WORKING PAPERS
ABSTRACT: According to French law, employers have to pay at least six months salary to employees whose seniority exceeds two years in case of unfair dismissal. We show, relying on data, that this regulation entails a hike in severance payments at two-year seniority which induces a significant rise in the job separation rate before the two-year threshold and a drop just after. The layoff costs and its procedural component are evaluated thanks to the estimation of a search and matching model which reproduces the shape of the job separation rate. We find that total layoff costs increase with seniority and are about four times higher than the expected severance payments at two years of seniority. Counterfactual exercises show that the fragility of low-seniority jobs implies that layoff costs reduce the average job duration and increase unemployment for a wide set of empirically relevant parameters.
ABSTRACT: We study the propagation of financial shocks in decentralized finance (DeFi) using a novel dataset from Compound, a prominent DeFi lending application on Ethereum. Unlike traditional interbank networks, Compound exhibits a bipartite structure in which users lend and borrow via lending pools implemented as smart contracts. We construct daily balance sheets for users and pools from January 2020 to June 2024, model the liability network, and apply the DebtRank algorithm to simulate distress cascades following tokenspecific price shocks. Our findings show that the network topology is the most robust predictor of contagion, outperforming standard financial indicators. We further show that the structure of systemic risk varies over time and across asset types, with stablecoin pools exhibiting more concentrated and persistent vulnerabilities than crypto-asset pools. These results underscore the need for topology-aware risk monitoring in algorithmic credit systems.
ABSTRACT: Liquid restaking enables operators to utilize staked assets across multiple networks. This flexibility introduces significant risks, as operators can exploit attack opportunities with limited financial repercussions. We investigate the mechanisms that deter such malicious behavior in liquid restaking systems. We develop a theoretical model in
which strategic operators balance the short-term gains of an attack against the long term benefits of preserving their reputation. Our framework highlights how reputation
dynamics shape operator behavior, thereby undepinning the security of restaking protocols.
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