Professor Tara M. Sinclair

Brief Biography

My research interests focus on modeling, explaining, and forecasting macroeconomic and particularly labor market fluctuations and trends for different countries. I also evaluate forecasts, particularly with respect to their role in monetary policy and decision-making. I am co-director of the H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting and I teach undergraduate and graduate courses in macroeconomics and econometrics. I also serve as a Special Government Employee (SGE) member of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Technical Advisory Committee (BLSTAC)

As Senior Fellow at the Indeed Hiring Lab, the research arm of the world's #1 job site, I am developing original research using Indeed data on jobs and labor.

Expertise for Media

Recessions (prediction, prevention, preparation), labor markets (U.S., local, and international), macroeconomic data (e.g.: GDP, inflation, unemployment rate, ...), Big Data, Federal Reserve policy, government debt and deficit, Treasury policy, global macroeconomic policy and conditions.


Ph.D., Economics, Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri May 2005

A.M., Economics, Washington University, St. Louis, Missouri 2001

B.A., Foreign Languages, Wheaton College, Wheaton, Illinois 1996


Essays on Macroeconomics and the Labor Market

Committee: James Morley (chair), Gaetano Antinolfi, Steven Fazzari,

Edward Greenberg, Siddhartha Chib, and Angela Davis

Fields of Specialization:

Macroeconomics, Labor Economics, Time Series Econometrics

See my research page for more information on my publications and research papers.


In addition to my position in the GW economics department I am also:

Outside GW, I am: