Professor Tara M. Sinclair
My research interests focus on modeling, explaining, and forecasting macroeconomic and particularly labor market fluctuations and trends for different countries. I also evaluate forecasts, particularly with respect to their role in monetary policy and decision-making. I am co-director of the H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting and I teach undergraduate and graduate courses in macroeconomics and econometrics. I also serve as a Special Government Employee (SGE) member of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Technical Advisory Committee (BLSTAC)
As Senior Fellow at the Indeed Hiring Lab, the research arm of the world's #1 job site, I am developing original research using Indeed data on jobs and labor.
Expertise for Media
Recessions (prediction, prevention, preparation), labor markets (U.S., local, and international), macroeconomic data (e.g.: GDP, inflation, unemployment rate, ...), Big Data, Federal Reserve policy, government debt and deficit, Treasury policy, global macroeconomic policy and conditions.
Ph.D., Economics, Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri May 2005
A.M., Economics, Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri 2001
B.A., Foreign Languages, Wheaton College, Wheaton, Illinois 1996
Essays on Macroeconomics and the Labor Market
Committee: James Morley (chair), Gaetano Antinolfi, Steven Fazzari,
Edward Greenberg, Siddhartha Chib, and Angela Davis
Fields of Specialization:
Macroeconomics, Labor Economics, Time Series Econometrics
See my research page for more information on my publications and research papers.
In addition to my position in the GW economics department I am also:
Co-director of the H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting at George Washington University.
A Regulatory Studies Center Scholar.
A GW-CIBER Scholar.
Outside GW, I am:
A Special Government Employee (SGE) member of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Technical Advisory Committee (BLSTAC)
Senior fellow at the Hiring Lab at Indeed, the #1 job site worldwide. I am working with their rich labor market data and connecting it to economic trends in the US and around the world. You can read my recent posts here, and my older blog posts here.
Research Professor at the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
A research associate at the Center for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA). I am part of the Model Uncertainty and Macro-Econometrics Program as well as the COVID-19 and the Macroeconomy Program. You can view my CAMA profile here.
A member of the Federal Forecasters Consortium Governing Board.