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  • Information Dissemination, Competitive Pressure, and Politician Performance between Elections: A Field Experiment in Uganda. (forthcoming) American Political Science Reviewwith  Guy Grossman Paper Online Appendix

  • Politicians regularly underperform in their job duties partly due to the obscurity of their actions to constituents. In this study, we investigate the effects of a local NGO's initiative to improve the transparency of politicians' actions in a multi-year field experiment involving 408 politicians in 20 Ugandan district governments between the 2011 and 2016 elections. The NGO created performance `scorecards' each year to rate how good politicians carried out their legally defined job duties, and presented them to all politicians in district plenary sessions. For randomly selected politicians, the scorecard was also disseminated to constituents. We find that scorecard dissemination improved politicians' subsequent performance across a range of performance measures and development project procurement, but only in competitive constituencies. The effect on the performance of duties assessed on the scorecard emerges immediately after treatment. These findings suggest that, depending on electoral pressure, performance transparency can improve politicians' performance between elections.

  • Barriers to Rural Women's Political Engagement: Evidence from Mali. (forthcoming) World Development with Jaimie Bleck  Paper
  • According to many prominent theorists of democracy, citizens must be able to “formulate and signify preferences” to participate as ‘political equals’ for democracy to work (Dahl 1971). However, a gender gap in political knowledge and opinions exists across the Global South, especially in rural areas. In this paper, we study the relationship between rural women’s socioeconomic empowerment (household decision-making ability and mobility to leave the village) and political knowledge and opinions amongst rural women in Mali, a West African country with strong traditional gender norms. To reduce well-known difficulties of gaining access to rural women and reducing bystanders effects, we use simultaneous co-gender interviews of one man and one woman per household and a modified Audio-Self-Administered Questionnaire for illiterate populations. Further to reduce “satisficed” opinions, we elicit opinion justifications and measure “justified opinions.” Consistent with predictions, we find that women’s empowerment is positively associated with rural women’s political knowledge and opinions. We close by examining opinions towards one controversial policy area with redistributive consequences for men and women—the Family Code, which regulates rights of men and women in marriage, inheritance, and the family. More empowered women are more likely to support pro-woman changes.

  • Electoral Cycle Fluctuations in Partisanship: Global Evidence from 86 Counties. 2018. Journal of Politics
Elections are defining elements of democracy, but occur only infrequently. Given elections evoke mass mobilization, we expect citizen attachments to political parties to wax during election season and wane in-between. This research leverages data from 86 countries across the Americas, Africa, Asia, and Europe to investigate the effect of the electoral cycle on partisanship. Globally, the predicted probability of being close to a political party drops 6 percentage points from Election Day to cycle midpoint and subsequently rises 6 percentage points to the next Election Day. Fluctuations are larger in newer democracies and where elections are not free and fair. These findings challenge the discipline to introduce dynamic political events into the study of partisanship, alongside static individual-level and country-level determinants. Additionally, presumed cross-country or temporal differences in partisanship, long used as indicators of democratic consolidation or party system institutionalization, may be confounded by electoral cycle effects. 
  • Survey Research Methods in Developing Countries. 2018Annual Review of Political Science. with Noam Lupu Paper  
       More and more political scientists are fielding surveys in the developing world. Yet, most survey research methodology derives from experiences in developed countries. Researchers working in the developing world often confront very different challenges to collecting high-quality data. Census data may be unreliable or outdated, enumerators may shirk, political topics may be sensitive, and respondents may be unaccustomed to and uncomfortable with an interview format. In this article, we review both published methodological research and the best practices of scholars based on an original expert survey of survey researchers. We characterize the state of the field and provide insights about the range of available options when it comes to implementing surveys in the developing world. We examine innovations across many aspects of survey implementation, including sampling, enumeration, data collection, ethical considerations, and reporting. We also assess these practices and offer suggestions for future methodological inquiry and for greater research transparency.

  • Texting Complaints to Politicians: Name Personalization and Politicians' Encouragement in Citizen Mobilization. 2017Comparative Political Studies 50(10) 1325-1357. with  Guy Grossman and Marta Santamaria Paper Online Appendix

    Poor public service provision and government accountability is commonplace in low-income countries. Although mobile phone-based platforms have emerged to allow constituents to report service deficiencies to government officials, they have been plagued by low citizen participation. We question whether low participation may root in low political efficacy to politically participate. In the context of a text-message reporting platform in Uganda, we investigate the impact of adding efficacy-boosting language to mobilization texts - (a) citizen name personalization and (b) politician encouragement - on citizens' willingness to report service deficiencies to politicians via text messages. Both treatments, designed to increase internal and external efficacy, respectively, have a large, positive effect on participation. The results are driven by traditionally less internally efficacious constituents (females and less externally efficacious constituents (those represented by opposition party members), respectively.
  • Capturing the Airways, Capturing the Nation? A Field Experiment on State-Run Media Effects in the Wake of a Coup. 2017. Journal of Politics 79(3) 873-889. with Jaimie Bleck Paper Online Appendix 

Investigating the effect of media on citizens directly in the wake of a non-democratic regime transition has remained elusive. In this study, we examine the effect of putschist-controlled broadcasting in the wake of the 2012 coup and separatist insurgency in Mali.  We leverage a field experiment of a radio (versus flashlight) distribution program located in an area where citizens only receive state-run radio as a form of mass media. Reflecting a typical regime transition strategy, the putschists led a campaign promoting nationalism and attempting to legitimize their rule. We find that, while radio exposure boosted national identity salience and willingness to delay elections, it did not elevate explicit approval for the junta. This study implies that we should revise expectations somewhat downwards regarding the power of non-democratic regimes to win approval using state broadcasting, even while such broadcasting may be effective in impacting citizens' attitudes and identity.

  • Does Electoral Competition Exacerbate Interethnic or Interpartisan Economic Discrimination? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Market Price Bargaining. 2015. American Political Science Review 109(1) 43-61. Paper   Online Appendix
Does political competition exacerbate economic discrimination between citizens on ethnic or partisan cleavages? Individuals often discriminate on group lines in ordinary economic activities, especially in low-income settings. Political competition, and thus mobilization of partisan and ethnic groups, waxes and wanes over the electoral cycle. This study therefore investigates discrimination over the electoral cycle in a commonplace yet consequential economic activity: market price bargaining. By conducting field experiments on taxifare bargaining at three points in time around Ghana's 2008 election, the research reveals that drivers accept lower prices from coethnics regardless of temporal proximity to the election. However, only at election time, drivers accept lower prices from copartisans and demand higher prices from non-copartisans. In sum, political competition affects commonplace economic transactions between citizens on the partisan cleavage. This study is the first to show evidence for interpartisan discrimination in everyday behavior and expands our knowledge of electoral cycle effects.

In 2012, Mali faced a dual state breakdown disrupting nearly 20 years of democratization - a coup and secessionist insurgency. This paper provides the perspectives of rural Malians living on the border of state and rebel-controlled territory. Our main finding is that villagers redefined “the crisis” as one of unmet need for public services and infrastructure. State breakdown matters less where the state is not present in the first place. The salience of villagers’ concerns about public services and infrastructure are echoed in cross-national Afrobarometer data (2012-2013) on public service provision across rural and urban citizens. In nearly all sub-Saharan African countries, the urban-rural gap is large, absolute levels of rural provision low, and countries inconsistent in provision across indicators. We conclude by drawing implications of weak state public service and infrastructure provision in rural areas for democratic citizenship.

Read our Monkey Cage opEd on the Malian coup and insurgency, or view Messages our respondents recorded to send to President Obama

Despite the economic turmoil of the time, a typical study of vote choice in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election would (falsely) find little evidence that voters' opinions about the future state of the economy affected their vote choice. We argue that this misleading conclusion results from serious measurement error in the standard prospective economic evaluations survey question. Relying instead on a revised question, included for the first time in the 2008 American National Election Study, we find that most respondents condition their prospective economic evaluations on potential election outcomes, and that these evaluations are an important determinant of vote choice. A replication in a very different political context - the 2008 Ghanaian election - yields similar results.

  • Innovations in Experimental Design: Lessons from 'Get Out the (Free And Fair) Vote' in Africa The Experimental Political Scientist 1(1): 11-16. Paper

Violence. Vote-Buying. Ballot Fraud. The question isn't so much how to get people to turn out to vote in sub-Saharan Africa. The question is more how to get citizens to turn out of their own free will, cast votes for parties that haven't just offered wads of cash for them, or be confident that their ballots weren't destroyed in an effort to manufacture a more *favorable* result. This review highlights a set of field experimental interventions aimed at getting out the free and fair vote in three recent elections in sub-Saharan Africa. Not only does this research represent a huge break into large and substantively uncharted waters, but we can also learn from some clever design and measurement techniques employed by the authors. 

An African Election Film Trailer