2) RISING CO2 & HUMAN NUTRITION
In the late 1990s, during my PhD studies in mathematics, I had the opportunity to explore the theory of Ecological Stoichiometry in James Elser's lab. This theory led me to deduce that rising CO2 levels would globally deplete essential minerals in plant tissues, including those in edible parts like grains. More importantly, it allowed me to connect this nutrient depletion to human nutrition.
In 2002, I published a hypothesis suggesting that increasing atmospheric CO2 levels would "intensify the already acute problem of micronutrient malnutrition." Given that iron (Fe), zinc (Zn), and iodine (I) were already deficient in human diets, these nutrients received special attention in my paper. However, at that time, experimental data were limited, making it difficult to empirically validate the hypothesis. It took about 12 years to gather sufficient evidence from CO2 experiments conducted by dedicated researchers in Australia, Asia, Europe, and the United States to confirm that rising CO2 indeed depletes minerals in the plants foundational to human nutrition.
My 2014 meta-analysis demonstrated that essential mineral levels, including calcium (Ca), copper (Cu), iron (Fe), magnesium (Mg), phosphorus (P), and zinc (Zn), decline in a wide range of crops and wild plants (known as C3 plants). This mineral depletion is geographically widespread and systemic throughout plant tissues. This discovery was made possible by data from experiments that grew plants under elevated CO2 and controlled conditions, conducted by hundreds of researchers. Their collective efforts produced enough data—7,761 pairs of observations, totaling over 15,000 observations—to uncover the hidden shift in plant quality caused by rising carbon dioxide levels.
Furthermore, I theorize that this decline in plant quality on a planetary scale exacerbates not only mineral undernutrition but also calorie overnutrition, contributing to both "hidden hunger" and obesity. More recently, in collaboration with colleagues from Ireland, Columbia University, and Bryan, we published new findings on the decline of carotenoids—crucial for eye and brain health—in plant tissues exposed to elevated CO2.