I am interested in understanding how people make decisions, alone, in groups or in organisations. My research links insights from economic theory (theory of decision and game theory) and from other behavioural sciences such as psychology.
Working papers
Kubitz G, Page L (2024) "If you can you must." Information, utility and loss aversion.
Dall'Orso J, Gauriot R, Page L (2024) "Disappointment looms around the corner: Visibility and businesses’ local market power" R&R - Journal of Urban Economics
Gauriot R, Page L (2023) "How Market Prices React to Information: Evidence from Binary Options Markets" Conditionally accepted - Economic Journal
Published/Forthcoming
Kubitz G, Page L & Wan H (2023) "Momentum in contests and its underlying behavioral mechanisms" Forthcoming - Economic Theory
Gauriot R, Page L & Wooders J (2023) "Expertise, gender and equilibrium play" Quantitative Economics
Ke C, Morath F, Newell A & Page L (2022) "Too big to prevail: Coalition formations in the presence of a superpower" - Games and Economic Behavior
Descamps A, Ke C, Page L (2021) "How success breeds success." (old version) - Quantitative Economics
Soldà A, Ke C, von Hippel W & Page L (2021) "Absolute vs. relative success: Why overconfidence is an inefficient equilibrium." - Psychological Science
Page L & Siemroth C (2021) "How much information is incorporated in financial asset prices? Experimental Evidence" - Review of Financial Studies
Descamps A, Massoni S & Page L (2021) "Learning to hesitate" - Experimental Economics. Working paper
Gauriot R & Page L (2019) "Does Success breed success? A quasi-experiment on strategic momentum in dynamic contests" Economic Journal, 129 (624), p. 3107–3136. Working paper
Gauriot R & Page L (2019) "Fooled by performance randomness: over-rewarding luck." Review of Economics and Statistics, 101 (4), p. 658-666. Working paper
Soldà A, Ke C, Page L & von Hippel W (2019) "Strategically delusional." Experimental Economics. Working paper
Zhou F, Page L, Perrons R, Zheng Z & Washington S (2019) "Long-term forecasts for energy commodities price: What the experts think." Energy Economics.
Page L, Sarkar D, & Silva-Goncalves J (2019) "Long-lasting effects of relative age at school", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. Working paper
Gauriot, R. & Page, L., (2018) "Psychological momentum in contests: The case of scoring before half-time in football" Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 149, p. 137-168.
Engler Y, Kerschbamer R & Page L (2018) "Why did he do that? Using counterfactuals to study the effect of intentions in extensive form games". Experimental Economics, 21 (1), p. 1-26. Working paper.
Buscha F, Mueller D & Page L (2017) "Can a Common Currency Foster a Shared Social Identity across Different Nations? The Case of the Euro". European Economic Review, 100, p. 318-336. Working paper.
Page L & Siemroth C (2017) "An Experimental Analysis of Information Acquisition in Prediction Markets.". Games and Economic Behavior, 101, p. 354-378. Working paper
Mueller D & Page L (2016) "Born Leaders: Political selection and the relative age effect in the US Congress". Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 179(3), p. 809-829.
Morton B, Mueller D, Page L, Torgler B (2015) "Exit polls, turnout, and bandwagon voting: evidence from a natural experiment". European Economic Review, 77, p. 65-81. Working paper.
Gauriot, R & Page, L (2015) "I Take Care of My Own: A Field Study on How Leadership Handles Conflict between Individual and Collective Incentives". The American Economic Review P&P, 105(5).
Page, L, Savage, D, & Torgler, B (2014) Variation in risk seeking behaviour following large losses: a natural experiment. European Economic Review, 71, p. 121-131. Working paper
Kandasamy N*, Hardy B*, Page L*, Schaffner M, Graggaber J, Powlson A S, Fletcher P, Gurnell M, & John Coates (2014) Cortisol shifts financial risk preferences. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS), 111(9), p. 3608-3613. (*joint first authors)
Ouazad A, Page L, (2013) Students' perceptions of teacher biases: Experimental economics in schools, Journal of Public Economics, 105, p. 116-130.
Page L, Clemen RT, (2013) Do prediction markets produce well calibrated probability forecasts?, The Economic Journal, 123(568), p. 491-513.
Buscha F, Maurel A, Page L, Speckesser S, (2012) The effect of employment while in high school on educational attainment: A conditional difference-in-differences approach, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. p. 380-396. Working paper.
Page L, Page K, (2010) Last shall be first: A field study of biases in sequential performance evaluation on the Idol series, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. p. 186-198. Working paper.