population Conference, Busan, 26‒31 Aug., 14 p.

• Spoorenberg, T. (2010), "Une île au milieu d'un océan... L' "exception mongole" en Asie : facteurs institutionnels/culturels et condition féminine", dans AIDELF, Démographie et cultures - Actes du colloque de Québec (2008), pp. 357-370. http://www.aidelf.org/images/stories/S6-4.pdf

• Spoorenberg, T. (2009), "Développement futur de la fécondité en Mongolie", in XXVI IUSSP International Population Conference, Marrakech, 27 Sept.‒2 Oct., 18 p.

• Spoorenberg, T. (2005), "La nuptialité en Inde : tendances spatiales, déterminants et implications", in XXV IUSSP International Population Conference, Tours, 18‒23 July, 30 p.

Working papers

• Spoorenberg, T. (2006), "From socialist to post-socialist Mongolia: National and regional perspectives on mortality", in International Seminar on Mortality in Countries of the former USSR. Fifteen Years after the Break-up: Change or Continuity?, organized by CDHE (Moscow), IDSS (Kiev), INED (Paris), MPIDR (Rostock) and IUSSP, Kiev, October 12-14, working paper, vol. 1, pp. 251-271.