Research

My research is primarily focused on Trend Inflation; Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC); Stickiness on survey-based forecasts; Monetary policy; Unemployment and Labor; Effects of the Zero Lower Bound on interest rates; Bayesian inference; quantitative methods; Monte Carlo inference under mixed-frequency data sets; DSGE and semi-structural macroeconomic models.

Following is a list of selected papers. For a complete list, visit my Ideas/Repec Homepage

Published Papers

Work in Progress

  • “Can we unstick SPF forecast stickiness?” with Carlos V. Carvalho.

  • ”Beating the 'pros' with a semi-structural model of their own inflation forecasts,” with Waldyr D. Areosa and Carlos V. Carvalho, presented at the 2020 World Congress of the Econometric Society, held online, (Bocconi University , Milan, Italy) and the 2018 NBER-NSF Time Series Conference on Sep 07-08, 2018 (University of California, San Diego, CA USA).

  • "Precautionary Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound," presented at the 2019 North American ​Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society (University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA), and the 8th annual BIS CCA research conference, held at the Federal Reserve Board on May 25-26, 2017 (Washington, DC USA).

Selected Working Papers

Grants

  • Fulbright Foreign Student Program for PhD study in International Economics at the University of

    • California, Santa Cruz, Sept. 2007 – Sept. 2011.

Awards