Work in progress:
Like father like son...like mother like daughter. New facts on the intergenerational transmission of occupation and the gender pay gap (with G. Bovini and M. De Philippis) Draft coming soon
Abstract
We study the presence and the extent of gender differences in the intergenerational transmission of occupations and relate this to the perpetuation of gender gaps in the labour market. To these ends, we use a novel rich dataset that we built from various administrative sources and that combines detailed information on children's early occupational outcomes and earnings together with that about their parents at the time the child completed education. The data cover 7 cohorts of Italian students and their parents. We find a strong gendered pattern of persistence in occupations: sons are more likely to follow their fathers' footsteps and daughters to follow their mothers. We also document various dimensions of heterogeneity in these patterns ... Most notably, we show tat such gender homophily in the transmission of occupations is higher in more affluent families, where the difference between parents' incomes is also largest. This implies an amplification of gender gaps over generations.
The Consequences of Hiring Restrictions: Evidence from Italian Universities (with E. Frattola and M. De Philippis) Draft coming soon
Abstract
Hiring freezes are widely used to curb public expenditure, yet their effects on organizational performance remain poorly understood. We study a large-scale hiring restriction policy in Italian public universities that generated exogenous variation in both faculty size and age composition. Using administrative data on students and faculty, we show that hiring restrictions significantly worsen student outcomes, primarily by increasing time to graduation. Leveraging policy variation and pre-existing demographic structures, we disentangle the effects of faculty size and workforce ageing in an instrumental variables framework. We show that both margins independently and significantly contribute to the deterioration of performance.
Workers' sorting between public and private employment and its effects on public service delivery: evidence from the Italian health sector (with E. Di Porto and E. Miglino) - VisitINPS project - Draft coming soon
Abstract
This paper investigates the determinants of workers' allocation between public and private employment in the Italian health sector and examines the consequences for public service delivery. Using detailed administrative data on healthcare personnel and hospital outcomes, we provide evidence on how public spending cuts affect sorting of workers between the public and the private sector and how this eventually impacts service quality and, in particular, health inequality. Our findings suggest that severe public spending cuts lead to a significant reallocation of workers from the public to the private sector; this eventually translated in an increase in health inequality in the population.
Remote Work in the Public Sector: Evidence from a Central Bank (with T. Abete, R. Gambacorta, E. Miglino and V. Salvestrini)
The Origins of the Gender Pay Gap: the Role of School-to-Work Transition, (with G. Bovini and M. De Philippis) Accepted Labor Economics
Abstract
A growing body of research shows that differences in both fields of study and firm-specific pay premiums account for a large share of the gender pay gap. This paper makes use of unique administrative data obtained for Italy, which combines granular information on both educational choices and early labor market outcomes, to jointly assess the role of field of study choices and that of jobs' and firms' characteristics, conditional on fields of study, for the early career gender pay gap. We find that choices of university majors explain more than half (60%) of the early career gender pay gap among university graduates, while within-major differences in jobs and firms characteristics account for only 20% of the gap. For secondary school graduates, differences in the choice of high-school tracks play also an important role (30%), but within-track disparities in jobs' and firms' characteristics are more relevant (45%), likely because of the lower degree of specialization of tracks with respect to majors. These findings call for policies that act before boys and girls enter the labor market, when they are still in education, and choose their fields of study, especially at university.
The Great Depression: students' aspirations and choices during the Great Recession (with E. Porreca and M. Tonello).
Abstract
This paper analyzes whether and in which way the macroeconomic conditions when students are about the end of the years of compulsory education affect their educational aspirations and, through them, their future educational choices. To this purpose, we combine individual-level self-reported aspirations about the intentions to complete high school and to enroll at university of all students attending the tenth grade of the Italian education system contained in the Invalsi SNV Students' Questionnaires, with measures of the regional labor market conditions, as a proxy for the local conditions of the business cycle. Identification of the effect of interest is achieved by exploiting the naturally exogenous variations in the local labor market conditions and by comparing adjacent cohorts of students, within the same school, exposed to different local business cycle conditions at the time when the educational aspirations are stated. We find that students exposed to economic downturn in the last year of compulsory education are more likely to state they wish to drop out and not attain a secondary school diploma. Moreover, among those who state they do not wish to drop out, we find a significant increase in the stated likelihood of pursuing a higher education degree at the end of secondary school for girls but not for boys.
Home or Away? Gender differences in the effects of an expansion of tertiary education supply [working paper]
Published papers:
"Mafia infiltrations in times of crisi. Evidence from the Covid-19 shock" (with M. Castelluccio), The Journal of Law and Economics, August 2026, vol. 69 n.3. Previous versions: [IFS Working PAper 23/28] [Bank of Italy WP 1502, 2025]
"Women in Economics. The role of gendered references at entry in the profession" (with A. Baltrunaite and A. Casarico), European Economic Review, November 2025, Vol 180, Pages 105-155. -- Previous versions: [CEPR DP 17474, 2022] [Bank of Italy WP, 1438, 2024]
Media coverage: Wired Italia, 14 February 2024
la Repubblica, 26 February 2024
"Organized crime in Italy: an economic analysis", (with S. Mocetti), Italian Economic Journal, Volume 10, pages 1339–1360. Special Issue "The North-South gap: economic development and public intervention", 2024.
The Effects of Deregulating Retail Operating Hours: Empirical Evidence from Italy (previously circulated as "The effects of shop opening hours deregulation: Evidence from Italy"), (with G. Roma and G. Rovigatti), The Journal of Law and Economics 2023 66:1, 21-52.
The economic effects of mafia: firm-level evidence (with L. Mirenda and S. Mocetti). American Economic Review, Vol 112 No 8, August 2022, Pages 2748-73.
Media coverage: il Sole 24 ore, 10 October 2019
il Fatto Quotidiano, 11 October 2019
Messaggero, 11 October 2019
Regulated occupations in Italy: extent and labor market effects (with S. Mocetti and G. Roma). International Review of Law and Economics, Volume 66, June 2021, 105987.
Persuadable perceptions: the effect of media content on beliefs about corruption (with M. Tonello). Economic Policy, Volume 35, Issue 104, October 2020, Pages 679–737 .
Winner of Giorgio Rota Prize 2015, Centro Einaudi
Lost in corruption. Evidence from EU funding to Southern Italy (with G. de Blasio and I. De Angelis). Italian Economic Journal, Volume 6, February 2020, Pages 355–377.
Raising Aspirations and Higher Education: Lessons from the UK Widening Participation Policies. Journal of Labor Economics, Volume 38, Issue 1, January 2020, Pages 183-214.
Early kindergarten, maternal labor supply and children's outcomes: evidence from Italy (with F. Carta). Journal of Public Economics, Volume 158, February 2018, Pages 79–102.
Winner of Prize in memory of Etta Chiuri 2015
Winner of International Institute of Public Finance Young Economists Award 2015
When the cat's away. The effects of spousal migration on investments on children. The World Bank Economic Review, Volume 32, Issue 1, February 2018, Pages 85–108.
The Impact of Skilled Migration on the Sending Country: Evidence from African Medical Brain Drain. Rivista di Politica Economica (2008), vol. 98(6).
Policy papers:
Women, labour markets and economic growth, June 2023 (with F. Carta, M. De Philippis and E. Viviano), Bank of Italy Workshops and Conferences, n. 26, 2023. This is the final report of a 3-year project on women in the Italian economy (here the link to the final event webpage, the Youtube video of the event is available here). [download]
Media coverage: la Repubblica, il Sole 24 ore, la Stampa, il Manifesto.
La criminalità organizzata in Italia: un'analisi economica, December 2021 [download]
Il pubblico impiego: differenze territoriali nella composizione e nella selezione, December 2021 [download]
Il lavoro da remoto in Italia durante la pandemia: le amministrazioni pubbliche, January 2021 - [download]
The Italian public sector workforce: recent evolution in the light of the rules on turnover , July 2020 - [download]
Criminalità organizzata e corruzione: incidenza e effetti sull'economia reale in Italia, (with S. Mocetti) - Rassegna Economica, Nr. 1-2019 - [download]
Working in the gig economy. Evidence from the Italian food delivery industry, (with C. Giorgiantonio), December 2018 - [download]
Why go public? A study on the individual determinants of public sector employment choice, July 2016 - [download]
Incentivi e selezione nel pubblico impiego (with C. Giorgiantonio, T. Orlando and G. Palumbo), July 2016 - [download]
The use of fixed term contracts and the (adverse) selection of public sector workers, November 2015 - [download]
Exploring flows to tax havens through means of a gravity model: evidence from Italy (joint with A. Cassetta, C. Pauselli and M. Tonello), September 2014 - [download]
Financial flows to tax havens: Determinants and anomalies (with A. Cassetta, C. Pauselli and M. Tonello), March 2014 [download]