Why is Trade Not Free? A Revealed Preference Approach (July 2025; Online Appendix; Estimated welfare weights; BFI Brief; VoxEu)
Joint with John Sturm Becko, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson
Revision requested by Econometrica
A World Trading System For Whom? Evidence from Global Tariffs (December 2025)
Joint with John Sturm Becko, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson
Revision requested by The Quarterly Journal of Economics
Trade Shocks in Distorted Economies: Evidence from Firm-level Import Data (June 2025)
Joint with Ana Fernandes, Chang-Tai Hsieh and Jose Quintero
Worker Heterogeneity, Wage Inequality, and International Trade: Theory and Evidence from Brazil (November 2025)
From Heterogeneous Firms to Heterogeneous Trade Elasticities: The Aggregate Implications of Firm Export Decisions (February 2026)
Joint with Costas Arkolakis and Sharat Ganapati
Accepted at the Journal of Political Economy
General Equilibrium Effects in Space: Theory and Measurement (January 2026)
Joint with Costas Arkolakis and Federico Esposito
Accepted at the American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Putting Quantitative Models to the Test: An Application to the US-China Trade War (October 2024; Practitioner Guide; Implementation Codes)
Joint with Arnaud Costinot and Dave Donaldson
The Quarterly Journal of Economics 140.2 (2025): 1471-1524.
Fast and Slow Technological Transitions (CBR)
Joint with Martin Beraja and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar
Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, 2.2, 2024 (Lead Article)
Imports, Exports, and Earnings Inequality: Measures of Exposure and Estimates of Incidence (Online Appendix; VoxDev; BFI Brief)
Joint with Paul Carrillo, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson and Dina Pomeranz
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 137(3): 1553-1614, 2022
Shift-Share Designs: Theory and Inference (Online Appendix; Stata Code; Matlab Code; R Code)
Joint with Michal Kolesàr and Eduardo Morales
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 134(4): 1949-2010, 2019
Nonparametric Counterfactual Predictions in Neoclassical Models of International Trade
Joint with Arnaud Costinot and Dave Donaldson
American Economic Review, 107(3): 633-89, 2017 (Lead Article)