Research

Publications:

1. Ambiguity, coherence, and performance (with William Peden, Daniele Tortoli and Francesco De Pretis), Economics and Philosophy, forthcoming. 

2. Ambiguous decisions in Bayesianism and Imprecise Probability (with William Peden and Francesco De Pretis), British Journal for Philosophy of Science Short Reads, 2024. 

3. A comparison of Imprecise Bayesianism and Dempster-Shafer theory for automated decisions under ambiguity (with William Peden, Daniele Tortoli and Francesco De Pretis), Journal of Logic and Computation, 2024. 

4. The ambiguity dilemma for imprecise Bayesians (with William Peden and Francesco De Pretis), The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, forthcoming.

5. Making decisions with evidential probability and objective Bayesian calibration inductive logics (with William Peden and Francesco De Pretis), International Journal of Approximate reasoning, 2023, 162. 

6. Incentives for research effort: an evolutionary model of publication markets with double blind and open review (with Francesco De Pretis, William Peden, Daniele Tortoli and Barbara Osimani), Computational Economics, 2023, 61(1). 

7. Team reasoning without a hive mind (with Jurgis Karpus), Research in Economics, 2021, 75(4). 

8. A battle in the statistics wars. A simulation-based comparison of Bayesian, frequentist and Williamsonian methodologies (with William Peden and Francesco De Pretis), Synthese, 2021, 199.

9. Game theory and rational reasoning (with Jurgis Karpus), The Routledge Handbook of Philosophy of Economics, Routledge, 2021. 

10. Team reasoning and a measure of mutual advantage in games (with Jurgis Karpus), Economics and Philosophy, 2018, 34(1)

11. The ant trap: rebuilding the foundations of the social sciences, Brian Epstein. Oxford University Press 2015, viii + 298 pages, Economics and Philosophy, 2016, 32(2)

12. Shifting systems of knowledge as a process of modernization of the political philosophy: the logic of inversion between the theoretical model and lifeworld, Logos, 2011, 66 (in Lithuanian) 

13. Rawlsian "justice" and the evolutionary theory of fames: cultural evolution and the origins of the natural maximin rule, Problemos, 2011, 80

Work in Progress:

• Dependency equilibria: extending Nash equilibria to entangled belief systems (with Wolfgang Spohn and Gerard Rothfus) 

• Belief inertia and communication with ambiguous signals

• Optimal lying and lie-detection in Bayesian persuasion games with costly information acquisition and truth-proportional beliefs (with Todd Stambaugh and Francesco De Pretis)

• Interactive decision-making for real (with Jurgis Karpus)