Since 2013, I've been an Assistant Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at George Washington University. I was previously a faculty member at Australian National University and received
my PhD in Politics from Princeton
University in September 2011. I have broad research interests across comparative politics, formal and quantitative methodology, and political economy, with a focus on democratization and autocratic elections. In particular, I'm interested in how coups and competitive elections relate to democratization and the role that autocratic elections play in policy choice.
“Democracy by Example? Why Democracy Spreads When the World's Democracies Prosper.” Forthcoming. Comparative Politics. PDF
Coups Really Contagious? An Extreme Bounds Analysis of Political
Diffusion,” with Michael Joseph and Dorothy Ohl. Forthcoming. Journal of Conflict Resolution. PDF
“Electoral Authoritarianism and Human Development.” 2015. Comparative Political Studies 48(12): 1526-62. PDF
“Democratic Pieces: Autocratic Elections and Democratic Development since 1815.” 2015. British Journal of Political Science 45(3): 501-30. PDF
“Elections, Information, and Policy Responsiveness in Autocratic Regimes.” 2015. Comparative Political Studies 48(6): 691-727. PDF
- Won James Caporaso Award for best article published in CPS in 2015.
“Public Support for Democracy in Transitional Regimes,” with Juliet Pietsch and Jeffrey Karp. 2015. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties 25(1): 1-9.
“A Complete Data Set of Political Regimes, 1800-2007,” with Carles Boix and Sebastian Rosato. 2013. Comparative Political Studies 46(12): 1523-54. PDF
“Electoral Authoritarianism and Democracy: A Formal
Model of Regime Transitions.” 2013. Journal of
Theoretical Politics 25(2): 153-81. PDF
- Won Elinor Ostrom Prize for best article published in JTP in 2013.
“For the Win! The Effect of Professional Sports Records on Mayoral Elections.” 2013. Social Science Quarterly 94(1): 59-78. PDF
“Economic Development, Violent Leader Removal, and Democratization.” 2012. American Journal of Political Science 56(4): 1002-20. PDF
“The Patron's Dilemma: The Dynamics of Foreign-Supported Democratization,” with Michael K. McKoy. 2012. Journal of Conflict Resolution 56(5): 904-32. PDF
“Citizen Forecasts of the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election,” with Guanchun Wang,
Sanjeev R. Kulkarni, H. Vincent Poor, and Daniel Osherson. 2012. Politics & Policy 40(6): 1019-52. PDF
“Seizing the Mantle of Change: Modeling Candidate Quality as Effectiveness Instead of Valence.” 2011. Journal of Theoretical Politics 23(1): 52-68. PDF
“Methods for Distance-Based Judgment Aggregation,” with Daniel Osherson. 2009. Social Choice and Welfare 32(4): 575-601. PDF
“Social Choice Theory Without Pareto: The Pivotal Voter Approach.” 2009. Mathematical Social Sciences 58(2): 251-5. PDF
“Judgment Aggregation and Subjective Decision-Making.” 2008. Economics and Philosophy 24(2): 205-31. PDF
Papers in Physical Sciences
“The Strategic Origins of Electoral Authoritarianism.” Revise & resubmit, British Journal of Political Science. PDF
“Restraining the Huddled Masses: Migration Policy and Autocratic Survival,” with Margaret E. Peters. Under review. PDF
“The Uses and Abuses of Matching in Political Science.” Under review. PDF
“Safeguarding Democracy: Powersharing and Democratic Survival,” with Benjamin Graham and Kaare Strøm. Under review.
Book project: Shock to the System: Elite Violence, Elections, and War on the Road to Democratization, 1800-2010
“Elections and Elite Violence on the Road to Democratization, 1800-2010.” PDF
“Coups and Democratization in the Shadow of Popular Revolt.”
“Don't Call It a Comeback: Autocratic Ruling Parties after Democratization.”
“Emigration and Political Contestation,” with Margaret E. Peters.
“Social Mobility and Democratic Attitudes,” with Christian Houle.
“Prospect Theory, Moral Psychology, and Political Theory.
“Causal Models of Democratization,” with Carles Boix. Forthcoming in Sage Handbook of Political Sociology.
Public Opinion and Democracy in Transitional Regimes: A Comparative Perspective, edited with Juliet Pietsch and Jeffrey Karp. 2016. Routledge. Link
“The Surprising Benefits of Autocratic Elections.” 2015. The Monkey Cage, Washington Post. Link
“Freedom's March,” with Carles Boix and Susan Stokes. 2013. Foreign Policy. Link
“Violent Leader Removal and Democratization.” 2011. The Monkey Cage, Washington Post. Link