About me

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I am currently a Research Fellow (with teaching and supervision responsibilities) at the Health Economics Group (HEG) at the University of East Anglia (UEA) in the UKFor information on me and my role at HEG, please go to the HEG websiteFor information on me and my role at the ESRC Business and Local Government Data Research Centre, please visit Support for Vulnerable People web page.

Prior to joining UEA, I was a researcher at the Centre for the Analysis of Public Policies (CAPP) at the Department of Economics of the University of Modena and Reggio Emilia in Italy.

I obtained a MSc in Applied Economics and Data Analysis from the department of Economics at the University of Essex (UK) and the Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER).
During my PhD in Economics at U. of Bologna in 2007, I have implemented CAPP_DYNa population-based dynamic micro-simulation model for the analysis of the Italian social security system. The model has been used to analyse the inter- and intra-generational distributional effects of changes in pension and long-term care scheme provisions and in making projections for both the Italian Ministry of Social Security and the European Commission. It is currently used and further developed by the Italian Parliamentary Budget Office (UPB).  
My UK part-time PhD from U. of Essex, UK has pursued my research interests further in the application of latent factor structural equation technique to the study of the economics of disability in later life, a topic which is currently very high on the UK policy agenda.

My recent research has been used in several impact and engagement activities <link>. Recent impact activities include invited talks at the Departments of Health, and for Work and Pensions, the House of Lords and a Joseph Rowntree Foundation report, commissioned for their anti-poverty strategy.

I am involved as co-investigator in research projects funded, among other, by ESRC, European Commission, Nuffield, Department of Health <link>A fellowship awarded by the Italian Social Security Institute (INPS) allows me to use (highly restricted and sensitive) administrative Italian social security data.

Research Interests

  • the health and public economics of ageing;
  • applied micro-econometrics;
  • programme evaluation;
  • poverty, inequality and redistribution;
  • static and dynamic micro-simulation.

I specialise in: studying the public costs and distributive and targeting efficiency of public policies on pensions, long-term care finance, and other public support for the personal costs that disability brings in later life; and improving methods for econometric estimation of these personal costs, which are not directly observable. Ex-ante and ex-post policy evaluation of the public intervention.

coming soon...mmmmmmmmmmm
Social Security Dept., Ministry of Finance, Beijing (China), 26-27 
February 2018  
Panel discussion on The development of old-age services and long-term care system. 
Project funded by the European Union and China through the EU-China Social Protection Reform Project through the Social Protection Reform Project (SPRP).
My report and slides on "
Sharing Long-term care responsibilities: the role of the family, the market and the State
" are available upon request.  

Italian National Institute for Social Security, 26 January 2018 
Panel discussion on Reforming the LTC system in Italy, link <here> full video coverage <here>
My paper “Too unhealthy or too disengaged to take part in a health-related survey? The participation bias among older members of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA)” has been accepted at the Second International Conference on the Methodology of Longitudinal Surveys25-27 July 2018 <here>.


Public support for older disabled people: evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing on receipt of disability benefits and social care subsidy This is a new paper (rev. & res. to Fiscal Studies) that arises from research funded by the Nuffield Foundation through a study on the Care and Support of Older People Living in the Community and by the Economic and Social Research Council through the Research Centre on Micro-Social change. mmmm mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm   

Understanding the interactions between state pension and 
long-term care reforms in Great Britain 
Here some research outputs from the Care and State Pension Reforms (CASPeR) project. CASPer is 
a collaborative project between the Pensions Policy Institute (PPI), the University of East Anglia (UEA) and the London School of Economics (LSE), funded over two years by the Nuffield Foundation, investigating the long-term impacts of both long term care and state pension reforms and their potential interactions.

Care and State Pension Reform - Interactions between state pension and long-term care reforms: a summary of findings The findings report is available for download <here> and the technical report <here>

Long-term care funding - a comparison between England, Wales and Scotland The findings report is available for download <here>

Interactions between state pension and long-term care reforms: an overview The report is available for download <here>

Long-term care in Europe: 
A review and synthesis of the most recent evidence
 This is a new report that arises from research funded by the European Union and China through the EU-China Social Protection Reform Project through the Social Protection Reform Project (SPRP). Panel discussion held in Beijing (China) on the 5th Sept. 2017. Report and slides available upon request.  

EU population ageing and its effect on the sustainability and adequacy of pension, health and long-term care systems, session prepared for the training programme "Social Security in an Ageing Society: EU Practices Responding to the Demographic Challenge",Paris, Marseille (France)  10th-24th Sept. 2017. Slides available upon request.  
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Disability and poverty in later life
This JRF report (joint with 
Prof Ruth Hancock and Prof Steve Pudney) is now published and free for download in PDF. We explore the relationship between disability and poverty among the older population in the UK. 

Dynamics and inertia in the long-term care policies for older people in Italy
 This is my contribution to the Italian National Institute for Social Security (INPS) annual report (see Chapter 2). The report is published and free for download in PDF <here>.  
Examples of media coverage (in Italian): 
L’INPS, il welfare e l’indennità di accompagnamento (di Daniela Bucci) <here>.
- Le sfide da affrontare per riordinare l'assistenza (di Maurizio Ferrera) <here>
I pregiudizi hanno le gambe corte (di Carlo Giacobini) <here> 
- Selfie in chiaroscuro della societa' italiana (di Chiara Saraceno) <here> 


  • Espuny-Pujol F., Hancock R., Hviid M. and Morciano M.Competition in the English care home market for older people: the role of care home chains
  • Bokhari F., Morciano M. and Suhrcke M., The economic welfare implications of price policies on alcohol beverages: Empirical evidences from a ban on multi-buy promotions in Scotland
  • Morciano, M., What has been happening to the rolls of cash disability allowance since the 2000s in Italy? Answers from administrative data
  • Morciano, M.Decomposition of the Herfindahl-Hirschman index for measuring competition 
  • Morciano M., Too unhealthy or too disengaged to take part in a health-related survey? The participation bias among older members of the English Longitudinal study of Ageing (ELSA)
  • Mentzakis E. Morciano M. and J. OlmoAssessing reporting heterogeneity of satisfaction with health measures
  • Hancock, R., Hernandez M., Morciano M., and Pudney S.,Using wellbeing models to evaluate the costs of disease and disability
  • Espuny-Pujol F., Hancock R. and Morciano M.Local variations in receipt of disability benefits and adult social care subsidy for older people living in private dwellings in England
  • Morciano M., Suhrcke M. and Toffolutti V., The impact of macroeconomic fluctuations on health in Europe: same data, different methods, different results?
  • Morciano M., Hancock, R. and Pudney S., How reliable are income data collected with a single question? A comparison of income measures from two large-household cross-sectional surveys: HSE and FRS
  • Morciano M. and Hancock R., Latent factor models of disability and their application in micro-simulation models.

marcello Morciano,
Mar 21, 2018, 4:04 AM