Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people of low ability have illusory superiority and mistakenly assess their cognitive ability as greater than it is. The cognitive bias of illusory superiority comes from the inability of low-ability people to recognize their lack of ability.
overconfidence has been defined in three distinct ways:
overestimation of one's actual performance;
overplacement of one's performance relative to others; and
overprecision in expressing unwarranted certainty in the accuracy of one's beliefs
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Eric C. Gaze: Debunking the Dunning-Kruger effect – the least skilled people know how much they don’t know, but everyone thinks they are better than average, the Conversation, 2023-05-08
Book Excerpt: Why Do We Insist on Lying to Ourselves?, Undark, 2023-05-26
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