Publications

Congreve, C. R., M. E. Patzkowsky, & P. J. Wagner. 2021. An Early Burst in brachiopod evolution corresponding with significant climatic shifts during the Great Ordovician Biodiversification Event. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 477:20211450. doi:10.1098/rspb.2021.1450.

Wright, A.M., P.J. Wagner, & D.F. Wright. 2021. Testing character-evolution models in phylogenetic paleobiology: a case study with Cambrian echinoderms. Elements in Paleobiology 2:1-42. doi:10.1017/9781009049016.

Jukar, A.M., S.K. Lyons, P.J. Wagner, & M.D. Uhen. 2020. Late Quaternary extinctions in the Indian Subcontinent. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 562:110137. doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2020.110137.

Wagner, P. J. 2019. On the probabilities of branch durations and stratigraphic gaps in phylogenies of fossil taxa when rates of diversification and sampling vary over time. Paleobiology 28:30-55. doi:10.1017/pab.2018.35

Wagner, P. J. 2018. Early bursts of disparity and the reorganization of character integration. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 285:20181604. doi:10.1098/rspb.2018.1604

Darroch, S. A. F., M. Laflamme, and P. J. Wagner. 2018. High ecological complexity in benthic Ediacaran communities. Nature Ecology & Evolution 2:1541–1547. doi:10.1038/s41559-0180663-7

Wagner, P. J., R. E. Plotnick, and S. K. Lyons. 2018. Evidence for trait–based dominance in occupancy among fossil taxa and the decoupling of macroecological and macroevolutionary success. The American Naturalist 192:E120 - E138. doi:10.1086/697642

Plotnick, R. E., and P. J. Wagner. 2018. The greatest hits of all time: the histories of dominant genera in the fossil record. Paleobiology 44:368-384. doi:10.1017/pab.2018.15

Simpson, A. G., P. J. Wagner, S. L. Wing, and C. B. Fenster. 2018. Binary-state speciation and extinction method is conditionally robust to realistic violations of its assumptions. BMC Evolutionary Biology 18:69. doi:10.1186/s12862-018-1174-5

Wagner, P. J., & G. F. Estabrook. 2015. The implications of stratigraphic compatibility for character integration among fossil taxa. Systematic Biology 64:838 - 852.

Smith, F. A., J. I. Hammond, M. A. Balk, S. M. Elliott, S. K. Lyons, M. I. Pardi, C. P. Tomé, P. J. Wagner & M. L. Westover. 2015. Exploring the influence of ancient and historic megaherbivore extirpations on the global methane budget. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112:201502547.

Smith, F. A., S. K. Lyons, P. J. Wagner & S. M. Elliott. 2015. The importance of considering animal body mass in IPCC greenhouse inventories and the underappreciated role of wild herbivores. Global Change Biology 21:3880-3888.

Oyston, J. W., M. Hughes, P. J. Wagner, S. Gerber & M. A. Wills. 2015. What limits the morphological disparity of clades? Interface Focus 5:20150042.

Darroch, S. A. F. & P. J. Wagner. 2015. Response of beta diversity to pulses of Ordovician-Silurian mass extinction. Ecology 96:532–549.

Wagner, P. J., & G. F. Estabrook. 2014. Trait-based diversification shifts reflect differential extinction among fossil taxa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111:16419-16424.

Wagner, P. J., & J. D. Marcot. 2013. Modelling distributions of fossil sampling rates over time, space and taxa: assessment and implications for macroevolutionary studies. Methods in Ecology and Evolution 4:703 - 713.

Ebbestad, J. O. R., J. Frýda, P. J. Wagner, R. J. Horný, M. Isakar, S. Stewart, I. Percival, V. Bertero, D. M. Rohr, J. S. Peel, R. B. Blodgett, and E. S. H. Anette. 2013. Biogeography of Ordovician and Silurian gastropods, monoplacophorans and mimospirids. Pp. 199-220 in D. Harper and T. Servais, eds. Geological Society, London, Memoirs 38.

Wagner, P. J. 2012. Modelling rate distributions using character compatibility: implications for morphological evolution among fossil invertebrates. Biology Letters 8:143 - 146.

Kosnik, M. A., J. Alroy, A. K. Behrensmeyer, F. T. Fürsich, R. A. Gastaldo, S. M. Kidwell, M. Kowałewski, R. E. Plotnick, R. R. Rogers and P. J. Wagner. 2011. Changes in the shell durability of common marine taxa through the Phanerozoic: evidence for biological rather than taphonomic drivers. Paleobiology 37:303-331. (doi: 10.1666/10022.1)

Wagner, P. J. & S. K. Lyons. 2011. Estimating extinction with the fossil record. Pp. 265 - 275 in A. Magurran and B. McGill, eds. Biological diversity: frontiers in measurement and assessment. Oxford University Press, Oxford.

Lyons, S. K., P. J. Wagner & K. Dzikiewicz. 2010. Ecological correlates of range shifts of Late Pleistocene mammals. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 365:3681-3693.

Wagner, P.J. & J. A. Marcot. 2010. Probabilistic phylogenetic inference in the fossil record: current and future applications. Pp. 195 - 217 in J. Alroy and G. Hunt, eds. Quantitative paleobiology. Paleontological Society, New Haven, Connecticut.

Wagner, P.J.. 2010. Paleontological perspectives on morphological evolution. Pp. 451 – 478 in Evolution since Darwin: the first 150 Years (M.A. Bell, D.J. Futuyma, W.F. Eanes & J.S. Levinton, eds.) Sinauer, Sunderland.

Lyons, S. K. & P.J. Wagner. 2009. Using macroecological approach to the fossil record to help inform conservation biology. Pp. 141 - 166 in G. P. Dietl and K. W. Flessa, eds. Conservation biology. Using the past to manage for the future. Paleontological Society, New Haven, Connecticut.

McElwain, J.C., P.J. Wagner & S.P. Hesselbo. 2009. Fossil plant relative abundances indicate sudden loss of Late Triassic biodiversity in Greenland. Science 324:1554-1556.

Frýda, J., A. Nützel and P.J. Wagner. 2008. Paleozoic Gastropoda, pp. 239 - 270 in W.F. Ponder & D.R. Lindberg, eds. Phylogeny and evolution of the Mollusca. U. California Press, Berkeley.

Alroy, J., M. Aberhan, D.J. Bottjer, M. Foote, F.T. Fürsich, P.J. Harries, A.J.W. Hendy, S.M. Holland, L.C. Ivany, W. Kiessling, M.A. Kosnik, C.R. Marshall, A.J. McGowan, A.I. Miller, T.D. Olszewski, M.E. Patzkowsky, S.E. Peters, L. Villier, P.J. Wagner, N. Bonuso, P.S. Borkow, B. Brenneis, M.E. Clapham, L.M. Fall, C.A. Ferguson, V.L. Hanson, A.Z. Krug, K.M. Layou, E.H. Leckey, S. Nürnberg, C.M. Powers, J.A. Sessa, C. Simpson, A. Tomasovych, & C.C. Visaggi. 2008. Phanerozoic trends in the global diversity of marine invertebrates. Science 321:97 - 100.

Coates, M.I., M. Ruta, & P.J. Wagner. 2007. Using patterns of fin and limb phylogeny to test developmental-evolutionary scenarios. Pp. 245-261 in G. Bock & J. Goode, eds. Tinkering: the microevolution of development. Wiley, New York.

Wagner, P.J., M. Aberhan, A. Hendy & W. Kiessling. 2007. The effects of taxonomic standardization on sampling-standardized estimates of historical diversity. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 274:439-444.

Kiessling, W., M. Aberhan, B. Brenneis & P.J. Wagner 2007. Extinction trajectories of benthic organisms across the Triassic-Jurassic boundary. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 244:201-222.

Wagner, P.J, M.A. Kosnik & S. Lidgard. 2006. Abundance distributions imply elevated complexity of post-Paleozoic marine ecosystems. Science 314:1289:1292.

Wagner, P.J., M. Ruta & M.I. Coates. 2006. Evolutionary patterns in early tetrapods. II: Differing constraints on available character space among clades. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B. Biological Sciences. 273:2113-2118.

Ruta, M., P.J. Wagner & M.I. Coates. 2006. Evolutionary patterns in early tetrapods. I: Rapid initial diversification followed by decrease in rates of character change. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London, Series B. Biological Sciences. 273:2107-2111.

Madin, J.S., J. Alroy, M. Aberhan, F.T. Fürsich, W. Kiessling, M.A. Kosnik & P.J. Wagner. 2006. Statistical independence of escalatory ecological trends in Phanerozoic marine invertebrates. Science 312:897 - 900.

Wagner, P.J. & D.H. Erwin. 2006. Patterns of convergence in general shell form among Paleozoic gastropods. Paleobiology 32: 315-336.

Kosnik, M.A. & P.J. Wagner. 2006. Effects of taxon abundance distributions on the number of taxa sampled. Evolutionary Ecology Research 8:195-211.

Plotnick, R.E. & P.J. Wagner. 2006. Round up the usual suspects: occurrence distribution and wastebasket taxa in the fossil record. Paleobiology 32:126-146.

Lyons, S.K., F.A. Smith, P.J. Wagner, E.P. White & J. Brown. 2004. Was a hyperdisease responsible for the late Pleistocene megafaunal extinction? Ecology Letters7: 859–868.

Stockmeyer Lofgren, A, R. E. Plotnick & P.J. Wagner. 2003. Morphological diversity of Carboniferous arthropods and insights on disparity patterns of the Phanerozoic. Paleobiology 29:350-369.

Wagner, P.J. 2002. Excursions in macroevolution. Evolution 56:1877-1879.

Wagner, P.J. 2002. Testing phylogenetic hypotheses with stratigraphy and morphology- a comment on Smith (2000). Journal of Paleontology 51:590 - 593.

Wagner, P.J. 2001. Gastropod phylogenetics: progress, problems and implications. Journal of Paleontology 75:1128 - 1140.

O’Keefe, F.R. & P.J. Wagner. 2001. Deriving and testing hypotheses of correlated character evolution using character compatibility. Systematic Biology 50: 657 - 675.

Wagner, P.J. 2001. Constraints on the evolution of form. Pp. 154 - 159 in Palaeobiology 2 (D.E.G. Briggs & P. R. Crowther, eds.) Blackwell, Oxford.

Wagner, P.J. 2001. Rate heterogeneity in shell character evolution among lophospiroid gastropods. Paleobiology 27:290 - 310.

Alroy, J., C. R. Marshall, R. K. Bambach, K. Bezusko, M. Foote, F. T. Fürsich, T. A. Hansen, S. M. Holland, L. C. Ivany, D. Jablonski, D. K. Jacobs, D. C. Jones, M. A. Kosnik, S. Lidgard, S. Low, A. I. Miller, P. M. Novack-Gottshall, T. D. Olszewski, M. E. Patzkowsky, D. M. Raup, K. Roy, J. J. John Sepkoski, M. G. Sommers, P. J. Wagner and A. Webber. 2001. Effects of sampling standardization on estimates of Phanerozoic marine diversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 98:6261 - 6266.

Wagner, P.J. 2000. Phylogenetic analyses and the fossil record: tests and inferences, hypotheses and models. Pp. 341 - 371in Deep time - Paleobiology’s perspective (D.H Erwin & S. L. Wing, eds.). Paleobiology Memoir 26.

Lutzoni, F., P.J. Wagner, V. Reeb & S. Zoller. 2000. Integrating ambiguously aligned regions of DNA sequences in phylogenetic analyses without violating positional homology. Systematic Biology 49:628 - 651.

Wagner, P.J. & C.A. Sidor. 2000. Age rank / clade rank criteria: paraphyly, sampling, and the meaning of “stratigraphic consistency.” Systematic Biology 49:463 - 479.

Wagner, P.J. 2000. Likelihood tests of hypothesized durations: testing for and accommodating biasing factors. Paleobiology 26:431 - 449.

Wagner, P.J. 2000. The exhaustion of morphological character states among fossil taxa. Evolution 54:365 - 386.

Wagner, P.J. 2000. The quality of the fossil record and the accuracy of phylogenetic inferences about sampling and diversity. Systematic Biology 49:65 - 86.

Wagner, P.J. 1999. Phylogenetics of the earliest anisostrophically coiled gastropods. Smithsonian Contributions to Paleobiology 88:1 – 154.

Wagner, P.J. 1999. Phylogenetics of the Lophospiridae (Gastropoda: Murchisoniina) of the Ordovician and Silurian: the importance of stratigraphy and contrasts of different methods. American Malacological Bulletin 15:1 - 31.

Wagner, P.J. 1998. A likelihood approach for estimating phylogenetic relationships among fossil taxa. Paleobiology 24:430 - 449.

Wagner, P.J. 1998. Phylogenetic reconstruction and fossil data. 163 - 185 in The adequacy of the fossil record (S. K. Donovan & C. R. Paul, eds.). John Wiley, London.

Wagner, P.J. 1997. Patterns of morphologic diversification among the Rostroconchia. Paleobiology 23: 115 - 150.

Wagner, P.J. 1996. Testing the underlying patterns of active trends. Evolution 50: 990 - 1017.

Wagner, P.J. 1996. Morphologic diversification during the initial radiation of “archaeogastropods.” 161 - 169 in Origin and evolutionary radiation of the Mollusca (J. Taylor, ed.). Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Wagner, P.J. 1995. Systematics and the fossil record [Book Review]. Palaios 10:383 - 388.

Wagner, P.J. & D.H. Erwin. 1995. Phylogenetic patterns as tests of speciation hypotheses. 87 - 122 in New approaches for studying speciation in the fossil record (D.H. Erwin & R.L. Anstey, eds.). New York: Columbia University Press.

Wagner, P.J. 1995. Diversification among early Paleozoic gastropods - contrasting taxonomic and phylogenetic descriptions. Paleobiology 21:410 - 439.

Wagner, P.J. 1995. Testing evolutionary constraint hypotheses with early Paleozoic gastropods. Paleobiology 21: 248 - 272.

Wagner, P.J. 1995. Stratigraphic tests of cladistic hypotheses. Paleobiology 21:153 - 178.