About me

I am currently a Research Fellow (with teaching and supervision responsibilities) at the Health Economics Group (HEG) at the University of East Anglia (UEA) in the UKFor information on me and my role at HEG, please go to the HEG website.

Prior to joining UEA, I was a researcher at the Centre for the Analysis of Public Policies (CAPP) at the Department of Economics of the University of Modena and Reggio Emilia in Italy.

I obtained a MSc in Applied Economics and Data Analysis from the department of Economics at the University of Essex (UK) and the Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER).
During my PhD in Economics at U. of Bologna in 2007, I have implemented CAPP_DYNa population-based dynamic micro-simulation model for the analysis of the Italian social security system. The model has been used to analyse the inter- and intra-generational distributional effects of changes in pension and long-term care scheme provisions and in making projections for both the Italian Ministry of Social Security and the European Commission. 
I have also recently awarded a UK part-time PhD from U. of Essex, UK (2016) which has pursued my research interests further in the application of latent factor structural equation technique to the study of the economics of disability in later life, a topic which is currently very high on the UK policy agenda.

My recent research has been used in several impact and engagement activities <link>. Recent impact activities include invited talks at the Departments of Health, and for Work and Pensions, the House of Lords and a Joseph Rowntree Foundation report, commissioned for their anti-poverty strategy.

I am involved as co-investigator in research projects funded, among other, by ESRC, European Commission, Nuffield, Department of Health <link>A recent fellowship, awarded by the Italian Social Security Institute (INPS), has allowed me to use (highly restricted and sensitive) administrative social security data.

Research Interests

  • the health and public economics of ageing;
  • applied micro-econometrics;
  • programme evaluation;
  • poverty, inequality and redistribution;
  • static and dynamic micro-simulation.

I specialise in: studying the public costs and distributive and targeting efficiency of public policies on pensions, long-term care finance, and other public support for the personal costs that disability brings in later life; and improving methods for econometric estimation of these personal costs, which are not directly observable. Ex-ante and ex-post policy evaluation of the public intervention.

  Public support for older disabled people: evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing on receipt of disability benefits and social care subsidy This is a new paper that arises from research funded by the Nuffield Foundation through a study on the Care and Support of Older People Living in the Community and by the Economic and Social Research Council through the Research Centre on Micro-Social change.  <here>
Understanding the interactions between state pension and 
long-term care reforms in Great Britain 
Here some research outputs from the Care and State Pension Reforms (CASPeR) project. CASPer is 
a collaborative project between the Pensions Policy Institute (PPI), the University of East Anglia (UEA) and the London School of Economics (LSE), funded over two years by the Nuffield Foundation, investigating the long-term impacts of both long term care and state pension reforms and their potential interactions.

Care and State Pension Reform - Interactions between state and pension long-term care reforms: a summary of findings The findings report is available for download <here> and the technical report <here>

Long-term care funding - a comparison between England, Wales and Scotland The findings report is available for download <here>

Interactions between state pension and long-term care reforms: an overview The report is available for download <here>

Disability and poverty in later life
This JRF report (joint with 
Prof Ruth Hancock and Prof Steve Pudney) is now published and free for download in PDF. We explore the relationship between disability and poverty among the older population in the UK. 
The report is available for download 

 Dynamics and inertia in the long-term care policies for older people in Italy This is my contribution to the Italian National Institute for Social Security (INPS) annual report (see Chapter 2). The report is now published and free for download in PDF <here>.  
Examples of media coverage (in Italian): 
L’INPS, il welfare e l’indennità di accompagnamento (di Daniela Bucci) <here>.
- Le sfide da affrontare per riordinare l'assistenza (di Maurizio Ferrera) <here>
I pregiudizi hanno le gambe corte (di Carlo Giacobini) <here> 
- Selfie in chiaroscuro della societa' italiana (di Chiara Saraceno) <here> 

U. of Oxford (
Dept. of Sociology), 28 November 2016 
Public support for older disabled people: evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing on receipt of disability benefits and social care subsidy
Details available <here> 

U. of Stirling (Dept. of Economics), 28 March 2017 
Participation of older people in health-related longitudinal studies. Microlevel evidence at the beginning of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA)
Details available <here> 


  • Morciano, M., What has been happening to the rolls of cash disability allowance since the 2000s in Italy? Answers from administrative data
  • Morciano, M., Socio-economic disparities in cohort-year trends in disability and receipt of disability benefits at old-age: Evidence from the UK
  • Morciano M., Participation of older people in health-related longitudinal studies: microlevel evidence at the beginning of the English Longitudinal study of Ageing (ELSA)
  • Hancock, R., Morciano M., and Pudney S., Would reforms to the disability and financial eligibility criteria for disability benefits for older people in Great Britain improve targeting? Policy simulation exploiting estimates of latent disability and disability costs
  •  Hancock, R., Hernandez M., Morciano M., and Pudney S.,Using wellbeing models to evaluate the costs of disease and disability
  • Morciano M., Suhrcke M. and Toffolutti V., The impact of macroeconomic fluctuations on health in Europe: same data, different methods, different results?
  • Mentzakis E. and Morciano M., Assessing reporting heterogeneity of satisfaction with health measures
  • Morciano M., Hancock, R. and Pudney S., How reliable are income data collected with a single question? A comparison of income measures from two large-household cross-sectional surveys: HSE and FRS
  • Morciano M. and Hancock R., Latent factor models of disability and their application in micro-simulation models.

marcello Morciano,
Aug 11, 2016, 6:28 AM