Sulian THUAL - Fudan University

Assistant Professor (Chinese Title: Young Researcher)

Institute of Atmospheric Sciences/Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences

Fudan University, Shanghai

sulian dot thual at gmail dot com

Research Interests:

Tropical Variability, Madden-Julian Oscillation, El Niño Southern Oscillation

Ocean-Atmosphere Dynamics, Stochastic Dynamical and Statistical Models

Fluids and Geophysical Flows, Multiscale problems, Data Assimilation

You can download a summary of my researches (5 pages) here: link

as well as a complete CV here: link

Google Scholar Profile: link

Education:

  • 2013-2018: Postdoctoral Associate, Courant Insitute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University, New York

With Advisor Andrew Majda

  • 2009-2012: Ph.D., LEGOS, Toulouse, France

With Advisors B. Dewitte and N. Ayoub,

thesis entitled “Simple Models for Understanding ENSO Modulation and Mechanisms”. link

  • 2009: M.S., Météo-France/UPS/ENSEEIHT, Toulouse, France

Publications:

  1. Thual, S., A. J. Majda, and N. Chen, 2019: Statistical occurrence and mechanisms of the 2014–2016 delayed super El Niño captured by a simple dynamical model, Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4265-5, link
  2. Thual, S., Majda, A.J. and Chen, N., 2018: A Tropical Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO, El Niño and Dynamic Walker Circulation: A Simplified GCM. J. Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0263.1, link
  3. Thual, S., and Mosquera, K., 2018: Estudio teórico sobre la relación entre El Niño y la Oscilación Madden-Julian. Boletín Técnico “Generación de información y monitoreo del Fenómeno El Niño” del IGP, 5 (10),5-9, link
  4. Morel, Y., Thual, S., Delcroix, T. and Hall, N., 2018: A theoretical model to analyze the Central to Eastern Pacific El Nino continuum, Ocean Modelling, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.07.006, link
  5. N. Chen, A. J. Majda, and S. Thual, 2017: Observations and Mechanisms of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Niño Diversity, J. Climate, 31, 449–471, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0880.1, link
  6. S. Thual, A. J. Majda, and N.Chen, 2017: Seasonal Synchronization of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Niño Diversity, J.Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0174.1, link
  7. Thual, S., A. J. Majda, N. Chen and S. N. Stechmann, 2016: A Simple Stochastic Model for El Niño with Westerly Wind Bursts, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 113, 10245-10250, doi:10.1073/pnas.1612002113, link.
  8. Stachnik, J. P., D. E. Waliser, A. J. Majda, S. N. Stechmann, and S. Thual, 2015: Evaluating MJO initiation and decay in the skeleton model using an RMM-like index. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 120, 486-508, doi:10.1002/2015JD023916, link
  9. Thual, S., and A. J. Majda, 2015: A suite of skeleton models for the MJO with refined vertical structure, Mathematics of Climate and Weather Forecasting, 1, 70-95, doi: 10.1515/mcwf-2015-0004, link
  10. Thual, S., and A. J. Majda, 2015: A skeleton model for the MJO with refined vertical structure, Clim. Dyn, DOI 10.1007/s00382-015-2731-x, link talk
  11. Thual, S., N. Ayoub, and B. Dewitte, 2015: Impact of Sea Level Assimilation on ENSO Initialization and Prediction: the Role of the Sea Level Zonal Tilt and Zonal Mean, Mon. Weather Rev., 143, 1895-1906, link
  12. Thual, S., A. J. Majda, and S. N. Stechmann, 2014: Asymmetric Intraseasonal events in the stochastic skeleton MJO model with seasonal cycle, Clim. Dyn, DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2256-8, link
  13. Thual, S., A. J. Majda, and S. N. Stechmann, 2014: A Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO, J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 697-715. link talk
  14. Thual, S., B. Dewitte, N. Ayoub, and O. Thual, 2013: An Asymptotic Expansion for the Recharge-Discharge Model of ENSO, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 43, 1407–1416. link
  15. Thual, S., B. Dewitte, S.-I. An, S. Illig, and N. Ayoub, 2013: Influence of Recent Stratification Changes on ENSO stability in a Conceptual Model of the Equatorial Pacific, J. Climate, 26, 4790–4802. link
  16. Thual, S., O. Thual, and B. Dewitte, 2012: Absolute or Convective instability in the equatorial Pacific and implications for ENSO, Q.J.R.Meteorol.Soc, 138: 000–000. DOI:10.1002/qj.1988. link
  17. Dewitte, B., S.-W. Yeh, and S. Thual, 2012: Reinterpreting the thermocline feedback in the western-central equatorial Pacific and its relationship with the ENSO modulation, Clim. Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1504-z. link
  18. Thual S., B. Dewitte, S.-I. An and N. Ayoub, 2011: Sensitivity of ENSO to stratification in a recharge-discharge conceptual model. J. Climate, 4, 4331-4348. link
  19. Dewitte, B., J. Choi, S.-I. An, and S. Thual, 2011: Vertical structure variability and equatorial waves during central Pacific and eastern Pacific El Niños in a coupled general circulation model, Clim. Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1215-x. link
  20. Dewitte B., S. Thual, S.-W. Yeh, S.-I. An, B.-K. Moon and B. Giese, 2009: Low frequency variability of temperature in the vicinity of the equatorial thermocline in SODA: Role of equatorial wave dynamics and ENSO asymmetry. J. Climate, 22, 5783-5795. link

Referenced Book Chapters:

  1. Chen, N., Thual, S., and Stuecker, M. F., 2019: El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Theory. Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences, Elsevier, 2019. link
  2. Chen, N., Thual, S., and Hu, S., 2019: El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Observation. Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences, Elsevier, 2019. link
  3. Majda, A.J, Stechmann, S.N., Chen, S., Ogrosky, R., Thual, S., 2019: A Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO. In "Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and the Stochastic Skeleton Method", Mathematics of Planet Earth, Springer. link
  4. Majda, A.J, Stechmann, S.N., Chen, S., Ogrosky, R., Thual, S., 2019: Refined Vertical Structure in the Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO. In "Tropical Intraseasonal Variability and the Stochastic Skeleton Method", Mathematics of Planet Earth, Springer. link