Selected publications 15. "Does the Unemployment Benefit Institution affects the Productivity of Workers? Evidence from a Field Experiment", forthcoming Management Science (with M. Blanco and P. Dalton). 14. "The Crime Kuznets Curve", forthcoming Journal of Quantitative Criminology (with P. Buonanno and L. Fergusson). 13. (2016) "The Need for Enemies", Economic Journal Vol. 126 (593): 1018-1054 (with L. Fergusson, J. Robinson and R. Torvik). 12. (2016) "Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Crash of Ponzi Schemes", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization Vol. 131: 263-275 (with. D. Cortés and J. Santamaría). 11. (2013) "Commodity Price Shocks and Civil Conflict: Evidence from Colombia" Review of Economic Studies Vol. 80 (4): 1384-1421 (with O.Dube). Other Publications Journal Articles
10. (2015) "True Believers, Deserters, and Traitors: Who Leaves Insurgent Groups and Why" Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(5): 794-823 (with B. Oppenheim, A. Steele and M. Weintraub). 9. (2015) "Vote Choice and Legacies of Violence: Evidence from the 2014 Colombian Presidential Elections", Research and Politics Vol. 2 (2) DOI: 10.1177/2053168015573348 (with T. Flores and M. Weintraub). 8. (2014) "Can SMS Technology Improve Low Take-up of Social Benefits?" Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy Vol. 20(1): 61-81 (with M. Blanco). 7. (2012) "The Persistent Colombian Conflict: Subnational Analysis of the Duration of Violence" Defence and Peace Economics Vol. 23(2): 203-223.
6. (2012) "Sovereign Risk and Armed Conflict: An Event-study for Colombia" Defence and Peace Economics Vol. 23(2), pp. 185:201 (with A. Castañeda). 5. (2011) "Combatant Recruitment and the Outcome of War" Economics of Governance Vol. 12(1): 51-74 (with A. S. Mahmud).
4. (2011) "Rebellion, Repression and Welfare", Defence and Peace Economics Vol. 22(5): 563-579. 3. (2011) "Violence and Growth in Colombia: A Review of the Quantitative Literature" The Economics of Peace and Security Journal Vol. 6(2): 15-20 (with A. Riascos). 2. (2006) "The Severity of the Colombian Conflict Cross-Country Datasets versus New Micro Data" Journal of Peace Research 43(1): 99-115 (with J. Restrepo and M. Spagat). Replication data 1. (2004) “The Dynamics of the Colombian Civil Conflict: A New Data Set” Homo Oeconomicus 21(2): 396-428 (with J. Restrepo and M. Spagat). Book Chapters
(2016) "Stretegic Atrocities: Civilians under Crossfire—Theory and Evidence from Colombia", in Charles Anderton and Jurgen Brauer (eds) Economics Aspects of Genocides, Other Mass Atrocities, and their Prevention, Oxford University Press: 425-451 Other Journal Publications (2016) "Colombia: Dealing with Conservation", Science Vol. 354(6309): 190 (with N. Clerici, J. Richarson, F. Escobedo, J. Posada, M. Linares y A. Sanchez) Refereed(2014) "Conflict, Crime and Violence in Colombia" Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy Vol. 20(1): 1-4 (with R. Caruso). (2012) "Colombia: Introduction to a special issue of Defence and Peace Economics" Defence and Peace Economics Vol. 23(2): 107-108 (with J. Brauer). Working Papers "Inequality, Crime, and the Long Run Legacy of Slavery" revise and resubmit Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (with P. Buonanno) "Beyond Divide and Rule: Weak Dictators, Natural Resources and Civil Conflict", revise and resubmit European Journal of Political Economy (with G. De Luca and P. Sekeris) "The Real Winner's Curse" (with L. Fergusson, P. Querubín and N. Ruiz) "Endogenous Taxation in Ongoing Internal Conflict: The Case of Colombia", submitted (with R. Ch, A. Steele and J. Shapiro) "The Perils of Top-down State Building: Evidence from Colombia's False Positives" (with D. Acemoglu, L. Fergusson. J. Robinson and D. Romero) "The environmental impact of civil conflict: The deforestation effect of paramilitary expansion in Colombia" (with L. Fergusson and D. Romero)
"The Long Shadow of the Past: Political Economy of Regional Inequality in Colombia" (with L. Fergusson, C. Molina and J. Robinson) "Sunlight Disinfects? Free Media in Weak Democracies" (with L. Fergusson and M. Vela) "Don't Make War, Make Elections: Franchise Extension and Violence in XIX-Century Colombia" (with L. Fergusson) "Rural Property Tax Revenue in the Face of Economic Concentration and Political Competition: Evidence from Colombia" (with J. Villaveces) Publications in Spanish
4. (2014) "El Lado Oscuro de la Equidad: Violencia y Equidad en el Desempeño Escolar" Desarrollo y Sociedad 74(2): 309-334 (with L. Gamboa and V. García), 3. (2012) "Seguridad democrática, presencia de la Policía y conflicto en Colombia", Desarrollo y Sociedad 69(1): 11-32 (con D. Cortés, M. Franco and L. Hincapié). 2. (2003) “Políticas Públicas Universales o Focalizadas: Ventajas y Desventajas. El Caso del SISBEN en Colombia” Revista Ruido Blanco, Vol 2. (1): pp. 19-33. 1. (2003) “Dolarizar, Flotar, Callar” Ecos de Economía, No. 16: pp. 49-64 (with L Fergusson). Book chapters 5. (2016) "El entorno: ¿promotor o limitante?" En Berniell, L., De la Mata, D., Bernal, R., Camacho, A., Barrera-Osorio, F., Álvarez, F., Brassiolo, P., Vargas, J. F. RED 2016. Más habilidades para el trabajo y la vida: los aportes de la familia, la escuela, el entorno y el mundo laboral. Capítulo 5 (pg. 295-331), Bogotá: CAF. 4. (2014) "Inequidad Regional en Colombia", in Melendez, M. and A. Montengro (ed.): Equidad y Movilidad Social: Diagnósticos y Propuestas para la Transformación de la Sociedad Colombiana, Ediciones Uniandes, p: 695-767. (with D. Cortés)
3. (2014) "Hitos del Conflicto y Riesgo País", in Arias, M. A., A. Camacho, A. M. Ibáñez, D. Mejía and C. Rodriguez (ed.): Costos Económicos y Sociales del Conflicto en Colombia ¿Cómo Construir un Posconflicto Sostenible?, Ediciones Uniandes (with A. Castañeda). Presentation in Congreso Colombiano de Economía, Universidad de los Andes
2. (2012) "Costos del Conflicto y Consideraciones Económicas para la Construcción de Paz", in Rettberg, A. (ed.): Construcción de Paz en Colombia, Ediciones Uniandes: 239-272.
1. (2006) “El Conflicto Colombiano: Quién Hizo Qué a Quién. Un Enfoque Cuantitativo (1988-2003)" in Gutierrez, F. (ed.): Nuestra Guerra Sin Nombre, Norma-Vitral, Bogota: 505-540 (with J. Restrepo and M. Spagat) 36. "Colombia can smooth the road to peace by taking justice to victims of conflict", LSE Latin America and Caribbean Centre's blog, March 2017.35. "Using Evidence to Build Effective Transitional Justice Policies in Colombia", Economists on Peace bog in Visions of Humanity, March 2017.34. "Urbanización en América Latina en Perspectiva Comparada: El Rezago de Desarrollo", Focoeconomico.org, March 201733. "Colombia at a Crossroads: Using Innovation, Collaboration, and Evaluation to Deliver Justice", International Development LSE blog, Feb. 201732. "Cómo la evidencia científica puede ayudar a la sostenibilidad del posconflicto en Colombia", Focoeconomico.org, Jan. 201731. "How not to build a state: Evidence from Colombia", Vox, October 201630. "¿Qué pasó, Colombia?", Focoeconomico.org, Oct. 2016 (varios autores)29. "Teoría Económica, Pirámides y Crimen", Vox Lacea, Sept. 201628. "Hábitat y Desarrollo Urbano: Diagnóstico y Retos para América Latina", Focoeconomico.org, Sept. 201627. "Adiós Uribe" Focoeconomico.org, July 2016 26. "Insurgent Defection in Civil War: Lessons from Colombia for Combating ISIS" Political Violence @ a Glance, Sept 201525. "Meritocracia y suerte en la relación entre distribución del ingreso y crimen", Focoeconomico.org, Sept 2015.24. "How Did Guerrilla Violence Shape the 2014 Presidential Election in Colombia?", Political Violence @ a Glance, March 201523. "No sabemos cuánto cuesta el postconflicto; lo que sí sabemos es que financiarlo va a ser terriblemente difícil", Focoeconomico.org, March 2015. 22. "Information technologies can only partially ameliorate the low take-up of social benefits among forcibly displaced households in Colombia", Vox Lacea, June 2014.21. "Algunas enseñanzas de la Economía Política para la actual campaña electoral", Coloquio.co, June 2014. 20. "Más razones para acabar el conflicto en Colombia", Focoeconomico.org, June 2014. 19. "The Criminal Kuznets Curve", Development that Works Blog (Inter American Development Bank), April 2014 Spanish version: "La Curva Criminal de Kuznets", Desarrollo Efectivo, BID 18. "Economía (y Psicología) de la Productividad Laboral y los Subsidios al Desempleo", Focoeconomico.org, April 2014.
Also in Vox Lacea, February 2015
17. "Más allá de “divide y reinarás”: fomentar la guerra para aferrarse al poder", Focoeconomico.org, November 2013 16. "Don't Make War, Make Elections", Development that Works Blog (Inter American Development Bank), May 2013 Spanish version: "No haga la guerra, haga elecciones", Desarrollo Efectivo, BID 15. "Sunlight disinfects, but beware of the shade!", Development that Works Blog (Inter American Development Bank), February 2013
Spanish version: "El sol desinfecta, pero cuídese de la sombra" Desarrollo Efectivo, BID Another version: USIP/SIPRI blog, May 2013 14. "Pirámides Financieras y Crimen en Colombia", Focoeconomico.org, February 2013 13. "Los Saboteadores de la Paz", Focoeconomico.org, October 2012 12. "Los Retos del Nuevo Proceso de Paz con las FARC", Coloquio.co, October 2012 11. "Instituciones y Brechas Regionales en Colombia", Focoeconomico.org, May 2012 10. "Aprender a Disparar vs. Aprender a Quién Disparar", Focoeconomico.org, January 2012 9. "Cambiando armas por votos" Focoeconomico.org, October 2011 8. "Tres huevitos en una sartén con teflón" Focoeconomico.org, September 2011 7. "Los incentivos perversos de los buenos políticos" Focoeconomico.org, July 2011 6. "La luz del sol ¿El mejor desinfectante?" Focoeconomico.org, March 2011 5. “El Lado Oscuro de la Fuerza. In Memoriam, Jack Hirshleifer (1925-2005)" Webpondo.org, September 2005 4. "Understanding Civil Wars: We Need Better Data" Economists for Peace and Security Newsletter, December 2004 3. “¿Cuanto sabemos sobre las guerras Civiles?” Webpondo.org, October 2004 2. “Equilibrio Competitivo en Economía, Lecciones de la Epistemología de la Física” Webpondo.org, July 2003 1. “Políticas Públicas Focalizadas o Universales ¿Dilema?” Webpondo.org, January 2003 Return to home page |