Professor of Macroeconomics at Friedrich Schiller University Jena
- Kiel Institute for the World Economy
- Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability, Goethe-University Frankfurt
Research Interests: Business Cycle Modeling, Forecasting, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, Applied Econometrics
Selected publications (link to all publications and additional material)
Monetary Policy during Financial Crises: Is the Transmission Mechanism Impaired? with Nils Jannsen and Galina Potjagailo, International Journal of Central Banking, forthcoming.
How the Baby Boomers’ Retirement Wave Distorts Model-Based Output Gap Estimates, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2018, 33(5): 680-689.
The Impact of Growth on Unemployment in a Low vs. a High Inflation Environment, with Mewael F. Tesfaselassie, Review of Economic Dynamics, 2018, 28: 34-50.
Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models, Journal of Applied Econometrics, January/February 2015, 30(1): 74-96.
Forecasting and Policy Making, with Volker Wieland, Chapter 5, in G. Elliott and A. Timmermann, Eds., Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 2, Elsevier, August 2013, 239-325.
Fiscal consolidation strategies, with John Cogan, John Taylor and Volker Wieland, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, February 2013, 37(2): 404-421.
A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis, with Volker Wieland, Tobias Cwik, Gernot J. Müller and Sebastian Schmidt, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, August 2012, 83(3): 523-541.
The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy, with Volker Wieland, Economic Theory, June 2011, 47(2-3): 247-292. Link to voxeu.org article.
Does trade integration alter monetary policy transmission? with Tobias Cwik and Gernot J. Müller, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, April 2011, 35(4): 545-564.