Publications
Begley, Taylor A., and Kandarp Srinivasan. "Small bank lending in the era of fintech and shadow banks: a sideshow?." The Review of Financial Studies 35.11 (2022): 4948-4984.
Gopalan, Radhakrishnan, Xiumin Martin, and Kandarp Srinivasan. "Regulatory Protection and Opportunistic Bankruptcy" Contemporary Accounting Research 40.1 (2023): 544-576.
Haslag, Peter H., Kandarp Srinivasan, and Anjan V. Thakor. "Competition, Innovation and Crises: Evidence from 18 Million Securitized Loans." Journal of Financial Economics 162 (2024): 103947.
Srinivasan, Kandarp. "The securitization flash flood." Forthcoming, Review of Corporate Finance Studies
Working Papers
1. Risk in the Shadows: Leverage and Liquidity in Nonbanks with Taylor Begley
Abstract: Nonbank mortgage companies (NMCs) use high levels of short-term leverage, leading to concerns about their individual fragility and systemic risk. We find that NMCs also hold very risky assets, with revenue growth ranging from -30% to +100% at the 10th-90th percentile. Surprisingly, we also observe extremely low bankruptcy rates. We address this puzzle by examining the dynamics of NMCs' costs following negative shocks. Our findings show that NMCs have the flexibility to quickly and substantially reduce both their operating expenses and financing costs (interest expense and debt levels). These dynamics lower their credit risk compared to what static measures of leverage and asset risk suggest. The collateralized nature of originators' borrowing plays a fundamental role in debt flexibility. Servicers, who lack high-quality collateral, compensate by holding more cash.
2. The Spillover Effects of Insurer Climate Supervision into Shadow Markets with Weiling Liu and Saptarshi Mukherjee
Abstract: For the same increase in firm climate risk, insurers decrease holdings by 2% if the firm is held via bonds, yet increase by 4.6% if held indirectly via CLOs. Using the staggered rollout of climate disclosures, we show increased supervision of insurer portfolios injects capital into shadow markets. CLO managers receiving this capital launch new funds, and also include brown firms in their portfolio. Firms receiving the capital flow via CLOs increase leveraged loan issuance, and engage in greater polluting activities. By pushing insurers towards shadow markets, climate supervision can lead to the very outcome it intended to mitigate.
3. When Banks Herd: Commonality in Sovereign Debt Holdings and its Effect on Bond Yields with Dmitry Khametshin
Abstract: We analyze whether Eurozone banks place value on having similar sovereign debt exposures. We measure commonality in exposures through the centrality of sovereigns in bank portfolios and find that it significantly predicts both the extensive and intensive margins of sovereign debt holdings. We estimate a structural model of bank portfolio demand, incorporating sovereign commonality as a bond characteristic valued by investors. Our findings suggest a strong preference for commonality, indicating herding behavior among banks. In a counterfactual analysis, we show that in the absence of this preference for commonality, equilibrium sovereign bond yields would be, on average, 1 percentage point higher.
We are also looking for some advice in solving the eigenvector problem below. Any leads will be highly appreciated!
Works-In-Progress
"Non-bank credit providers" (with Taylor Begley)
"Insurance Regulation and Political Risk" (with Weiling Liu and Saptarshi Mukherjee)