Published research
Selected recent publications
Debt De-Risking \w J Cutura & G Parise, Management Science (forthcoming) [pdf]
Monetary Policy Expectation Errors \w M Schmeling & S Steffensen,
Journal of Financial Economics, Vol 146, 2022, p. 841-858 [pdf]Covered Interest Parity Arbitrage \w D Rime & O Syrstad,
Review of Financial Studies, Vol 35, 2022, [pdf]The FOMC Risk Shift \w T Kroencke & M Schmeling,
Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol 120, May 2021, p 21-39, [pdf]
Full set of peer-reviewed publications
Debt De-Risking \w J Cutura & G Parise, Management Science (forthcoming) [pdf]
Monetary Policy Expectation Errors \w M Schmeling & S Steffensen,
Journal of Financial Economics, Vol 146, 2022, p. 841-858 [pdf]Covered Interest Parity Arbitrage \w D Rime & O Syrstad,
Review of Financial Studies, Vol 35, 2022, [pdf]Peso problems in the estimation of the C-CAPM \w J C Parra-Alvarez & O Posch,
Quantitative Economics (forthcoming) [pdf]Monetary policy's rising FX impact in the era of ultra-low rates \w M Ferrari & J Kearns,
Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol 129, 2021, p 106-142, [pdf]The FOMC risk shift \w T Kroencke & M Schmeling,
Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol 120, 2021, p 21-39, [pdf]The microstructure of central bank bond purchases \w K Schlepper, H Hofer and R Riordan,
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2020, Vol 55, p 193 - 221 [pdf]Non-monetary news in central bank communication \w A Cieslak,
Journal of International Economics, 2019, Vol 118, p 293-315, [pdf]Common risk factors in international stock markets \w A Wagner,P Schmidt, U v Arx, & A Ziegler,
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Vol 33, p 213-241, September 2019 [pdf]Currency value \w L Menkhoff, L Sarno and M Schmeling,
Review of Financial Studies, 2017, Vol 30, p 416-441 [pdf]When the walk is not random: commodity prices and exchange rates \w E Kohlscheen and F Avalos,
International Journal of Central Banking, 2017, Vol. 13, No. 2, 121-158 [pdf]Information flows in foreign exchange markets: dissecting customer currency trades \w L Menkhoff, L Sarno and M Schmeling, Journal of Finance, 2016, Vol. 71, 601-634 [pdf]
The response of tail risk perceptions to unconventional monetary policy \w M Hattori and V Sushko,
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2016, Vol 8, p 111-136 [pdf]Dividend predictability around the world \w J Rangvid and M Schmeling,
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2014, Vol 49, 1255-1277 [pdf]International diversification benefits with FX investment styles \w T Kroencke and F Schindler,
Review of Finance, 2014, Vol 18(5), 1847-1883 [paper] [wp version] [online appendix]Macro expectations, aggregate uncertainty, and expected term premia \w C Dick and M Schmeling,
European Economic Review, 2013, Vol. 58, 58–80 [paper]What do professional stock market forecasters' expectations tell us about herding, information extraction, and beauty contests? \w J Rangvid and M Schmeling, Journal of Empirical Finance, 2013, Vol. 20, 109-129 [paper]
Currency momentum strategies \w L Menkhoff, L Sarno and M Schmeling,
Journal of Financial Economics, 2012, Vol.106, 660-684 [paper] [wp version]A comprehensive look at financial volatility prediction by economic variables \w C Christiansen and M Schmeling,
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2012, Vol.27, 956-977 [paper] [wp version] [data]Carry trades and global foreign exchange volatility \w L Menkhoff, L Sarno and M Schmeling,
Journal of Finance, 2012, Vol. 67, 681-718 [paper] [wp version]Downside risk properties of foreign exchange and equity investment strategies \w J Gyntelberg,
Journal of Investment Strategies, 2012, Vol. 1(2), 3-21Expected inflation, expected stock returns, and money illusion: what can we learn from survey expectations? \w M Schmeling, European Economic Review, 2011, Vol. 55 , 702-719 [wp version]
International stock return predictability under model uncertainty, Journal of International Money and Finance, 2010, Vol. 29, 1256-1282 [wp version]
A reappraisal of the leading indicator properties of the yield curve under structural instability \w Q Wang, International Journal of Forecasting, 2010, Vol. 26, 836-857 [wp version]
Asset pricing with a reference level of consumption: new evidence from the cross-section of stock returns \w J Grammig, Review of Financial Economics, 2009, Vol 18(3), 113-123
Long-horizon consumption risk and the cross-section of returns: new tests and international evidence \w J Grammig and M Schuppli, European Journal of Finance, 2009, Vol 15, 511-532 [wp version]
Cross-sectional tests of conditional asset pricing models: evidence from the German stock market \w M Schröder and R Stehle, European Financial Management, 2007, Vol 13, 880-907