"Why Have Inflation Expectations Surged Recently? A Historical Perspective" (October 2025)
with Michael Wicklein
Current Policy Perspectives (25-14), Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
"Who Will Pay for Tariffs? Businesses’ Expectations about Costs and Prices" (September 2025)
with Alexander Dietrich, John Leer, Xia Liu, Raphael Schoenle, Jenny Tang and Egon Zakrajšek
Current Policy Perspectives (25-13), Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
"Effects of Tariff Uncertainty on the Outlook of Small and Medium-sized Businesses" (September 2025)
with Alexander Dietrich, Sophie Handley, John Leer, Raphael Schoenle, Jenny Tang and Egon Zakrajšek
Current Policy Perspectives (25-12), Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
"Small and Medium-sized Businesses' Expectations Concerning Tariffs, Costs, and Prices" (April 2025)
with Alexander Dietrich, John Leer, Raphael Schoenle, Jenny Tang and Egon Zakrajšek
Current Policy Perspectives (25-7), Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
"Is Post-pandemic Wage Growth Fueling Inflation?" (January 2024)
with Falk Bräuning, José Fillat and Gustavo Joaquim
Current Policy Perspectives (24-1), Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
"How Households' Inflation Expectations Matter" (August 2020)
with Erwan Gautier and Eric Mengus
VoxEU, CEPR
"To Adjust or Not to Adjust: The Optimal Inflation Target in the Face of a Lower R-star" (October 2019)
with Jordi Galí, Hervé Le Bihan and Julien Matheron
VoxEU, CEPR
"What Would Be Wrong With Lowering the Inflation Target" (December 2017)
with Hervé Le Bihan and Julien Matheron, 2017.
Eco Notepad (42), Banque de France.
"The Heterogeneous Interpretation of Forward Guidance" (Winter 2016)
Research Bulletin Eco Notepad (23, pp.9-13), ECB.
"Learning from Disagreement: Evidence from Forecasters" (December 2014)
with Richard Crump, Stefano Eusepi and Emanuel Moench
VoxEU, CEPR