Publications
Global Imbalances, Tariffs and Industrial Policy
with Pierre-Oliver Gourinchas, Gene Kindberg-Hanlon, Manasa Patnam and Michele Ruta.
Journal of Economic Perspectives (2026), 40 (3): 145-70.
Background paper for the IMF Policy Paper "Understanding Global Imbalances".
WP version: IMF Working Paper 67/2026.
VoxEU column: Industrial policy, tariffs, and the return of global imbalances. May 27, 2026.
Trade Policy and Jobs in Vietnam: The Unintended Consequences of the US-China Tariffs
with Sanchari Roy, Anri Sakakibara and Pierre-Louis Vezina.
The World Bank Economic Review (2026).
WP version: IMF Working Paper 263/2024.
Summaries: King's College Blog, Devdiscourse.
Trade Partners' Responses to US Tariffs
with Michele Ruta.
The IMF Economic Review (2026).
WP version: IMF Working Paper 147/2025.
VoxEU column: US tariffs may deepen integration, elsewhere.
Sweet Child of Mine: Parental Income, Child Health and Inequality
with Nicolas Berman and Roberta Ziparo.
The Economic Journal (2025), 135 (672): 2455–2482.
WP version: AMSE working paper (2020).
with Anne-Celia Disdier and Fabrice Etile.
BMJ Global Health (2023).
Summaries: "Can we still trust our food?", Dialogues Economiques.
Globalization, fertility and marital behavior in a lowest low fertility setting
with Osea Giuntella and Luca Stella.
Demography (2022), 59 (6): 2135–2159.
VoxEU column: Trade, family formation, and fertility in low-fertility settings. July 6, 2022.
Trade barriers in government procurement
with Alen Mulabdic.
European Economic Review (2022). 148, 104204.
WP version: World Bank Policy Research WP 9602 (2021).
Weight gains from trade in foods: Evidence from Mexico
with Osea Giuntella and Matthias Rieger.
Journal of International Economics (2020), 122, 103277.
WP versions: IZA DP 12677; NBER WP 24942.
Summaries: VoxEU column (Feb. 2, 2018), Pro-Market blog (Nov. 15, 2018), and "Has the United States Exported its Obesity Rate to Mexico" Dialogues Economiques (and interview).
Media coverage: Liberation (in French; Apr. 22, 2018); Challenges (in French; March 15, 2018); Bloomberg (Feb. 21, 2018).
Wage inequality and skill supplies in a globalised world
with Adrian Wood.
Journal of Comparative Economics (2020), 48(3): 529-547. Online Appendix.
WP versions: AMSE Working Paper 2016-14. Previously circulated as "Wages and endowments in a globalised world", Working Paper 2015-W11, Economics Group Working Paper Series, Nuffield College.
with Pierre-Louis Vézina.
Review of World Economics (2017), 153(2): 233 - 248.
WP version: AMSE Working Paper 2016-38.
Summaries: Dialogues Economiques.
Heckscher-Ohlin: Evidence from virtual trade in value added
with Tadashi Ito and Pierre-Louis Vézina.
Review of International Economics (2017), 25(3): 427 - 446.
WP version: IDE Discussion Paper n. 549 (2015).
Political Stability and Trade Agreements: Evidence for 'endgame FTAs'
European Journal of Political Economy (2016), 45: 133 - 148. Online Appendix.
Quota-hopping in-bond diversion
with Pierre-Louis Vézina.
Economic Inquiry (2015), 53(1): 34 - 48.
WP version: WPS/201-664 (July 2013), Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford.
The rise and fall of (Chinese) African apparel exports
with Pierre-Louis Vézina and Zheng Wang.
Journal of Development Economics (2013), 105: 152 - 163.
WP version: CSAE working paper (2012-12).
Summaries: VoxEU column, Oct. 14, 2012; CSAE blog; Trade Diversion.
Media coverage: Financial Times (with a reply), Daily Maverick (South Africa).
Chinese networks and tariff evasion
with Pierre-Louis Vézina.
World Economy (2012), 35(12): 1772 - 1794. Supplementary material.
WP version: HEID working paper.
VoxEU column, Nov. 24, 2010.
Contributions to edited volumes and non-refereed articles
Policies to facilitate adjustment to globalisation
with Prachi Mishra, Michele Ruta, Petia Topalova and Robert Zymek, in “The State of Globalisation”, edited by R. Baldwin and M. Ruta (2025). VoxEU e-book, Centre for Economic Policy Research Press.
Foresee the unseen: Evaluating the impact of artificial intelligence on international trade
with Adam Jakubik and Alisha Saini.
Journal of Policy Modeling (2025), 47(4): 842-861.
Trade barriers in government procurement
with Alen Mulabdic, in “The economics of deep trade agreements”, edited by A. Fernandes, N. Rocha, and M. Ruta (2021). VoxEU e-book, Centre for Economic Policy Research Press.