Working Papers
The Central Bank Crystal Ball: Temporal Information in Monetary Policy Communication (with David Byrne, Michael McMahon, and Conor Parle)
[Central Bank of Ireland RTP No. 1/2023] [CEPR Discussion Paper 17930]
Measuring the Temporal Dimension of Text: An Application to Policymaker Speeches (with David Byrne, Michael McMahon, and Conor Parle)
[Central Bank of Ireland RTP No. 2/2023] [CEPR Discussion Paper 17931]
Monetary Communication Shocks and the Macroeconomy (with Benedikt Kolb)
(Under Revision)
[Latest Version] [Online Appendix], other versions: [Bundesbank DP No. 46/2018] [Central Bank of Ireland RTP No. 15/2018], media: [centralbanking.com]
Work in Progress:
When is Monetary Policy More Powerful? (with Dilan Aydin Yakut and David Byrne)
The Sources of European Misallocation (with Stephen Byrne)
Publications
The Economic Impact of Yield Curve Compression: Evidence from Euro Area Forward Guidance and Unconventional Monetary Policy
European Economic Review, May 2024, No. 104716
[Final Version] [Technical Appendix], other versions: [Central Bank of Ireland RTP No.1/2021], [Central Bank of Ireland Economic Letter, Vol. 2019, No. 13]
Policy Contributions
The Central Bank Crystal Ball: Temporal Information in Monetary Policy Communication (with David Byrne, Michael McMahon, and Conor Parle)
Measuring the Temporal Dimension of Text: An Application to Policymaker Speeches (with David Byrne, Michael McMahon, and Conor Parle)
SUREF Policy Brief, No. 599, 25 May 2023
Predicting Recessions in the Euro Area: A Factor Approach (with Conor Parle)
Central Bank of Ireland Economic Letter, Vol. 2019, No. 2
The Effects of ECB Policy Announcements on Sovereign Yields: A Return to Normal Transmission?
Central Bank of Ireland Economic Letter, Vol. 2018, No. 4
My thesis can be found here.