Research

Working Papers


General Equilibrium Effects in Space: Theory and Measurement (February 2025)

Joint with Costas Arkolakis and Federico Esposito

Revision resubmitted to the AEJ Macro


From Heterogeneous Firms to Heterogeneous Trade Elasticities: The Aggregate Implications of Firm Export Decisions (December 2024)

Joint with Costas Arkolakis and Sharat Ganapati


A World Trading System For Whom? Evidence from Global Tariffs (July 2024)

Joint with John Sturm Becko, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson


Why is Trade Not Free? A Revealed Preference Approach (October 2023; Online Appendix; BFI Brief; VoxEu)

Joint with John Sturm Becko, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson


Worker Heterogeneity, Wage Inequality, and International Trade: Theory and Evidence from Brazil (November 2016)



Refereed Publications


Putting Quantitative Models to the Test: An Application to the US-China Trade War (October 2024; Practitioner GuideImplementation Codes)

Joint with Arnaud Costinot and Dave Donaldson

Forthcoming in The Quarterly Journal of Economics


Fast and Slow Technological Transitions (CBR)

Joint with Martin Beraja and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, 2.2, 2024 (Lead Article)


Imports, Exports, and Earnings Inequality: Measures of Exposure and Estimates of Incidence  (Online Appendix; VoxDev; BFI Brief)

Joint with Paul Carrillo, Arnaud Costinot, Dave Donaldson and Dina Pomeranz

The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 137(3): 1553-1614, 2022


Shift-Share Designs: Theory and Inference  (Online Appendix; Stata Code; Matlab Code; R Code)

Joint with Michal Kolesàr and Eduardo Morales

The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 134(4): 1949-2010, 2019


Nonparametric Counterfactual Predictions in Neoclassical Models of International Trade 

Joint with Arnaud Costinot and Dave Donaldson

American Economic Review, 107(3): 633-89, 2017 (Lead Article)