Papers

Galesic, M., Olsson, H., Pham, T.M., Sorger, J., Thurner, S. (2023). Experiment shows that triadic social balance can be achieved through dyadic interactions. link

Lasser, J., Herderich, A., Garland, J., Aroyehun, S.T., Garcia, D., Galesic, M. (2023). Collective moderation of hate, toxicity, and extremity in online discussions. link 

Olsson, H., Bruine de Bruin, W. B., Galesic, M., & Prelec, D. (2022). Combining survey questions with a Bayesian bootstrap method yields accurate election forecasts.  link 

van der Does, T., Stein, D. L., Fedoroff, N., & Galesic, M. (2022). Moral and Social Foundations of Beliefs about Scientific Issues: Predicting and Understanding Belief Change. link

Olsson, H., and Galesic, M. (in press). Analogies for modeling belief dynamics. Trends in Cognitive Science. link

Dalege, J., Galesic, M., Olsson, H., (in press). Networks of beliefs: An integrative theory of individual- and social-level belief dynamics. Psychological Review. link 

Garcia, D., Galesic, M., & Olsson, H. (2024). Editorial for the Special issue on The Psychology of Collectives. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 19(2), 316-319. link to the special issue

Bhatia, S., Galesic, M., & Mitchell, M. (2024). Editorial for the Special Issue on Algorithms in Our Lives. Perspectives on Psychological Science, 17456916231214452. link to the special issue

Olsson, H., & Galesic, M. (2024). Sampling complex social and behavioral phenomena. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 47, e55. link

Olsson, H., Galesic, M., & Bruine de Bruin, W. (2023). Social sampling for judgments and predictions of societal trends. In K. Fiedler, P. Juslin, & J. Denrell (Eds.),  Sampling in judgment and decision making (pp. 385-416) . Cambridge University Press.  pdf

Spoon, K., LaBerge, N., Wapman, K. H., Zhang, S., Morgan, A., Galesic, M., Fosdick, B., Larremore, D., & Clauset, A. (2023). Gender and retention patterns among US faculty. Science Advances. link

Galesic, M., Barkoczi, D., Berdahl, A., Biro, D., Carbone, G., Giannoccaro, I., Goldstone, R., Gonzalez, C., Kandler, A., Kao, A., Kendal, R., Kline, M., Lee, E., Massari, G.F., Mesoudi, A., Olsson, H., Pescetelli, N., Sloman, S., Smaldino, P.E., Stein, D.L. (2023).  Beyond Collective Intelligence: Collective Adaptation. Journal of Royal Society Interface, 20, 2022.0736. link 

Bacaksizlar Turbic, G. & Galesic, M.  (2023). Group threat, political extremity, and collective dynamics in online discussions, Scientific Reports, 13, 2206.  link 

Olsson, H., Barman-Adhikari, A., Galesic, M., Hsu, H. T., & Rice, E. (2023). Cognitive Strategies for Peer Judgments, Decision.  Advance online publication. doi: 10.1037/dec0000208.  pdf

Dubova, M., Goldstone, R., & Galesic, M. (2022). Cognitive science of augmented intelligence. Cognitive Science, 46, e13229. link 

Morgan, A. C., LaBerge, N., Larremore, D. B., Galesic, M., & Clauset, A. (2022). Socioeconomic Roots of Academic Faculty. Nature Human Behaviour.  link  

Bruine de Bruin, W., Galesic, M., Bååth, R., de Bresser, J., Hall, L., Johansson, P., Strandberg, T., van Soest, A. (2022). Asking about social circles improves election predictions even with many political parties. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 34. link 

van der Does, T., Galesic, M., Dunivin, Z., & Smaldino, P.E. (2022). Strategic identity signaling in heterogeneous networks. PNAS. 119(10), e2117898119. link

Garland, J., Ghazi-Zahedi, K., Young, J. G., Hébert-Dufresne, L., & Galesic, M. (2022). Impact and dynamics of hate and counter speech online. EPJ Data Science, 11, 3. link 

Butkovic, A. & Galesic, M. (2022). Relationship between COVID-19 threat beliefs and individual differences in demographics, personality, and related beliefs. Frontiers in Psychology. 13, 831199. link

Yang, V. C., Galesic, M., McGuinness, H., & Harutyunyan, A. (2021). When do Social Learners Affect Collective Performance Negatively? The Predictions of a Dynamical-System Model.  PNAS, 118, e2106292118. link

Galesic, M., Olsson, H., Dalege, J., van der Does, T., & Stein, D. L. (2021). Integrating social and cognitive aspects of belief dynamics: Towards a unifying framework. Journal of Royal Society Interface, 18, 176. link

Bak-Coleman, J. B., Alfano, M., Barfuss, W., Bergstom, C. T., Centeno, M. A., Couzin, I. D., Dongers, J. F., Galesic, M., Gersick, A. S., Jacquet, J., Kao, A. B., Moran, R. E., Romanczuk, P., Rubestein, D. I., Tombak, K. J., Van Bavel, J. J., & Weber, E. U. (2021). Stewardship of global collective behavior. PNAS, 118, 27. link

Galesic, M., Bruine de Bruin, W., Dalege, J., Feld, S. F., Kreuter, F., Olsson, H., Prelec, D., Stein, D. L., van der Does, T. (2021). Human social sensing is an untapped resource for computational social science. Nature, 595, 214-222. link

Morgan, A. C., Way, S. F., Hoefer, M. J. D. , Larremore, D. B., Galesic, M., & Clauset, A. (2021). The unequal impact of parenthood in academia. Science Advances, 7, eabd1996. link

Aikman, D., Galesic, M., Gigerenzer, G., Kapadia, S.,  Katsikopoulos, K. V., Kothiyal, A., Murphy, E., and Neumann, T. (2021). Taking uncertainty seriously: Simplicity versus complexity in financial regulation. Industrial and Corporate Change. link

Bruine de Bruin, W., Galesic, M., Parker, A. M., & Vardavas, R. (2020). The role of social circle perceptions in 'false consensus' about population statistics: Evidence from a national flu survey. Medical Decision Making, 40, 235-241 . pdf

Public outreach: Galesic, M. & Bruine de Bruin, W. (2020). Election polls are more accurate if they ask participants how others will vote. The Conversation. link

Garland, J., Ghazi-Zahedi, K., Young, J. G., Hébert-Dufresne, L., & Galesic, M. (2020). Countering hate on social media: Large scale classification of hate and counter speech.   In Proceedings of the Fourth Workshop on Online Abuse and Harms (pp. 102–112). Association for Computational Linguistics. pdf

Giannoccaro, I., Galesic, M., Massari, G. F., Barkoczi, D., & Carbone, G. (2020). Search behavior of individuals working in teams: A behavioral study on complex landscapes. Journal of Business Research, 118, 507-516. pdf

Bruine de Bruin, W., Parker, A.M., Galesic, M., & Vardavas, R. (2019). Reports of social circles’ and own vaccination behavior: A national longitudinal survey. Health Psychology, 38, 975–983. pdf

Davidovic, S., Kothiyal, A., Galesic, M., Katsikopoulos, K., & Arinaminpathy, N. (2019). Liquidity hoarding in financial networks: The role of structural uncertainty. Complexity, 8436505. pdf

Galesic, M. & Stein, D.L. (2019). Statistical physics models of belief dynamics: Theory and empirical tests. Physica A, 519, 275-294. pdf

Lee, E., Karimi, F., Wagner, C., Jo, H-H., Strohmaier, M., & Galesic, M. (2019). Homophily and minority-group size explain perception biases in social networks. Nature Human Behaviour, 3, 1078–1087. pdf

Okan, Y., Janssen, E., Galesic, M., Waters, E. A. (2019). Using the Short Graph Literacy scale to predict precursors of health behavior change. Medical Decision Making, 39, 183-185. pdf, scale

Galesic, M., Barkoczi, D., & Katsikopoulos, K. (2018). Smaller crowds outperform larger crowds and individuals in realistic task conditions. Decision, 5, 1-15. pdf

Galesic, M., Bruine de Bruin, W., Dumas, M., Kapteyn, A., Darling, J., & Meijer, E. (2018). Asking about social circles improves election predictions. Nature Human Behaviour, 2, 187-193. pdf

Galesic, M., Goode, A. W., Wallsten, T. S., & Norman, K. L. (2018). Using Tversky's contrast model to investigate how features of similarity affect judgments of likelihood. Judgment & Decision Making, 13, 163-169. pdf

Galesic, M., Olsson, H., & Rieskamp, J. (2018). A sampling model of social judgment. Psychological Review, 125, 363-390. pdf

Gaissmaier, W., Giese, H., Galesic, M., Garcia-Retamero, R., Kasper, J., Kleiter, I., Meuth, S.G., Koepke, S., & Heesen, C. (2018). Numeracy of multiple sclerosis patients: A comparison of patients from the PERCEPT study to a German probabilistic sample. Patient Education and Counseling, 101, 74-78.

McDowell, M., Galesic, M., & Gigerenzer, G. (2018). Natural Frequencies do foster public understanding of medical tests: Comment on Pighin, Gonzalez, Savadori, and Girotto (2016). Medical Decision Making, 38, 390-399.

Galesic, M. (2017). We need more precise, quantitative models of sentiments. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 40. pdf

Barkoczi, D. & Galesic, M. (2016). Social learning strategies modify the effect of network structure on group performance. Nature Communications, 7, 13109. pdf

Galesic, M., Kause, A., & Gaissmaier, W. (2016). A sampling framework for uncertainty in individual environmental decisions. Topics in Cognitive Sciences. 8, 242-258. pdf

Okan, Y., Galesic, M., & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2016). How people with low and high graph literacy process health graphs: Evidence from eye-tracking. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 29, 271-294 pdf

Public outreach: Galesic, M. (2016). Why people become terrorists? Christian Science Monitor. url

Davidovic, S., Galesic, M., Katsikopoulos, K., & Arinaminpathy, N. (2014). Modeling uncertainty in banking networks. In S. Omatu, H. Bersini, J. M. Corchado, S. Rodríguez, P. Pawlewski, & E. Bucciarelli (Eds.), Distributed computing and artificial intelligence: 11th International Conference (Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing No. 290) (pp. 107-114). Berlin: Springer. link

Garcia-Retamero, R. & Galesic, M. (2014). On defensive decision making: how doctors make decisions for their patients. Health Expectations, 17, 664-669.

Gigerenzer, G., Galesic, M., Garcia-Retamero, R. (2014). Stereotypes about men's and women's intuitions: A study of two nations. Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology, 45, 62-81.  pdf

Lenzner, T., Kaczmirek, L., Galesic, M. (2014). Left Feels Right: A Usability Study on the Position of Answer Boxes in Web Surveys. Social Science Computer Review. link

Trevena, L., Zikmund-Fisher, B., Edwards, A., Gaissmaier, W., Galesic, M., Han, P., King, J., Lawson, M., Linder, S., Lipkus, I., Ozanne, E., Peters, E., Timmermans, D., & Woloshin, S. (2013). Presenting quantitative information about decision outcomes: a risk communication primer for patient decision aid developers. BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 13, S2-S7. pdf

Barkoczi, D. & Galesic, M. (2013). Social learning in complex networks: The role of building blocks and environmental change. In M. Knauff, M. Pauen, N. Sebanz, & I. Wachsmuth (Eds.), Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 1821-1826). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society. pdf

Bodemer, N., Ruggeri, A., & Galesic, M. (2013). When dread risks are more dreadful than continuous risks: Comparing cumulative population losses over time. PLoS One, 8, e66544. link 

Bosnjak, M., Haas, I., Galesic, M., Kaczmirek, L., Bandilla, W., & Couper, M.P. (2013). Sample composition discrepancies in different stages of a probability-based online panel. Field Methods, 25, 339-360. link

Galesic, M., Olsson, H., & Rieskamp, J. (2013). False consensus about consensus. In M. Knauff, M. Pauen, N. Sebanz, & I. Wachsmuth (Eds.), Proceedings of the 35th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 472-476). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society. pdf

Galesic, M. & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2013). Using analogies to communicate information about health risks. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 27, 33-42. pdf

Müller, S.M., Garcia-Retamero, G., Galesic, M., & Maldonado, A. (2013). The  impact of domain-specific beliefs on decisions and causal judgments. Acta Psychologica, 144, 472-480. link

Cokely, E., Galesic, M., Schulz, E., Ghazal, S., & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2012). Measuring risk literacy: The Berlin Numeracy Test. Judgment and Decision Making, 7, 25-47. pdf  riskliteracy.org

Galesic, M. & Birnbaum, M. (2012). Color and psychological performance on the Web. Unpublished manuscript. pdf

Galesic, M. & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2012). Dreadful risks:  A social circle account. PLoS One, 7, e32837. pdf

Galesic, M., Olsson, H., & Rieskamp, J. (2012). Social sampling explains apparent biases in judgments of social environments. Psychological Science, 23, 1515-1523.link pdf

Garcia-Retamero, R. & Galesic, M. (2012). Doc, what would you do if you were me? On self–other discrepancies in medical decision making. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 18, 38-51. link pdf

Gigerenzer, G., & Galesic, M. (2012). Why do single event probabilities confuse patients? Statements of frequency are better for communicating risk. BMJ, 344:e245. link 

Okan, Y., Garcia-Retamero, R., Galesic, M., & Cokely, E. (2012). When higher bars are not larger quantities: On individual differences in the use of spatial information in graph comprehension. Spatial Cognition and Computation: An Interdisciplinary Journal, 12, 195-218. pdf

Pachur, T. & Galesic, M. (2012). Strategy selection in risky choice: The impact of numeracy, affect, and cross-cultural differences. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. link pdf

Galesic, M. & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2011). Do low numeracy people avoid shared decision making? Health Psychology, 30, 336-341. link pdf

Galesic, M., Garcia-Retamero, R. (2011). Graph literacy: a cross-cultural comparison. Medical Decision Making, 31, 444-457. link pdf

Galesic, M. & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2011). Communicating consequences of risky behaviors: Life expectancy versus risk of disease. Patient Education and Counseling, 82, 30-35. link pdf

Garcia-Retamero, R. & Galesic, M. (2011). Using plausible group sizes to communicate information about medical risks. Patient Education and Counseling, 84, 245-250. pdf

García-Retamero, R., Galesic, M., & Gigerenzer, G. (2011). Cómo favorecer la comprensión y la comunicación de los riesgos sobre la salud [Improving comprehension and communication of risks about health]. Psicothema, 23, 599-605. pdf

Garcia-Retamero, R., Galesic, M., & Gigerenzer, G. (2011). Enhancing understanding and recall of quantitative information about medical risks: A cross-cultural comparison between Germany and Spain. The Spanish Journal of Psychology, 14, 218-226. link

Lenzner, T., Kaczmirek L., Galesic M. (2011). Seeing through the eyes of the respondent: an eye-tracking study on survey question comprehension. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 23, 361-373 link pdf

Galesic, M. & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2010). Statistical numeracy for health: A cross-cultural comparison with probabilistic national samples. Archives of Internal Medicine, 170, 462-468. pdf

Garcia-Retamero, R., Galesic, M., Gigerenzer, G. (2010). Do icon arrays help reduce denominator neglect? Medical Decision Making. link pdf

Garcia-Retamero, R., Galesic, M. (2010). How to reduce the effect of framing on messages about health. Journal of General Internal Medicine, 25, 1323-9.link

Garcia-Retamero, R., & Galesic, M. (2010). Who profits from visual aids: Overcoming challenges in people's understanding of risks. Social Science & Medicine, 70, 1019-1025. link pdf

Garcia-Retamero, R., Takezawa, M., & Galesic, M. (2010). Simple mechanisms for gathering social information. New Ideas in Psychology, 28, 49-63. link

Barton, A., Cokely, E.T., Galesic, M., Koehler, A., Haas, M. (2009). Comparing risk reductions: On the dynamic interplay of cognitive strategies, numeracy, complexity, and format. In N.A. Taatgen & H. van Rijn (Eds.), Proceedings of the 31th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society (pp.2347-2352). Austin, TX: Cognitive Science Society. pdf

Galesic, M. & Bosnjak, M. (2009). Effects of questionnaire length on participation and indicators of quality of answers in a Web survey. Public Opinion Quarterly, 73, 349-360. link pdf

Galesic, M., Garcia-Retamero, R., & Gigerenzer, G. (2009). Using icon arrays to communicate medical risks to low-numeracy people. Health Psychology, 28, 210-216. link pdf

Galesic, M., Gigerenzer, G., & Straubinger, N. (2009). Natural frequencies help older adults and people with low numeracy to evaluate medical screening tests. Medical Decision Making, 29, 368-371. link pdf

Garcia-Retamero, R., & Galesic, M. (2009). Communicating treatment risk reduction to people with low numeracy skills: A cross-cultural comparison. American Journal of Public Health, 99, 2196-2202. link pdf

Bosnjak, M., Galesic, M., & Klicek, B. (2008). Determinants of online political participation in Croatia. Social Research - Drustvena istrazivanja (Social Research), 17, 747-769. link

Galesic, M., Tourangeau, R., Couper, M., & Conrad, F. (2008). Eye-Tracking Data:  New insights on response order effects and other signs of cognitive shortcuts in survey responding. Public Opinion Quarterly, 892-913. link

Šverko, B., Galić, Z., Maslić Seršić, D., & Galesic, M. (2008). Working in the hidden economy: Associations with the latent benefits and psychological health. European Journal Of Work And Organizational Psychology, 17, 301-314. link

Šverko, B., Galić, Z., Maslić Seršić, D., & Galesic, M. (2008). Unemployed people in search for a job: Reconsidering the role of search behavior. Journal of Vocational Behavior, 72, 415-428. link

Bosnjak, M., Bratko, D., Galesic, M., & Tuten, T. (2007). Consumer personality and individual differences: Revitalizing a temporarily abandoned field. Journal of Business Research, 60, 587-589. link pdf

Bosnjak, M., Galesic, M., & Tuten, T.L. (2007). Personality determinants of online shopping: Explaining online purchase Intentions using a hierarchical approach. Journal of Business Research, 60, 597-605. link

Galesic, M., & Tourangeau, R. (2007). What is sexual harassment? It depends on who asks! Framing effects of sponsorship on survey responses. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 21, 189-202. link

Galesic, M. (2006). Dropouts on the Web: Effects of interest and burden experienced during an online survey.  Journal of Official Statistics, 22, 313-328. link

Galesic, M., Tourangeau, R., & Couper, M. (2006). Complementing RDD telephone surveys with other approaches to collecting sensitive data. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 31, 437-443. link

Fricker, S., Galesic, M., Tourangeau, R., & Yan, T. (2005). An experimental comparison of Web and telephone surveys. Public Opinion Quarterly, 69, 3, 370-92. link

Galesic, M. (2005). Online surveys: Possible sources of errors. Social Research (Drustvena istrazivanja), 14, 1-2, 297-322. link

Maslić Seršić, D., Šverko, B., Galesic, M. (2005). Unemployment and dimensions of subjective health: exploring moderating effects of age. Studia Psychologica. 47, 3, 221-234. preprint

Tuten, T.L., Galesic, M., & Bosnjak, M. (2004). Effects of immediate versus delayed notification of prize draw results on response behavior in web surveys – An experiment. Social Science Computer Review, 22, 377-384. pdf

Šverko, B., Maslić Seršić, D., Galesic, M. (2004). Is there a proof for social exclusion of long-term unemployed persons in Croatia? Croatian Journal of Social Policy (Revija za socijalnu politiku), 11, 3-4, 283-298. link

Šverko, B., Maslić Seršić, D., Galesic, M. (2004). Unemployment and subjective health. Are middle-aged unemployed persons the most vulnerable? Contemporary psychology (Suvremena psihologija), 7, 2, 201-214. abstract

Galesic, M. (2003). Effect of questionnaire length on response rates. Social Research (Drustvena istrazivanja), 12, 5, 807-824.  link

Sverko, B., Arambasic, L., & Galesic, M. (2002). Work-life balance among Croatian employees: Role time commitment, work-home interference, and well being. Social Science Information, 41, 281-301.  pdf

Books and book chapters

Olsson, H., Galesic, M., & Bruine de Bruin, W. (2023). Social sampling for judgments and predictions of societal trends. In K. Fiedler, P. Juslin, & J. Denrell (Eds.),  Sampling in judgment and decision making (pp. 385-416) . Cambridge University Press.

Galesic, M., & Olsson, H. (2021). Opportunities for science communicators. In D. C. Krakauer & G. West (Eds.), The Complex Alternative: Complexity Scientists on the COVID-19 Pandemic (pp.  179-186). Santa Fe, NM: SFI Press. Link

Olsson, H., & Galesic, M. (2015). Decision and choice: Heuristics. In International Encyclopedia of the Social & Behavioral Sciences (2nd ed., Vol. 5, pp. 892–894). Elsevier.

Garcia-Retamero, R. & Galesic, M. (Eds.) (2013). Transparent Communication of Health Risks:  Overcoming Cultural Differences. Springer.

Olsson, H. & Galesic, M. (2011). History and Logic of Significance Tests. In M.Lovric (Ed.), International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science. Springer. 

Galesic, M. & Yan, T. (2010). Use of eye tracking for studying survey response processes. In M. Das, P. Ester, & L. Kaczmirek (Eds.) Social and Behavioral Research and the Internet: Advances in Applied Methods and Research Strategies (pp. 349-370). Routledge Academic.

Marewski, J, Galesic, M. & Gigerenzer, G. (2009). Fast and frugal media choices. In: Hartmann, T. (Ed.), Media Choice: A Theoretical and Empirical Overview (pp. 102-128). New York: Routledge.

Garcia-Retamero, R., & Galesic, M. (2009). Heuristics. In M. W. Kattan (Ed.), The encyclopedia of medical decision making (pp. 56-59). Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications

Garcia-Retamero, R., & Galesic, M. (2009). Trust in healthcare. In M. W. Kattan (Ed.), The encyclopedia of medical decision making (pp. 41-43). Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications.

Tourangeau, R. & Galesic, M. (2008). Conceptions of attitudes and opinions. In: W. Donsbach & M.W. Traugott (Eds.), Handbook of Public Opinion Research (pp. 141-154). Los Angeles: Sage Publications.

Bosnjak, M., Galesic, M. & Wittmann, W.W. (2005). Persönlichkeit und Online-Shopping: Vorhersage und Erklärung der Intention, Waren und Dienstleistungen über das Internet zu beziehen, auf Basis eines hierarchischen Persönlichkeitsmodells. In K.-H. Renner, A. Schütz & F. Machilek (Eds.). Internet und Persönlichkeit, p. 75-89. Göttingen: Hogrefe.