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Peer-Reviewed Publications

• "Beyond the Mean: How Thinking About Distributions Reduces Politicians' Conservative Perceptual Bias." (2025). With Nicholas Dias and Jack Lucas. Forthcoming, Political Science Research and Methods.

• "Too Honest and Humble to Run for Office? The impact of Personality Traits on Citizens’ Nascent Political Ambition and Recruitment." (2025). With Marc van de Wardt, Pirmin Bundi, Peter Loewen, Anne Rasmussen, and Frédéric Varone. Forthcoming, European Journal of Political Research.

• "What Personality Traits do Citizens Want Politicians to Have? Descriptive and Experimental Evidence from Three Countries." (2025). With Thomas Bergeron, Eran Amsalem, Jeroen Joly, Peter J. Loewen. Political Psychology. 1-18.

• "Do Political Leaders Understand Public Opinion Better than Backbenchers?" (2025). With Stefaan Walgrave, Julie Sevenans, Frédéric Varone, and Christian Breunig.
  British Journal of Political Science. 1-15.

• "Why Masses Support Democratic Backsliding". (2025). With Noam Gidron, Yotam Margalit, and Itamar Yakir.
  American Journal of Political Science. 1-18.

• "Do Personality Traits Predict Voter Attitudes When Politics Is Structured Around Conflict? Lessons From Israel". (2025). With Naama Rivlin-Angert and Alon Yakter. Public Opinion Quarterly. 1-26.

• "Politicians' Theories of Voting Behavior". (2024). With Jack Lucas, Peter Loewen, Stefaan Walgrave, Karolin Soontjens, Eran Amsalem, Pirmin Bundi, Frédéric Varone, Stefanie Bailer, Nathalie Brack, Christian Breunig, Linda Coufalová, Patrick Dumont, Nathalie Giger, Miguel Pereira, Mikael Persson, Jean-Benoit Pilet, Anne Rasmussen, and Maj-Britt Sterba.
  American Political Science Review. 1-18.

• "Pathways to Substantive Representation: Policy Congruence and Policy Knowledge Among Canadian Local Politicians". (2024). With Jack Lucas and Peter J. Loewen.
  Political Behavior. 1-20.

• "The Role of Politicians’ Pearceptual Accuracy of Voter Opinions in Their Electoral Career". (2024). With Simon Hug, Frédéric Varone, Luzia Helfer, Stefaan Walgrave, and Karolin Soontjens.
  Legislative Studies Quarterly.

• "What Explains Elite Affective Polarization? Evidence from Canadian Politicians". (2024). With Jack Lucas.
  Political Psychology. 46(1):76-84.

• "Are Politicians Democratic Realists?" (2024). With Jack Lucas and Peter J. Loewen.
  European Journal of Political Research. 63(4):1426-1444.

• "Imagined Journalists: An Alternative Approach to Studying Audiences’ Perceptions of the Media." (2024). With Ayala Panievsky, Yossi David, and Noam Gidron.
  The International Journal of Press/Politics. 1-25.

• "Long-Term Policymaking and Politicians' Beliefs about Voters: Evidence from a Three-Year Panel Study of Politicians." (2024). With Jack Lucas and Peter J. Loewen.
  Governance. 37(2):395-410.

• "Differentiating the Sources of Post-Election Partisan Affect Warming". (2023). With Noam Gidron.
  European Journal of Political Research.1-20.

• "Projection in Politicians’ Perceptions of Public Opinion." (2023). With Julie Sevenans, Stefaan Walgrave, Arno Jansen, Karolin Soontjens, Stefanie Bailer, Nathalie Brack, Christian Breunig, Luzia Helfer, Peter J. Loewen, Jean-Benoit Pilet, Frédéric Varone, and Rens Vliegenthart.
  Political Psychology. 44(6):1259-1279.

• "Do Politicians Outside the United States Also Think Voters Are More Conservative than They Really Are?" (2023). With Jean-Benoit Pilet, Luzia Helfer, Frédéric Varone, Rens Vliegenthart, and Stefaan Walgrave.
  American Political Science Review. 118(2):1037-1045.
  Online Appendix and replication materials

• “How do Politicians Bargain? Evidence from Ultimatum Games with Legislators in Five Countries.” (2023). With Peter Loewen, Stefaan Walgrave, Stefanie Bailer, Christian Breunig, Luzia Helfer, Jean-Benoit Pilet, Frédéric Varone, and Rens Vliegenthart.
  American Political Science Review. 117(4):1429-1447.
  Online Appendix and replication materials

• "Validating the Feeling Thermometer as a Measure of Affective Polarization in Multi-Party Systems." With Noam Gidron and Guy Mor.
  Electoral Studies.

• "Note on New Data Set - The Israel Polarization Panel Dataset, 2019 - 2021". (2022). With Noam Gidron and Guy Mor.
  Electoral Studies.
  IPP Data Set and Online Appendix

• "Inaccurate Politicians: Elected Representatives' Estimations of Public Opinion in Five Countries". (2022). With Stefaan Walgrave, Arno Janesn, Julie Sevenans, Karolin Soontjens, Jean-Benoit Pilet, Nathalie Brack, Frédéric Varone, Luzia Helfer, Rens Vliegenthart, Toni van der Meer, Christian Breunig, Stefanie Bailer, and Peter J. Loewen.
  The Journal of Politics. 85(1):209-222.

• "Personality and the Policy Positions of Politicians." (2022). With Eran Amsalem.
  Political Psychology.
  Online Appendix

• “Political Accountability, Legislator Gender, and the Status Quo Bias." (2021).
  Politics & Gender, 17(3):365-401.
  Online Appendix

• "Partisan In-Group Bias Before and After Elections". (2020).
  Electoral Studies, 1-11.
  Online Appendix

• “Accountability, Framing Effects, and Risk-Seeking by Elected Representatives: An Experimental Study with American Local Politicians.” (2019). With Peter Loewen.
  Political Research Quarterly, 72(1): 49-62.
  Online Appendix

• “Non-Representative Representatives: An Experimental Study of the Decision Making of Elected Politicians.” (2018). With Peter Loewen, Stuart Soroka, Stefaan Walgrave and Tamir Sheafer.
  American Political Science Review, 112(2): 302-321.
  Online Appendix

• “Electoral Confidence, Overconfidence, and Risky Behavior: Evidence from a Study with Elected Politicians.” (2019). With Peter Loewen.
  Political Behavior, 41(1): 31-51.
  Online Appendix 

• “Beauty Contests and Strategic Voting.” (2015). With Peter Loewen and Kelly Hinton.
  Electoral Studies, 38: 38-45.

Invited Chapters

• "Prospect Theory and Political Decision Making." With Janice Stein. In Mintz, A. and Terris. L. (Eds.), The Oxford Handbook of Behavioural Political Science. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Working Papers and Papers Under Review

Politicians' Theories of Democracy

• "Ideological Divides in Elite Theories of Democracy". With Jack Lucas, Peter Loewen, Stefaan Walgrave, Jean-Benoit Pilet, Christian Breunig, Maj-Britt Sterba, Stephanie Bailer, and Mikael Persson.

• "How are politicians’ theories of democracy related to how they process the public opinion signals they receive?" With Jack Lucas, Peter Loewen, Stefaan Walgrave, and Mikael Persson.

Politicians' Perceptual Accuracy and Representation

• "Political Polarization of Belief in Climate Change and Its Impact on Policy Support Among Politicians and Citizens From Eight Developed Democracies." With Johannes Kotz, Helge Giese, Christian Breunig, Maj-Britt Sterba, Nathalie Brack, Patrick Dumont, Marija Taflaga, Javier Olivera, Annika Werner, Anam Kuraishi, and Wolfgang Gaissmaier. Under review.

• "Politicians Responses to and Predictive Accuracy of Mobilization." With Jamie Druckman, Jennifer Oser, Devorah Manekin, Tamar Mitts, Jae Yeon Kim, and Elizabeth McKenna.

• "Do Politicians’ Errors in Understanding Public Opinion Persist When They Encounter Individual Constituents?" With Jack Lucas and Noam Titelman.

• "Are Representatives' Fairness Preferences Representative? The Role of Luck, Merit and Efficiency." With Nina Serdarevic and Troy Saghaug Broderstad.

• "Much of Politicians' Perceptual Error is Domain-General Processing of Proportions." With Jack Lucas.

• "Perceptual Accuracy Among Politicians: A Review." With Miguel Pereira, Julie Sevenans, and Jack Lucas.

• "Politicians Systematically Misperceive their Constituencies' Demographic Composition." With Jack Lucas.

• "Do politicians correctly infer citizens' likelihood of voting? A conjoint experiment." With Jack Lucas and Sophie Borwein.

• "Issue variance and perceptual accuracy: a five year study." With Jack Lucas and Sophie Borwein.

Affective Polarization and Democratic Resilience

• "Who Is The Target of Elite Affective Polarization? Experimental Evidence With National-Level Politicians in 14 Countries." With Jack Lucas, Stefaan Walgrave, et al.

• "Elite Affective Polarization: A Five-Country Comparative Study." With Martin Baekgaard, Nathalie Giger, Miguel Pereira, and Clareta Treger.

• "Populist Leader Support in Face of Consecutive Shocks: Testing the Case of Benjamin Netanyahu Using Original Panel Data." With Yotam Margalit, Noam Gidron, and Itamar Yakir.

• "Resistance to Backsliding: The Role of Democratic Conceptions." With Noam Gidron, Yotam Margalit, and Itamar Yakir.

• "Imagined Journalists and Media Activists in Israel: Role Perceptions and Ideology Explain Hostile Contact with Reporters." With Ayala Panievsky and Yossi David. 

• "Does Civil Rights Discourse Moderate or Escalate Politically-Motivated Discrimination? Experimental Evidence on Contrasting Effects in Canada and Israel." With Raanan Sulitzeanu-Kenan, Talya Steiner, and Shiran Barzilai.

Trust and Decision Making in Elite Political Behaviour

• "Conflicting Perceptions: Misalignment Between Citizens’ and Politicians’ Evaluations of Political Conflict." With Emma van der Goot, Laura Jacobs, Pirmin Bundi, Miguel M. Pereira, Toni van der Meer, Frédéric Varone, and Rens Vliegenthart. Revise and Resubmit. European Journal of Political Research.

• "Assessing Politicians' Online Communication Across Five Democracies: Projecting Competence and Warmth." With Tobias Heide-Jørgensen, Gregory Eady, Anne Rasmussen, Eran Amsalem, Thomas Bergeron, Gal Bitton, Pirmin Bundi, Steven Eichenberger, Sarah Lachance, Peter John Loewen, Hugh Needham, Lee Slinger, Frédéric Varone, and Marc van de Wardt. Under review.

• "Can Politicians Discriminate Between Good and Bad Evidence? Experimental Results from 3,000 European Politicians." With Martin Baekgaard, Nathalie Giger, and Miguel Pereira. Available online on OSF Preprints. Under review.

• "How do Politicians Know Which Colleagues to Trust? An Experimental Study of Bargaining Heuristics Used by Elected Politicians." With Nina Serdarevic and Troy Saghaug Broderstad.

• "Are Politicians Wary Cooperators? Evidence from Bargaining Games with Politicians and Citizens in Four Countries." With Peter J. Loewen.

• "Which Politicians Trust the Media?" With Eran Amsalem, Stefaan Walgrave, Karolin Soontjens, and Nathalie Brack.

Work on Personality

• "Aspire or retire? Personality traits and progressive ambition of MPs: A Five-Country Study." With Marc van de Wardt, Eran Amsalem, Primin Bundi, Peter J. Loewen, Anne Rasmussen, and Frédéric Varone. Under review.