Journal articles
2026. 'Reaching the Summit or a Plateau? The EU–New Zealand Relationship in the Indo-Pacific'. Global Policy. https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70160 (with M. Holland, S. Kelly, J. L. Manfredi-Sánchez, and N. R. Smith. 2026).
2024. 'Renegotiating in Good Faith: How International Treaty Revisions Can Deepen Cooperation.' Review of International Organizations, 19, 217–241. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11558-023-09497-1 (open access). Replication materials here.
2024. 'The Politics of Non-Membership: How Exclusion from International Institutions Shapes International Relations.' Conflict Management and Peace Science, 41(4): 392-413. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/07388942231195302 (open access; replication material available on journal website).
2023. 'How do Global Trade Rules Evolve? Strategic Sequencing in International Economic Law', Review of International Political Economy, 30(4): 1387-1412. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2022.2099949. Submitted version here. Online appendix here.
2022. 'COVID-19, Trade Policy and Agriculture in New Zealand: From "Environmental Vandals" to "Economic Heroes"?' Political Science (online). DOI: 10.1080/00323187.2022.2057336 . Submitted version here.
2022. With Bonnie Holster. 'Between Innovation and Precedent: The Treaty of Waitangi Exception Clause in Aotearoa New Zealand's Free Trade Agreements'. Policy Quarterly. Available here.
2019. With Krzysztof J. Pelc. 'The Causes and Effects of Leaks in International Negotiations', International Studies Quarterly 63(4): 1147–1162. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/isq/sqz048.
2017. 'Embedding Regional Actors in Social and Historical Context: Australia-New Zealand Integration and Asian-Pacific Regionalism', Review of International Studies 44(1): 151-173. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0260210517000316.
2016. With Simon Le Quesne and John Leslie. 'Divergent Paths of State-Society Relations in European and Trans-Tasman Economic Integration', Journal of European Integration 38(1): 41-59. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07036337.2015.1057819.
Book chapters
2018. 'Globalization’s Impact: Trade and investment in China-India Relations', in The China-India Rivalry in the Globalization Era, edited by T.V. Paul, pp. 205-230. Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press.
Work in progress
'Setting a Bad Precedent? How Partners Respond to Trade Agreement Renegotiation Demands'. Under review.
Abstract:
How do countries respond when a trading partner demands to renegotiate a preferential trade agreement (PTA)? Building on the accommodation dilemma framework, I argue that partner responses are shaped by whether challengers can credibly threaten cooperation gains, and whether the circumstances driving a renegotiation attempt are exceptional enough that accommodation does not set a damaging precedent. Specifically, when faced with a credible threat to cooperation gains, I expect partners to accommodate demands arising from exceptional circumstances, but to contest those arising from ordinary political pressures that are likely to recur. I test these expectations using new data on PTA renegotiation since 1990. Across 16 cases, I show that partners accommodated when challengers had a strong outside option or clear constraints on their ability to continue cooperating. But such credible threats to cooperation gains do not by themselves explain the extent of accommodation. Partners more fully accommodated demands resulting from circumstances that were di!cult to manufacture and unlikely to recur. In contrast, they o"ered only partial or conditional accommodation in response to demands driven by special interests or naked opportunism. By limiting the value of an accommodative precedent, such contestation may enable partners to sustain cooperation when faced with renegotiation pressures.
'Measuring the European Union’s trade power: insights from quantitative text analysis of negotiating texts' (with Andrew Lugg).
'Complexity in the trade regime' (with Stephen Skalicky). Under review
'Pre-empting Compensation? How New Zealand Adjusts to Trade Liberalisation'.
'Achieving global justice in an era of globalization: hegemony and the diffusion of domestic policy'.
Selected conference/workshop papers
2023. With Stephen Skalicky. 'Evolution and Innovation in Global Trade Norms: Insights from Quantitative Text Analysis'. Paper presented at International Society of Public Law (ICONs) annual conference, VUW (July).
2022. 'Normative Innovation in the Trade Regime: Prospects and Challenges in a Contested World.' Workshop on 'The Political Economy of Regional Economic Integration in the Shadow of Major Power Rivalries', Victoria University of Wellington (2 November).
2020. 'New Zealand trade policy and politics after COVID-19: Emerging trends.' New Zealand Political Science Association (NZPSA) International Relations Network meeting, Wellington (November).
2019. 'The Political Externalities of Institutional Exclusion: Preferential Trade Agreements and Political Relations with Third Party States.' New Zealand Political Science Association (NZPSA) annual conference, Christchurch (November).
2017. 'How do global trade rules evolve? Strategic sequencing in international economic law.' International Political Economy Society (IPES) Annual Conference, Austin (November).
2015. 'Regional Actorness without a Regional Organization: Australia-New Zealand Integration and Inter-regionalism in the Pacific”, The European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR) General Conference, Montreal (26-29 August).
2014. 'Ambition in Asian-Pacific PTAs: competitive liberalization?' International Political Science Association 23rd World Congress, Montreal (July).
Other publications
2019. The Political Economy of Preferential Market Integration. Unpublished PhD Dissertation, McGill University.
2012. 'Forging an Australasian region: trans-Tasman integration and interregionalism in the Asia-Pacific. Unpublished M.A. Thesis, Victoria University of Wellington.
2012. Review of The European Union and Interregionalism: Patterns of Engagement by Mathew Doidge, in Australia and New Zealand Journal of European Studies, 3(2), 78-80.
2011. “Europe and Asia in Partnership” (with Ronan Lenihan). Public Service Europe (online): http://www.publicserviceeurope.com/article/273/europe-and-asia-in-partnership.