Research

"When nothing seems to help, I go look at a stonecutter hammering away at his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing in it. Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two, and I know it was not that blow that did it, but all that had gone before."

– Jacob Riis (American newspaper reporter and photographer, 1849-1914)

Consumption Externalities and Monetary Policy with Limited Asset Market Participation (with Marco Airaudo) forthcoming in Economic Inquiry.

Abstract: This paper explores the interaction between consumption externalities and limited asset market participation (LAMP) in the standard New-Keynesian model. We assess the performance of simple Taylor-type interest rate rules with respect to a) equilibrium determinacy, b) the model's ability to simultaneously generate output and inflation volatility similar to the pre-Volcker era, and c) the model's response to a technology shock. We find that when individual preferences are affected by average household consumption (Aggregate Consumption Externality), stronger externalities increase the range of LAMP for which multiple equilibria arise even if the policy rule satisfies the Taylor principle. The interaction of LAMP and externalities can generate vast inflation/output relative volatility in line with the one observed in the data in the '70s. According to our analysis, consumption externalities also affect the responses of endogenous variables to TFP shocks.

JEL Classification: E4, E5.

Keywords: Consumption externalities, Rule-of-Thumb Consumers, Limited Asset Market Participation, interest rate rules, multiple equilibria, indeterminacy.

Optimal Second Best Taxation of Addictive Goods in Dynamic General Equilibrium: A Revenue Raising Perspective (with David L. Kelly and Pere Gomis-Porqueras) The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics (Advances) Vol. 14(1) pp.75-118, 2014.

In this paper we derive conditions under which optimal tax rates for addictive goods exceed tax rates for non-addictive consumption goods within a rational addiction framework where exogenous government spending cannot be financed with lump sum taxes. We reexamine classic results on optimal commodity taxation and find a rich set of new findings. Two dynamic effects exist. First, households anticipating higher future addictive tax rates reduce current addictive consumption, so they will be less addicted when the tax rate increases. Therefore, addictive tax revenue falls prior to the tax increase. Surprisingly, the optimal tax rate on addictive goods is generally decreasing in the strength of tolerance, since strong tolerance strengthens this tax anticipation effect. Second, high current tax rates on addictive goods make households less addicted in the future, affecting all future tax revenues in a way which depends on how elasticities are changing over time. Classic results on uniform commodity taxation emerge as special cases when elasticities are constant and the addiction function is homogeneous of degree one. Finally, we also study features of addictive goods such as complementarity to leisure that, while not directly related to the definition of addiction, are nonetheless properties many addictive goods display.

JEL Classification: E61, H21, H71.

Keywords: Addictive goods; dynamic optimal taxation; habit formation; Ramsey model.

Optimal Tax Rules and Addictive Consumption (with Paul Calcott and Vladimir Petkov) Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 37(5) pp. 984-1000, 2013.

Abstract: This paper studies implementation of the social optimum in a model of addictive consumption. We consider corrective taxes that address inefficiencies due to negative externalities, imperfect competition, and self-control problems. Our setup allows us to evaluate how such taxes are affected by (i) market power, and (ii) a requirement for implementation to be time consistent. Together, these features can imply significantly lower taxes. We provide a general characterization of the optimal tax rule and illustrate it with two examples.

JEL Classification: D11, D43, L13, H21.

Keywords: Dynamic externalities, internalities, addiction, optimal taxation, time consistent implementation.

Income Inequality, Mobility, and the Welfare State: A Political Economy Model (with Gulcin Gumus) Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 17 (Special Issue Number 6) pp. 1198-1226 (lead article), 2013.

Abstract: In this paper, we set up a three-period stochastic overlapping generations model to analyze the implications of income inequality and mobility for demand for redistribution and social insurance. We model the size of two different public programs under the welfare state. We investigate bi-dimensional voting on the tax rates that determine the allocation of government revenues among transfer payments and old-age pensions. We show that the coalitions formed, of income inequality and mobility.the resulting political equilibria, and the demand for redistribution crucially depend on the level of income inequality and mobility.

JEL Classification: D72, H53, H55.

Keywords: Redistribution, mobility, inequality, structure induced equilibrium.

Monopoly, Time Consistency, and Dynamic Demands (with Vladimir Petkov) Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Vol. 13(3) pp. 339-359, 2013.

Abstract: This paper examines monopolistic behavior in a framework with dynamic demands. We show that time consistent output and pricing policies yield different equilibrium outcomes in terms of profits and welfare. In a simple two period model, we find that pricing policies impose less restrictive constraints on a producer of addictive goods, allowing him to attain higher equilibrium profits. In contrast, a durable goods producer is better off implementing output policies. We study the effect of instrument selection on the strategic properties of the monopolist's intra-personal game. Intertemporal substitutabilities imply that current and future prices are strategic complements, while current and future output levels may be strategic substitutes. Intertemporal complementarities reverse the strategic properties of these instruments.

JEL Classification: D11, D42, L12.

Keywords: Dynamic demands, monopoly, time consistency.

Consequences of Modeling Habit Persistence (with Pere Gomis-Porqueras) Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 13 pp. 349-365, 2009.

Abstract: In this paper, we study the stationary and non-stationary equilibria of a deterministic, pure exchange, two-period overlapping generations model with habit persistence. We show that preferences with multiplicative habits can lead to quite different equilibrium outcomes compared to subtractive ones. The two most commonly adopted habit specifications can differ in terms of homotheticity, gross substitutability, and uniqueness of equilibria. We illustrate these differences in terms of steady state equilibria, as well as local dynamics.

JEL Classification: E52, E63.

Keywords: Multiplicative and subtractive habit persistence, multiple equilibria, equilibrium dynamics.

Intergenerational risk shifting through social security and bailout politics Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 32(7) pp. 2240-2268, 2008.

Abstract: This paper adopts a stochastic overlapping generations framework to analyze the allocation of aggregate financial risks under different social security systems and a majority voting rule. We study whether there will be switches between Pay-As-You-Go (PAYG) and Fully Funded (FF) systems in such an economy. We show that in case of a negative aggregate shock, low-income young individuals will form a political coalition with the elderly to implement a PAYG system. PAYG scheme is shown to persist even after a good aggregate shock if the system is redistributive enough.

JEL Classification: H55, D72, D91, E62.

Keywords: Financial market risk, social security reform, political economy.

Deficit Financing and Habit Persistence (with Pere Gomis-Porqueras) Economics Bulletin, Vol. 5 pp. 1-4, 2006.

Abstract: In this paper, we study how deficit financing is affected by the introduction of habit formation in an otherwise standard Gale (JET, 1973) economy in which the government is a net lender and young agents are borrowing rather than saving. We find that the amount of deficit the government is able to float into the economy is lower when habits are present. This finding is due to the fact that habit persistence puts a cap on borrowing.

JEL Classification: E52, E63.

Keywords: Multiplicative and Subtractive Habits, Deficit Financing.

The Phillips Curve Strikes Back: Evidence from the G-7 Countries Annali della Fondazione Luigi Einaudi, Vol. 34, pp. 1-30, 2000

Welfare Comparison of Per Unit Versus Ad Valorem Taxes: an Example

JEL Classification: D11, D42, H2, H3.

Keywords: Commodity taxes, monopoly, dynamic demand. (in preparation)

Work in Progress

Pork-barrel spending and Congressional elections in the U.S (with Oscar Mitnik)

The Effect of BAC Laws on Drinking Amount and Location (with Gulcin Gumus)

Time consistent taxes to correct internalities (with Paul Calcott and Vladimir Petkov)