Bio

As of August 2013, I'm an Assistant Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at George Washington University. I was previously a faculty member at Australian National University and received my PhD in Politics from Princeton University in September 2011. I have broad research interests across comparative politics, formal and quantitative methodology, and political economy, with a focus on democratization and autocratic elections. In particular, I'm interested in how coups and competitive elections relate to democratization and the role that autocratic elections play in policy choice.


Publications

  • “Elections, Information, and Policy Responsiveness in Autocratic Regimes.” Forthcoming. Comparative Political Studies. PDF

  • “Democratic Pieces: Autocratic Elections and Democratic Development since 1815.” Forthcoming. British Journal of Political Science. PDF

  • “Public Opinion towards Democracy: Citizens in Transitional Regimes,” with Juliet Pietsch and Jeffrey Karp. Forthcoming. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties.

  • “A Complete Data Set of Political Regimes, 1800-2007,” with Carles Boix and Sebastian Rosato. 2013. Comparative Political Studies 46(12): 1523-54. PDF

  • “Electoral Authoritarianism and Democracy: A Formal Model of Regime Transitions.” 2013. Journal of Theoretical Politics 25(2): 153-81. PDF

  • “For the Win! The Effect of Professional Sports Records on Mayoral Elections.” 2013. Social Science Quarterly 94(1): 59-78. PDF

  • “Economic Development, Violent Leader Removal, and Democratization.” 2012. American Journal of Political Science 56(4): 1002-20. PDF

  • “The Patron's Dilemma: The Dynamics of Foreign-Supported Democratization,” with Michael K. McKoy. 2012. Journal of Conflict Resolution 56(5): 904-32. PDF

  • “Citizen Forecasts of the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election,” with Guanchun Wang, Sanjeev R. Kulkarni, H. Vincent Poor, and Daniel Osherson. 2012. Politics & Policy 40(6): 1019-52. PDF

  • “Seizing the Mantle of Change: Modeling Candidate Quality as Effectiveness Instead of Valence.” 2011. Journal of Theoretical Politics 23(1): 52-68. PDF

  • “Methods for Distance-Based Judgment Aggregation,” with Daniel Osherson. 2009. Social Choice and Welfare 32(4): 575-601. PDF

  • “Social Choice Theory Without Pareto: The Pivotal Voter Approach.” 2009. Mathematical Social Sciences 58(2): 251-5. PDF

  • “Judgment Aggregation and Subjective Decision-Making.” 2008. Economics and Philosophy 24(2): 205-31. PDF

Papers in Physical Sciences


Submitted Papers

  • “Electoral Authoritarianism and Human Development.” Revise and resubmit, Comparative Political Studies. PDF

  • “Democracy by Example? Why Democracy Spreads When the World's Democracies Prosper.” Revise and resubmit, Foreign Policy Analysis. PDF

  • “The Uses and Abuses of Matching.” Under review. PDF


Current Projects

  • Book on Coups, Elections, and Democratization, 1800-2010

  • “The Origins of Electoral Authoritarianism and Democracy.” Link

  • “Elections and Elite Violence on the Road to Democratization, 1800-2010.”

  • “Coups and Democratization in the Shadow of Popular Revolt.”

  • “Migration Policy and Autocratic Survival,” with Margaret E. Peters.

  • “Powersharing and Democratic Development,” with Benjamin Graham and Kaare Strøm.

  • “The More Things Change: An Overlooked Problem with Fixed Effects.”

  • “Are Coups Really Contagious?” with Michael Joseph and Dorothy Ohl.

  • “Prospect Theory, Moral Psychology, and Political Theory.”